Interactive Brokers Group Inc (IBKR) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Interactive Brokers Group Inc (IBKR) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/20 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.51 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast anticipates a beat driven by structural growth in client cash balances, crypto adoption, and global market expansion.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Fact data indicates structural growth drivers in high-margin accounts, client cash balances, and crypto adoption, offsetting a seasonal dip in trading activity:
- Client Cash Balances & Net Interest Income:
December client credit balances rose 34% YoY ($ 160.1B), while margin loans surged 40% YoY ($ 90.2B).
Expanding access to Brazilian/Taiwanese equities and Karta Visa card adoption supports cash retention and interest income.
- Revenue Growth:
Crypto/Institutional Tailwinds: Goldman Sachs highlighted IBKR’s leadership in crypto-linked account growth, with 32% YoY client account expansion ( 4.4M accounts).
Sequential dip in December DARTs (-21% MoM) is offset by 4% YoY growth ( 3.384M trades), aided by new market access.
- Margin Stability:
- Automated brokerage model and scale efficiencies likely preserved pretax margins, despite rising crypto competition.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Directional Bullish: Long shares or buy Feb 2026 $75 calls.
- Hedge: Pair with puts on Coinbase (COIN) if crypto sentiment weakens.
- Catalysts: Post-earnings focus on Q1 2026 DARTs and crypto engagement metrics.
Rationale: Structural growth in client assets and institutional crypto adoption outweigh near-term volatility. Consensus downgrades (-0.975% revenue) set a low bar for upside surprise.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
IBKR Transcript
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, significant client growth, and positive market sentiment. However, uncertainties in the Q&A, like the vague timeline for the bank charter and unclear AI plans, temper the outlook slightly. Overall, the robust growth in trading volumes, customer accounts, and strategic initiatives like prediction markets and global expansion suggest a positive stock price movement.
The company's earnings call summary indicates strong growth in revenue trades and securities lending, as well as positive developments in product expansion and market strategy. Despite some uncertainties in interest rate sensitivity and regulatory impacts, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial performance, optimistic guidance on client growth, and a strategic focus on expanding digital assets. The Q&A session revealed no significant negative trends, supporting a positive outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with record revenue and a high pretax profit margin of 75%. Despite concerns about decelerating account growth, management's strategy to underpromise and overdeliver is reassuring. The Q&A section reveals optimism about digital assets and strategic investments in Zero Hash. However, management's vague responses on account growth and crypto market share gains are noted. The dividend increase and stock split are positive signals, and the company's strategic initiatives, like overnight trading growth, suggest a positive outlook, leading to an overall positive sentiment rating.
IBKR Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Interactive Brokers Group Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Interactive Brokers Group Inc (IBKR) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 20, 2026, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Interactive Brokers Group Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 1.00B in revenue and an EPS of 1.00 for Interactive Brokers Group Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Interactive Brokers Group Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forInteractive Brokers Group Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 20, 2026. Interactive Brokers Group Inc The earnings forecast anticipates a beat driven by structural growth in client cash balances, crypto adoption, and global market expansion.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade IBKR Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 20, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Interactive Brokers Group Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
