GE Vernova Inc (GEV) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
GE Vernova Inc (GEV) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/22 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 9.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.78 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a beat, driven by strong bookings in Power/Electrification and a one-time cash boost from the Proficy sale.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Core Metric Analysis
- Equipment Orders Growth (Power/Electrification):
Positive Catalysts: GLJ Research cites "robust bookings pathway" with potential order surprises, Mizuho notes "strong bookings for power and electrification," and Susquehanna highlights "robust backlogs."
Negative Risks: Onshore wind "softness" (Fact Section 09/11) and Trump administration threats to offshore wind (09/17, 08/25).
Conclusion: Strong bookings in Power/Electrification likely offset wind weakness → Beat.
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin:
Positive: Mizuho highlights "accelerating EBITDA margins" in Power/Electrification.
Negative: Divestiture of Proficy software (high-margin business) and onshore wind margin compression (Fact Section 09/11).
Conclusion: Margin expansion in core segments likely balances software divestiture → Neutral.
- Free Cash Flow (FCF):
Positive: $600M proceeds from Proficy sale (Fact Section 09/11) provides one-time FCF boost.
Conclusion: Transaction-driven liquidity → Strong Beat.
- Power Segment Revenue:
Negative: Onshore wind revenue expected to decline 10-15% in 2026 (Fact Section 09/11) and turbine blade failure (09/17).
Conclusion: Structural headwinds → Miss.
- Electrification Backlog Conversion:
Positive: Verizon partnership (10/03) improves grid digitization, aiding backlog execution.
Conclusion: Operational efficiency gains → Beat.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Directional Play:
- Long Calls: Buy Nov 2025 $620 calls. Upside catalysts include strong bookings data and Proficy cash deployment.
- Hedge: Short Jan 2026 $550 puts to capitalize on volatility.
Spread Trade:
- Bull Put Spread: Sell $580 put / Buy $550 put (credit spread).
Macro Hedge:
- Short Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) to hedge against clean energy policy risks.
Rationale: Consensus expectations (-4.4% stock underperformance vs. S&P 500) are muted, but Fact Data suggests asymmetric upside from backlog execution and one-time cash infusion. Political risks (Trump) limit upside but are partially priced in.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
GEV Transcript
The earnings call summary shows strong performance in the Electrification segment, with significant revenue growth and margin expansion. The Q&A reveals optimism in future orders and backlog improvements, particularly in gas power and electrification. Despite challenges in the Wind segment, the company's strategic focus on electrification and strong cash position are positive indicators. The Prolec integration is progressing well, enhancing future prospects. Overall, the sentiment is positive, with potential stock price movement in the 2% to 8% range, considering the strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance.
The earnings call highlights robust financial performance, with significant growth in revenue and margins, and strong free cash flow. The Q&A session reveals positive market trends, such as rising gas turbine prices and strong demand for aero derivatives. Management expresses confidence in future growth and strategic acquisitions, such as Prolec, which are expected to enhance capacity and revenue. Despite some uncertainty in synergy realization timelines, the overall sentiment is highly optimistic, suggesting a strong positive stock price movement.
The earnings call highlights strong growth in the Power and Electrification segments, with significant backlog and order increases, particularly in Gas Power. Despite challenges in the Wind segment, the overall financial performance is robust, with expanding margins and positive pricing trends. Management's optimistic guidance and strategic investments in manufacturing and automation further support a positive outlook. The Q&A reinforced these positives, with analysts showing interest in growth areas and management addressing pricing and demand trends effectively. However, some uncertainty remains in Wind and long-term tax bill impacts, slightly tempering the overall positive sentiment.
GEV Slides
GEV Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the GE Vernova Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
GE Vernova Inc (GEV) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 22, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for GE Vernova Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 9.00B in revenue and an EPS of 2.00 for GE Vernova Inc's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for GE Vernova Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forGE Vernova Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 22, 2025. GE Vernova Inc The earnings forecast predicts a beat, driven by strong bookings in Power/Electrification and a one-time cash boost from the Proficy sale.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade GEV Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 22, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like GE Vernova Inc FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
