Robinhood Markets Inc (HOOD) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Robinhood Markets Inc (HOOD) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 11/05 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 1.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.51 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The forecast strongly anticipates a significant beat in revenue and EPS due to robust trading volumes, product growth, and cost efficiency.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Fact Data Analysis Impacting Core Metrics:
- Trading Volume Surge:
September equity trading volumes hit $206B (~$8B/day run rate vs. $ 6.7B in July/August).
Prediction markets (football, Kalshi partnership) generated $200M+ annualized revenue in September alone (Piper Sandler).
Crypto volumes remained robust ($8B app volume + $12B via Bitstamp).
- Product Velocity & User Growth:
S&P 500 inclusion (Sept 22) likely accelerated institutional adoption and net deposits (August: $ 4.8B deposits, 19% annualized growth).
Major product launches (short selling, Robinhood Social, AI tools) and international expansion of prediction markets drive engagement.
- Gold Subscriber Upside:
Cortex AI (Gold member-exclusive) and social features incentivize tier upgrades.
Analysts (Mizuho, Bernstein) highlighted "step-function improvements" in user retention.
- Cost Efficiency:
- Expense management noted in Q2 (BofA) likely continued, supporting EBITDA margins.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Stock: Buy ahead of earnings. S&P inclusion and retail momentum likely sustain upside.
- Options:
- Buy Nov 12 $140 calls ($5.50–$6.00): Play for Strong Beat volatility spike.
- Sell Nov 12 $125 puts ($2.00–$2.50): Capitalize on elevated IV with downside cushion.
- Hedge: Long-dated puts (Jan 2026 $120) for <1% portfolio allocation (tail risk).
Catalysts: Prediction market adoption, crypto bull market (Bernstein), and short-selling uptake. Risks: Fed rate cuts crimp net interest income, event contract regulation scrutiny.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
HOOD Transcript
The earnings call summary highlights strong revenue growth, product expansion, and international growth, which are positive indicators. The Q&A section reveals a focus on strategic initiatives like tokenization and Prediction Markets, with positive analyst sentiment. The absence of clear guidance on adopting digital assets is a minor concern, but overall, the strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and shareholder return plan suggest a positive outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Robinhood's earnings call and Q&A reveal a strong performance and optimistic outlook. Key highlights include a 50% YoY revenue increase, expanded adjusted EBITDA margin, and a significant increase in share repurchase authorization. Product development is robust, with successful new launches and international expansion. The Q&A section confirms positive sentiment, with analysts acknowledging strong growth in various business areas, including the securities lending and credit card segments. The company's strategic focus on tokenization and diversification further supports a positive market reaction. Despite some regulatory uncertainties, the overall sentiment is highly positive.
HOOD Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Robinhood Markets Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Robinhood Markets Inc (HOOD) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onNov 5, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Robinhood Markets Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 1.00B in revenue and an EPS of 1.00 for Robinhood Markets Inc's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Robinhood Markets Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Strong Beat forRobinhood Markets Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 5, 2025. Robinhood Markets Inc The forecast strongly anticipates a significant beat in revenue and EPS due to robust trading volumes, product growth, and cost efficiency.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade HOOD Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 5, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Robinhood Markets Inc FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
