Great Elm Group Inc (GEG) Earning Prediction
Great Elm Group Inc (GEG) is set to release its earnings performance on 09/02 16:25:00 ET in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of - and an earnings per share (EPS) of for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
GEG Transcript
Despite a focus on growth initiatives and a significant share repurchase program, the company faces challenges. Revenue declined, and there were substantial unrealized losses due to market volatility, particularly affecting investments in GECC and CoreWeave. The net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss further highlight financial struggles. While the share repurchase program is positive, the overall financial health and market conditions suggest a negative sentiment, likely leading to a stock price decrease in the coming weeks.
The earnings call reveals several negative indicators: a net loss of $7.9 million, unrealized losses in investments, and an adjusted EBITDA loss. Despite revenue growth and a stock repurchase program, the debt refinancing increases overall debt. The Q&A session highlights concerns about unclear management responses and lack of guidance on Monomoy REIT. These factors suggest a negative market reaction, likely between -2% to -8%.
The earnings call highlights several positive developments: a strong increase in net income, a 140% revenue growth excluding one-time sales, increased dividends, and a robust stock repurchase program. The strategic partnership and credit business expansion further boost prospects. Despite potential market risks, the absence of Q&A concerns suggests confidence in management. The positive financial performance and strategic initiatives suggest a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The company's earnings report shows mixed signals: a 15% revenue growth and increased AUM are positive, but a net loss of $4.5M and reduced EBITDA are concerning. The share buyback at a discount and strategic acquisitions are positive, yet market volatility and investment risks pose challenges. The absence of Q&A insights and unclear future profitability amidst unrealized losses suggest a neutral outlook for the stock price in the short term.
GEG Slides
Great Elm Group Q2 2026 slides: $16.5M loss amid strategic platform expansionGreat Elm Group Q1 2026 slides: Revenue doubles despite swing to net lossGreat Elm Group Q4 2025 slides: Record results amid strategic partnershipsGreat Elm Group Q3 2025 slides: 15% revenue growth amid strategic expansionGEG Report
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Great Elm Group Inc (GEG) is scheduled to release its {quarter} earnings report on Sep 2, 2025, After Hours (approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
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Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of the Sep 2, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
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Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company's earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They're updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
