Intuit Inc (INTU) FY2026Q1 Earning Prediction

11/20 05:00:00

After Hours

Intuit Inc (INTU) is set to release its FY2026Q1 earnings performance on 11/20 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 3.76B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 3.09 for the FY2026Q1. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

3.76B

3.89B

+3.36%

EPSBEAT

3.09

3.34

+8.09%

Slide

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2026Q1

Earnings Date: Nov 20, 2025

The earnings forecast suggests a "Beat" driven by Credit Karma's growth and TurboTax Live's increased adoption.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

30%

+8-10%

Credit Karma revenue growth >25% YoY + TurboTax Live adoption accelerates further

Beat

50%

+3-5%

Revenue meets/beats high end of guidance ($3.76B+) + EPS >$3.12

Neutral

10%

Flat

In-line results with no AI monetization updates

Miss

-4-6%

Credit Karma growth slows <15% + QuickBooks growth decelerates

Strong Miss

-10%+

Macro headwinds crush small business demand + AI adoption stalls

Unlock Free Scenario Probability

Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

Credit Karma’s growth (+20%+ YoY) and TurboTax tailwinds from IRS policy shift

EPS

Beat

AI-driven cost efficiencies and operating leverage from high-margin segments

Unlock Free Key Indicators Forecast

Prediction Logic & Rational

Fact data supports a revenue and EPS Beat due to:

Credit Karma Upside: Mizuho highlights strong credit card/personal loan growth at BAC, WFC, and TREE, which directly correlates with Credit Karma’s revenue (contributing ~20% of Intuit’s total revenue). Accelerating adoption in auto insurance and personal loans adds further upside.
TurboTax Tailwind: The IRS’s termination of its Direct File program (free tax filing) removes competition, likely driving incremental users to TurboTax Live. This aligns with prior growth in TurboTax Live’s adoption and customer engagement.
Reaffirmed Guidance: Intuit maintained its Q1 and FY26 guidance during Investor Day, signaling confidence in execution despite macroeconomic uncertainty. CEO Sasan Goodarzi emphasized AI-driven innovation (e.g., Intuit Assist) to enhance monetization and customer retention.
Analyst Sentiment: RBC Capital notes potential disclosures around AI adoption and monetization (e.g., QuickBooks’ AI tools) could reassure investors about long-term growth durability.

Key Risks:

Revenue upside may be tempered by seasonal weakness in Q1 (non-tax season).
Conservative guidance limits room for a "Strong Beat" unless Credit Karma materially outperforms.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Bullish Equity Play: Buy shares ahead of earnings, targeting $680–700 (8-10% upside) on a Strong Beat.
Options Strategy: November $660–$680 call spreads to capitalize on volatility while capping downside.
Hedge: Pair with S&P 500 puts to offset broader market risk amid elevated valuations.

Rationale: Fact data skews positively, with Credit Karma and TurboTax Live positioned to outperform consensus. However, a "Strong Beat" requires exceptional execution, making risk/reward asymmetric for options traders.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

INTU Transcript

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Presents at Barclays 23rd Annual Global Technology Conference Transcript

Neutral12-10

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Presents at 53rd Annual Nasdaq Investor Conference Transcript

Neutral12-10

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive11-20

The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with projected revenue and EPS growth. Product development, particularly AI and platform innovations, is promising. Market strategy includes expanding presence and leveraging partnerships. Financial health seems stable, and shareholder returns are likely supported by growth plans. The Q&A section highlights confidence in market share gains and strategic initiatives, despite some uncertainties. Overall, the sentiment is positive, with potential for stock price appreciation.

INTU Slides

Intuit Q4 2025 slides: Revenue up 20%, provides optimistic FY'26 guidance

2025-08-21

Intuit Q1 FY’26 presentation slides: revenue growth accelerates, margins expand

2025-11-20

INTU Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Intuit Inc FY2026Q1 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Intuit Inc (INTU) is scheduled to release its FY2026Q1 earnings report onNov 20, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Intuit Inc FY2026Q1 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 3.76B in revenue and an EPS of 3.09 for Intuit Inc's FY2026Q1.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Intuit Inc FY2026Q1 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forIntuit Inc's FY2026Q1 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 20, 2025. Intuit Inc The earnings forecast suggests a "Beat" driven by Credit Karma's growth and TurboTax Live's increased adoption.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade INTU Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 20, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Intuit Inc FY2026Q1?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!