Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction

07/24 04:00:00

Pre-Market

Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/24 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.28B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.80 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

1.28B

1.31B

+1.94%

EPS-

0.80

AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q2

Earnings Date: Jul 24, 2025

The earnings forecast predicts a positive outcome with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations due to IPO market revival and index rebalancing impacts.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

4 beats1 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

25%

+5-7%

Revenue >$1.3B (IPO/ETF inflows), EPS >$0.82.

Beat

50%

+2-4%

Revenue ~$1.28B, EPS ~$0.80.

Neutral

20%

Flat

Revenue in line ($1.26B), EPS meets $0.79.

Miss

-3-5%

IPOs/trading volumes disappoint, EPS <$0.77.

Strong Miss

N/A

Unlikely given recent catalysts.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

IPO/listing surge (+142 IPOs) and index rebalancing driving transaction fees.

EPS

Beat

Higher revenue + cost controls + Morgan Stanley’s EPS upgrade (to $0.81 vs. consensus $0.79).

Operating Income

Beat

Margin expansion from revenue growth outpacing expenses.

Free Cash Flow

Beat

Sustained IPO/trading activity supports cash generation for buybacks.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Fact Data Analysis vs. Consensus Expectations:

IPO Market Revival: Nasdaq recorded 142 IPOs in H1 2025 (raising $ 19.2B) with an 86% U.S. win rate. This directly drives listing services revenue, a core segment, likely exceeding expectations given the IPO market’s faster-than-anticipated recovery.
Index Rebalancing Impact: Shopify’s inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 Index (replacing MongoDB) will increase index-related trading activity, boosting market services revenue (transaction fees).
Analyst EPS Upgrades: Morgan Stanley raised Q2 EPS estimates by 2.5% (to $ 0.81) due to stronger capital access and market services performance, aligning with Nasdaq’s revenue growth catalysts.
Cost Discipline: Previous expense management (evidenced by 17% YoY operating income growth) supports margin sustainability, critical given high expectations priced into the stock (+18% since last earnings).

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Stock/Options: Consider long calls (e.g., $90 strike) to capitalize on momentum from IPO/index-driven revenue beats.
Pairs Trade: Pair NDAQ longs vs. CBOE Global Markets (CBOE), which lacks Nasdaq’s IPO exposure.
Theta Play: Sell cash-secured puts at $85 strike (support level near 200DMA) to monetize high IV.

Rationale: Fact data supports revenue/EPS upside from structural catalysts (IPOs, index changes), while consensus revisions remain muted. Stock’s 18% rally raises hurdles, but operational momentum justifies a "Beat" stance.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

NDAQ Transcript

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at Goldman Sachs 2025 U.S. Financial Services Conference Transcript

Neutral12-10

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at Global Technology, Internet, Media & Telecommunications Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral11-19

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Presents at J.P. Morgan 2025 Ultimate Services Investor Conference Transcript

Neutral11-18

NDAQ Slides

Nasdaq Q2 2025 slides: Revenue up 13%, EPS surges 24% on record Index AUM

2025-07-24

Nasdaq Q3 2025 slides: Solutions revenue tops $1B as ARR hits $3B milestone

2025-10-21

NDAQ Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 24, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 1.28B in revenue and an EPS of 0.80 for Nasdaq Inc's FY2025Q2.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q2 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forNasdaq Inc's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 24, 2025. Nasdaq Inc The earnings forecast predicts a positive outcome with revenue and EPS exceeding expectations due to IPO market revival and index rebalancing impacts.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade NDAQ Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 24, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Nasdaq Inc FY2025Q2?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!