Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/21 07:29:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 18.53B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 6.33 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The prediction anticipates a beat in earnings driven by strong performance in missile contracts and stable F-35 production.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Revenue Drivers (Beat):
- Missiles & Fire Control Dominance: Multiple large contracts ($ 9.8B PAC-3 MSE, $ 4.29B JASSM/LRASM) and Pentagon pressure to boost missile production directly support volume growth in tactical/strike programs. This segment’s revenue is likely to exceed consensus due to accelerated deliveries.
- Aeronautics Stabilization: F-35 production remains on track (190+ deliveries in 2025), and Turkey’s potential F-16/F-35 orders signal future demand. However, classified program drags may temper upside.
EPS Drivers (Beat):
Margin Mix Shift: Higher-margin missile sales offset program losses. Tax reserve adjustments and reduced impairments (vs. prior quarters) provide tailwinds.
Share Buybacks/Dividends: $2B buyback and dividend hike signal confidence in cash flow stability, supporting EPS accretion.
Risks:
- Persistent program losses in Aeronautics/RMS (not fully resolved) and tariff/supply chain risks (China minerals) limit margin expansion.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Directional Play: Long stock or Oct/Nov $500-$510 calls. The stock’s 18.6% YTD rally prices in optimism, but incremental missile wins and F-35 clarity could drive short-term upside.
- Hedging: Pair with puts on RTX/NOC (peers with less missile exposure) to hedge broader defense sector risks.
- Post-Earnings: Sell volatility (iron condor) given elevated IV; consensus expects modest guidance due to shutdown uncertainty.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
LMT Transcript
Lockheed Martin's earnings call reveals solid financial performance with a 6% increase in Aeronautics sales and a 4% rise in Space sales. The guidance indicates mid-single-digit growth and significant contracts like the $9.8 billion PAC-3 and $10.9 billion CH-53K deals. The Q&A highlights potential margin improvements and strategic investments. While some responses lacked detail, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong sales, optimistic guidance, and robust contract wins, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
The earnings call summary and Q&A session indicate positive sentiment. Lockheed Martin reaffirmed strong financial guidance, highlighted growth in key programs like F-35 and hypersonics, and maintained a stable free cash flow outlook. The Q&A revealed increased confidence in supply chain capabilities and potential revenue upside in munitions and Golden Dome. Despite some guidance reduction due to CH-53K volumes, management anticipates recovery and growth. Overall, the company's strategic positioning and optimistic outlook suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
LMT Slides
LMT Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Lockheed Martin Corp FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 21, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Lockheed Martin Corp FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 18.53B in revenue and an EPS of 6.33 for Lockheed Martin Corp's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Lockheed Martin Corp FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forLockheed Martin Corp's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 21, 2025. Lockheed Martin Corp The prediction anticipates a beat in earnings driven by strong performance in missile contracts and stable F-35 production.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade LMT Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 21, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Lockheed Martin Corp FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
