Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

10/21 04:00:00

Pre-Market

Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/21 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.30B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.84 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

1.30B

1.32B

+1.10%

EPSBEAT

0.84

0.88

+4.76%

Slide

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Oct 21, 2025

The earnings forecast predicts a Beat scenario driven by strategic partnerships, revenue growth, and operational efficiency improvements.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

4 beats1 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

30%

+5-7%

FinCrime growth >25%, Market Services Rev >21%.

Beat

50%

+2-4%

Revenue growth aligns with RBC’s “solid beat.”

Neutral

15%

Flat

Partnerships fail to drive near-term revenue.

Miss

-3-5%

Crypto/APLM halts create unforeseen expenses.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

AWS/Gemini partnerships drive client growth; RBC’s 21% FinCrime forecast.

EPS

Beat

Revenue growth + operating leverage + buybacks offset minor cost pressures.

Market Services Rev

Beat

Options/cash equities momentum (RBC) + crypto tailwinds via Gemini.

Free Cash Flow

Neutral

Strategic investments (Juniper Square, Puro.earth) offset cash generation.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Nasdaq’s Fact Data reveals multiple drivers supporting a Beat scenario:

Revenue Growth:

AWS Partnership: Expanding Nasdaq Calypso availability on AWS could accelerate adoption of Nasdaq’s capital markets solutions, directly supporting Market Services Revenue (key metric: U.S. options/cash equities).
Crypto Custody via Gemini: New crypto custody/staking services create incremental revenue potential, aligning with RBC’s forecast for 21% FinCrime growth.
Analyst Confidence: RBC expects a “solid beat” driven by Market Services momentum and Index growth.

Operating Income & EPS:

Strategic partnerships (AWS, Verafin-BioCatch) reduce operational friction and improve margins. Piper Sandler cites strength in Financial Technology revenues, suggesting operating leverage.
Share buybacks (supported by strong free cash flow) provide EPS uplift.

Market Expectations:

Stock underperformance vs. S&P 500 (- 5.64% vs. + 4.33%) suggests muted expectations, lowering the bar for a Beat.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Bullish Options Play: Buy November $95 calls (breakeven ~$97). Tight estimate revisions (+0.97% EPS) limit downside risk.
Equity Long: Entry near $89 offers asymmetric upside if Beat/Strong Beat materializes.
Hedge: Pair with S&P 500 put spreads to mitigate broader market volatility.

Catalysts: Strong FinCrime/Market Services metrics, AWS adoption ramp-up.
Risks: Regulatory scrutiny on crypto ventures or APLM suspension contagion.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

NDAQ Transcript

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at Goldman Sachs 2025 U.S. Financial Services Conference Transcript

Neutral12-10

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at Global Technology, Internet, Media & Telecommunications Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral11-19

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at J.P. Morgan 2025 Ultimate Services Investor Conference Transcript

Neutral11-18

NDAQ Slides

Nasdaq Q2 2025 slides: Revenue up 13%, EPS surges 24% on record Index AUM

2025-07-24

Nasdaq Q3 2025 slides: Solutions revenue tops $1B as ARR hits $3B milestone

2025-10-21

NDAQ Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 21, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 1.30B in revenue and an EPS of 0.84 for Nasdaq Inc's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forNasdaq Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 21, 2025. Nasdaq Inc The earnings forecast predicts a Beat scenario driven by strategic partnerships, revenue growth, and operational efficiency improvements.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade NDAQ Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 21, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!