MSCI Inc (MSCI) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
MSCI Inc (MSCI) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/28 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 822.00M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 4.62 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast for MSCI suggests a 'Beat' driven by ETF inflows, asset-based fees, and stable subscription growth.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Key Fact Data Drivers:
- ETF Inflows & Asset-Based Fees:
Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin/Solana ETF filings and growing institutional crypto adoption signal increased demand for MSCI’s indices, directly boosting asset-based fee run rates. Raymond James noted healthy ETF inflows, a critical driver for MSCI’s asset-linked revenue.
NYSE Partnership: Listing MSCI index options (e.g., Emerging Markets, EAFE) on NYSE platforms in 2026 will likely increase transaction volumes tied to MSCI benchmarks, supporting recurring licensing fees.
- Leadership Continuity:
- COO Jorge Mina’s dual role as head of analytics ensures minimal disruption to MSCI’s data-driven product pipeline, supporting recurring subscription sales growth in analytics and ESG segments.
- Regulatory Tailwinds:
- MSCI’s deferral of DATCO exclusion rules preserves index inclusion for corporate bitcoin holders (e.g., Strategy), mitigating near-term outflows from passive funds tracking MSCI indices.
Consensus Context: - Revenue and EPS estimate revisions are nearly flat (- 0.08% and + 0.28%, respectively), reflecting muted expectations. Fact data suggests upside surprise potential on asset-based fees and stable subscription growth.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
Bullish Plays:
- Long Stock: MSCI’s premium valuation (27x P/E) is justified by recurring revenue resilience.
- Call Options: January 2026 $600 calls capitalize on potential post-earnings pop.
- ETF Pair Trade: Long MSCI vs. short SPGI (S&P Global), as MSCI’s crypto/ETF tailwinds outpace peers.
Risks: - Regulatory delays in crypto ETFs or DATCO rule changes could pressure sentiment. Monitor SEC filings.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
MSCI Transcript
The earnings call suggests a positive sentiment with strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic positioning in high-demand markets like gold and copper. The potential for expansion and positive trends in demand, coupled with the company's ability to capitalize on these opportunities, supports a positive outlook. No major negative factors were identified that would significantly impact the stock price negatively over the next two weeks.
MSCI Slides
MSCI Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the MSCI Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
MSCI Inc (MSCI) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 28, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for MSCI Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 822.00M in revenue and an EPS of 5.00 for MSCI Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for MSCI Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forMSCI Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 28, 2026. MSCI Inc The earnings forecast for MSCI suggests a 'Beat' driven by ETF inflows, asset-based fees, and stable subscription growth.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade MSCI Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 28, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like MSCI Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
