Realty Income Corp (O) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

11/03 05:00:00

After Hours

Realty Income Corp (O) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 11/03 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.36B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.07 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

1.36B

1.39B

+1.85%

EPSBEAT

1.07

1.08

+0.93%

AI Summary

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Nov 3, 2025

The earnings forecast for Realty Income suggests a neutral outcome with limited catalysts for significant stock movement.

Neutral

Last 0 quarters:

4 beats1 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

15%

+3-5%

Occupancy >98.6%, rent recapture >103.4%, EPS >$0.36

Beat

30%

+1-3%

EPS meets raised guidance ($0.36), revenue in-line

Neutral

45%

Flat

Metrics align with pre-report consensus

Miss

-2-4%

Occupancy dips, rent recapture <100%, EPS <$0.35

Strong Miss

-5-7%

European yields disappoint, leverage exceeds 5.5x

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Neutral

Consensus revenue estimates revised downward (-1.65%), and lack of Fact Data (e.g., new leases, tenant expansions) to suggest outperformance.

EPS

Neutral

AFFO guidance raise already priced into EPS estimates. Neutral analyst outlooks and no cost-cutting catalysts limit upside.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Fact Data Analysis:

AFFO Guidance Raise: BofA noted Realty Income raised Q2 AFFO guidance by 1 cent, signaling slight operational efficiency. However, this is likely already priced in due to upward EPS estimate revisions (+ 5.42% over 3 months).
Analyst Sentiment: Neutral ratings dominate (Equal Weight/In Line from Barclays, Evercore, Cantor, Mizuho, BofA), with valuations deemed "fair, not enticing." While UBS maintains a Buy rating, the consensus suggests limited upside surprise potential.
Operational Stability: No material negative or positive operational updates (e.g., occupancy rate changes, major acquisitions, or tenant issues) to drive significant beats/misses. The CFO departure from Realty Income to Postal Realty Trust is unlikely to impact near-term metrics.
Capital Deployment: No recent clarity on leveraging $632M raised equity or progress on $654M unsettled forward equity. Without evidence of accelerated deployment, this creates uncertainty.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Options Straddle: Buy both $60 calls and puts expiring post-earnings to capitalize on potential volatility (IV crush post-event).
Stock: Avoid directional bets due to neutral catalysts. Consider trimming positions if holding above $60 (near price targets of $63-64).
Watch: European investment yields and equity deployment updates during the earnings call for medium-term repositioning.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

O Transcript

Realty Income Corporation (O) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive11-3

The earnings call summary reflects strong financial performance with raised investment and AFFO guidance, despite higher expenses. The Q&A reveals positive sentiments about strategic investments in Europe and proactive asset management. Concerns about AFFO adjustments and re-leasing rates were addressed with clarity. The increased investment guidance and strategic focus on data centers and disposition programs are viewed positively. Overall, the company's strategic positioning and raised guidance outweigh the minor concerns, indicating a likely positive stock price movement.

Realty Income Corporation (O) Presents At BofA Securities 2025 Global Real Estate Conference Transcript

Neutral9-10

Realty Income Corporation (O) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive8-7

The earnings call reveals strong financial health with a consistent fixed charge coverage ratio, robust debt capacity, and a strategic focus on European investments offering better returns. Despite some competitive pressures, the company's diversified portfolio and disciplined underwriting provide a competitive edge. The Q&A section highlights strong interest in European markets and ongoing strategic expansion, suggesting positive sentiment. The maintenance of AFFO guidance and proactive lease management further support a positive outlook. Overall, the strategic investments and financial stability indicate a likely positive stock price movement.

Realty Income Corporation (O) Nareit's REITweek: 2025 Investor Conference (Transcript)

Neutral6-3

O Slides

Realty Income Q1 2025 slides: Revenue exceeds forecast while maintaining AFFO guidance

2025-05-05

Realty Income Q2 2025 slides: Raises investment guidance, launches private fund

2025-08-06

O Report

REALTY INCOME CORP 10-K

10-K

2025-02-25

REALTY INCOME CORP 10-Q

10-Q

2024-08-06

REALTY INCOME CORP 10-Q

10-Q

2024-05-07

REALTY INCOME CORP 10-K

10-K

2024-02-21

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Realty Income Corp FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Realty Income Corp (O) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onNov 3, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Realty Income Corp FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 1.36B in revenue and an EPS of 1.07 for Realty Income Corp's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Realty Income Corp FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forRealty Income Corp's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 3, 2025. Realty Income Corp The earnings forecast for Realty Income suggests a neutral outcome with limited catalysts for significant stock movement.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade O Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 3, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Realty Income Corp FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!