Intuit Inc (INTU) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction

08/21 04:00:00

After Hours

Intuit Inc (INTU) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 08/21 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 3.75B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.66 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

3.75B

3.83B

+2.27%

EPSBEAT

2.66

2.75

+111.54%

Slide

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AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q4

Earnings Date: Aug 21, 2025

The earnings forecast predicts a Strong Beat for Intuit, driven by multi-segment growth, operational efficiencies, and favorable legislative trends.

Strong Beat

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

45%

+6-8%

Revenue growth >18%, QuickBooks growth >25%, Credit Karma growth >35%.

Beat

35%

+3-5%

Revenue growth 15-18%, QuickBooks growth 21-25%, EPS beats by >5%.

Neutral

15%

Flat

Revenue growth 12-15%, in-line EPS, no material guidance changes.

Miss

-4-6%

QuickBooks growth <20%, Credit Karma growth <25%, operating margin contraction.

Strong Miss

-8-10%

Revenue growth <10%, EPS miss >10%, Credit Karma weakness.

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Strong Beat

TurboTax Live ARPU gains, QuickBooks Online adoption, and Credit Karma growth.

EPS

Beat

Margin expansion from AI-driven efficiencies and disciplined cost management.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Key Fact Data Supporting a Strong Beat:

TurboTax Momentum: Oppenheimer highlights mid-single-digit growth in paying units, driven by effective marketing and cross-selling. Tax code complexity is expected to boost TurboTax Live adoption, increasing average revenue per user (ARPU).
QuickBooks Dominance: CLSA and Morgan Stanley emphasize Intuit’s leadership in mid-market accounting software, with QuickBooks Online poised to exceed consensus expectations. Analysts cite platform advantages and AI-driven execution (Intuit Assist) as growth accelerants.
Credit Karma Rebound: Oppenheimer and others note sustained growth in Credit Karma, driven by diversified financial services offerings and improved consumer engagement.
Legislative Tailwinds: BMO Capital cites the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" as a potential catalyst for TurboTax retention and upselling.
Operational Efficiency: Analysts repeatedly highlight cost discipline and AI integration (Intuit Assist) as drivers of margin expansion.

Neutral/Miss Risks:

The da Vinci 5 CE mark approval (likely a data error for Intuitive Surgical) is irrelevant to Intuit’s financials.
Minimal EPS estimate revisions (- 0.775%) suggest some skepticism, but Fact Data outweighs this.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Stock Play: Buy INTU ahead of earnings. Analysts’ price targets ($815–$900) imply ~20% upside from current levels.
Options: Buy August $720–$750 calls. Expect volatility compression post-earnings if Strong Beat materializes.
Hedge: Pair with S&P 500 puts to offset broader market risk (INTU has underperformed the S&P by ~12% since last quarter).

Rationale: Fact Data aligns with multi-segment growth catalysts (TurboTax, QuickBooks, Credit Karma) and margin expansion drivers. Market expectations appear conservative given muted stock performance relative to S&P 500.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

INTU Transcript

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Presents at Barclays 23rd Annual Global Technology Conference Transcript

Neutral12-10

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Presents at 53rd Annual Nasdaq Investor Conference Transcript

Neutral12-10

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Intuit Inc. (INTU) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive11-20

The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with projected revenue and EPS growth. Product development, particularly AI and platform innovations, is promising. Market strategy includes expanding presence and leveraging partnerships. Financial health seems stable, and shareholder returns are likely supported by growth plans. The Q&A section highlights confidence in market share gains and strategic initiatives, despite some uncertainties. Overall, the sentiment is positive, with potential for stock price appreciation.

INTU Slides

Intuit Q4 2025 slides: Revenue up 20%, provides optimistic FY'26 guidance

2025-08-21

Intuit Q1 FY’26 presentation slides: revenue growth accelerates, margins expand

2025-11-20

INTU Report

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Intuit Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Intuit Inc (INTU) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onAug 21, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Intuit Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 3.75B in revenue and an EPS of 2.66 for Intuit Inc's FY2025Q4.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Intuit Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Strong Beat forIntuit Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Aug 21, 2025. Intuit Inc The earnings forecast predicts a Strong Beat for Intuit, driven by multi-segment growth, operational efficiencies, and favorable legislative trends.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade INTU Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theAug 21, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Intuit Inc FY2025Q4?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!