Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH) FY2026Q2 Earning Prediction
Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH) is set to release its FY2026Q2 earnings performance on 01/29 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 5.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 7.15 for the FY2026Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast suggests a positive outcome, with the company likely exceeding expectations due to strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Fact Data Analysis:
- Filtration Group Acquisition ($ 9.25B):
Revenue Impact: Adds $2B in annual sales (2025) with 85% recurring aftermarket revenue, directly boosting organic growth.
Margin Impact: Expected $220M pre-tax cost synergies by Year 3 and Filtration’s 23.5% EBITDA margin (vs. PH’s ~20% Q1 2026 margin) support margin expansion.
EPS/Cash Flow: Accretive to EPS and cash flow post-integration, with high single-digit cash return on invested capital by Year
5. 2. Aerospace Systems Resilience:
- PH’s Aerospace segment (33% of revenue) is cited by analysts as a "resilient" end-market, likely supporting stable sales growth despite broader cyclical risks.
- Demand Headwinds:
- Stifel’s distributor survey notes weaker Q2 sales/inventory trends due to tariffs, inflation, and modest demand deterioration. This creates organic growth risk but is partially offset by Filtration’s immediate revenue contribution.
- Margin Execution:
- Q1 2026 results showed +170bps adjusted operating margin expansion, demonstrating ongoing cost discipline. Synergies from Filtration likely accelerate this trend.
Consensus Context:
- Stock +11% vs. S&P 500 (+ 1.67%) reflects high expectations. However, Filtration’s strategic benefits (not fully priced in, per JPMorgan/Goldman) and margin execution provide a pathway to Beat.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Options Play: Buy February $940/$950 call spreads (capitalize on upside while limiting premium).
- Equity Hedge: Pair long PH with short SPX (PH’s Aerospace exposure offers relative safety vs. broad market risks).
- Post-Earnings: Sell into strength if guidance lacks 2026 synergy acceleration details.
Rationale: The Filtration acquisition provides near-term catalysts, but high expectations limit room for a "Strong Beat." Focus on asymmetric risk/reward via options.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
PH Transcript
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance with increased guidance across multiple segments, including Aerospace and North America. The company reports record-high margins and robust organic growth, particularly in international sales. Despite some concerns about sequential international growth slowdown, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by strong operational execution and optimistic guidance. The market is likely to react favorably, leading to a strong positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary reflects a mixed outlook. While there are positive developments in sectors like aerospace and HVAC, challenges persist in automotive and agriculture. The Q&A reveals uncertainties in industrial orders and a sequential EPS decline in Q2, which is typical but not alarming. The overall guidance suggests modest growth with some margin improvements, but no strong catalysts for a significant stock price movement. Thus, a neutral sentiment is appropriate.
The earnings call indicates a strong financial performance with record margins, increased dividend, and significant share repurchases. The Q&A section highlights management's effective handling of tariffs, positive aerospace growth, and a solid buyback plan. Despite some cautious guidance, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strong margin expansion and strategic initiatives. The positive rating is driven by the optimistic outlook in aerospace and shareholder returns, outweighing concerns about industrial segment growth and free cash flow.
PH Slides
PH Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Parker-Hannifin Corp FY2026Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Parker-Hannifin Corp (PH) is scheduled to release its FY2026Q2 earnings report onJan 29, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Parker-Hannifin Corp FY2026Q2 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 5.00B in revenue and an EPS of 7.00 for Parker-Hannifin Corp's FY2026Q2.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Parker-Hannifin Corp FY2026Q2 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forParker-Hannifin Corp's FY2026Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 29, 2026. Parker-Hannifin Corp The earnings forecast suggests a positive outcome, with the company likely exceeding expectations due to strategic acquisitions and operational efficiencies.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade PH Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 29, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Parker-Hannifin Corp FY2026Q2?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
