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01/09 10:34
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Intel Corp (INTC) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/24 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 11.88B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.01 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
The forecast predicts a miss in earnings due to revenue headwinds, margin pressures, and high CapEx costs outweighing benefits from operational cost reductions.
Revenue Headwinds: Market share losses to AMD/ARM (Citi reports ARM gained share), closure of automotive/network/edge units, and skepticism around Intel Foundry’s sustainability (Loop Capital) overshadow potential tariff-driven pull-ins.
Margin Pressure: Write-offs from discontinuing 18A processes and restructuring costs outweigh benefits from layoffs/tax credits (35% credit timing unclear).
OpEx Reductions: Layoffs (15%-20% factory staff, 500+ Oregon jobs) align with cost optimization goals, but near-term restructuring costs may limit EPS upside.
Free Cash Flow: High CapEx (process transitions) persists, despite Mobileye share sale ($100M buyback is minor relative to Intel’s scale).
Short Stock/Buy Puts: Target $21–$22 (pre-earnings IV spike). Weak revenue/margin trends justify downside.
Bear Call Spread: Sell July $25 calls, buy $27 calls. Capitalize on low probability of material upside.
Avoid Long Plays: Structural challenges (foundry, AI lag) limit upside without clear catalysts.
Rationale: Consensus already prices in modest expectations (flat revenue, EPS revisions down -15%), but Fact Data suggests deeper risks (market share losses, restructuring drags). OpEx cuts unlikely to offset top-line weakness.
The earnings call summary and Q&A session reveal several concerns: Intel's cautious revenue outlook, margin pressures from product transitions, supply constraints, and lack of specific guidance on key projects like Diamond Rapids and Coral Rapids. Despite some positive developments in AI and partnerships, the lack of clear timelines and yield improvements, along with uncertainties in gross margins and CapEx, suggest a negative sentiment. The absence of guidance for 2026, coupled with margin and supply chain challenges, outweighs the positive aspects, leading to a predicted stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Intel Corp (INTC) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 24, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
Analysts' consensus predicts 11.88B in revenue and an EPS of 0.01 for Intel Corp's FY2025Q2.
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Miss forIntel Corp's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 24, 2025. Intel Corp The forecast predicts a miss in earnings due to revenue headwinds, margin pressures, and high CapEx costs outweighing benefits from operational cost reductions.
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 24, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
Each prediction includes a detailed rationale, key indicator forecasts, and scenario probabilities to guide your trades. For a *Beat*, consider buying call options or shares; for a *Miss*, explore puts or hedging strategies. The prediction card provides actionable suggestions, like specific option strikes or hedging tips, tailored to your risk tolerance. Trade smart and turn insights into profits!
