KLA Corp (KLAC) FY2026Q1 Earning Prediction

10/29 04:00:00

After Hours

KLA Corp (KLAC) is set to release its FY2026Q1 earnings performance on 10/29 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 3.17B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 8.55 for the FY2026Q1. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

3.17B

3.21B

+1.25%

EPSBEAT

8.55

8.81

+3.04%

AI Summary

Slide

Attend Webcast

AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2026Q1

Earnings Date: Oct 29, 2025

KLAC's upcoming earnings are expected to align with market expectations due to mixed signals from structural tailwinds and elevated baseline estimates.

Neutral

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

10%

+5-8%

DRAM orders surge + China restrictions avoided

Beat

30%

+2-4%

AI-driven WFE beats + margin expansion

Neutral

40%

Flat

Results meet inflated expectations

Miss

15%

-5-7%

Order delays + weaker China sales

Strong Miss

-10%+

Major policy crackdown on China exports

Unlock Free Scenario Probability

Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Neutral

Mixed DRAM/AI tailwinds vs. China policy risks and high baseline expectations

EPS

Neutral

Operational efficiency offsets valuation premium; guidance likely in-line

Free Cash Flow

Beat

Record-high cash flow likely sustained via cost controls

Operating Margin

Neutral

Stable margins amid rising inspection adoption but pricing pressures

Capital Return

Beat

Buybacks/dividends poised to rise with strong cash generation

Unlock Free Key Indicators Forecast

Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

The Fact Data presents mixed signals for KLAC’s upcoming earnings:

Positive Catalysts:

AI-Driven Demand: Barclays and BofA highlight KLA’s exposure to AI compute investments and DRAM fab improvements, which could drive near-term revenue.
Process Control Dominance: Barclays notes KLA’s “dominant” position in process control, a market expected to grow with advanced semiconductor nodes.
Insulation from China Risks: Analysts (Barclays, BofA) argue KLAC is relatively insulated from China-related sales risks compared to peers.

Negative Risks:

High Expectations: Morgan Stanley downgraded KLAC due to its 30% valuation premium vs. peers, signaling that even modest beats may not justify further upside.
China Policy Uncertainty: The Select Committee report raises risks of potential restrictions on equipment sales to China, though KLAC’s direct exposure is limited.
Memory Market Saturation: BofA and Morgan Stanley warn that 2026 wafer fab equipment (WFE) expectations are already elevated, limiting upside surprises.
Key Judgment: While KLAC benefits from structural tailwinds (AI, process control), consensus estimates (revenue up ~ 0.06%, EPS up ~ 0.08% over 3 months) already reflect these advantages. Fact data lacks material incremental catalysts to drive a significant beat given the stock’s 29% rally since last earnings (vs. S&P 500 +7%).

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Short-Term Options Play:
- Buy $1,150 straddle (long call + long put) ahead of earnings.
- Rationale: High implied volatility (29% stock rally) creates asymmetric risk; neutral outcome priced at 40% probability suggests limited directional conviction.
Pairs Trade:
- Long KLAC / Short Applied Materials (AMAT).
- Rationale: Analysts (BofA, Morgan Stanley) flag AMAT’s China/Intel exposure risks vs. KLAC’s insulation.
Post-Earnings Play:
- If stock dips on neutral guidance, accumulate shares. Structural AI/process control leadership supports long-term upside.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

KLAC Transcript

KLA Corporation (KLAC) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-3

KLA Corporation (KLAC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Unknown10-29

The earnings call summary shows mixed sentiments. While there are positive indicators like expected revenue growth and strategic investments, concerns about declining foundry/logic sales and margin guidance adjustments temper optimism. The Q&A reveals uncertainties around China sales and RPO disclosures, affecting investor confidence. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, suggesting limited short-term stock movement.

KLA Corporation (KLAC) Presents At Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral9-10

KLA Corporation (KLAC) Presents At Citi's 2025 Global Technology, Media And Telecommunications Conference Transcript

Neutral9-4

KLAC Slides

KLA Q4 2025 slides: Revenue jumps 24% YoY, wafer inspection surges 52%

2025-07-31

KLA Q1 FY2026 slides: revenue up 13% YoY, maintains strong margins amid chip sector growth

2025-10-29

KLAC Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the KLA Corp FY2026Q1 Earnings Release Date and Time?

KLA Corp (KLAC) is scheduled to release its FY2026Q1 earnings report onOct 29, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for KLA Corp FY2026Q1 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 3.17B in revenue and an EPS of 8.55 for KLA Corp's FY2026Q1.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for KLA Corp FY2026Q1 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forKLA Corp's FY2026Q1 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 29, 2025. KLA Corp KLAC's upcoming earnings are expected to align with market expectations due to mixed signals from structural tailwinds and elevated baseline estimates.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade KLAC Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 29, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like KLA Corp FY2026Q1?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!