Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) Earning Prediction
Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/04 16:10:00 ET in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 208.96M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.38 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
GBDC Transcript
The earnings call reveals several concerns: declining investment income yield, decrease in net asset value, and modest decline in net investment spread. The Q&A highlights challenges in the software sector due to AI disruptions and a challenging market environment. Despite some positive aspects like strong credit performance, the overall sentiment is negative due to declining financial metrics and market uncertainties. Given the market cap of $2.7 billion, the stock is likely to react with a negative movement of -2% to -8% in the short term.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with solid credit results, low nonaccrual investments, and proactive share repurchase strategies. The Q&A section reveals some concerns about cost inflation and private credit spreads but overall optimism about capital spending provisions. The dividend strategy and share repurchase activities are positive indicators for shareholder returns. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, aligning with a positive sentiment prediction of 2% to 8% stock price movement.
Despite a stable adjusted NII and a strong dividend yield, the company's credit performance concerns, declining NAV, and spread compression pose challenges. The Q&A revealed no significant new insights, and management's responses were clear but did not address potential deleveraging. The company's cautious market outlook and uncertainties in M&A and tariffs contribute to a neutral sentiment. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is expected to remain relatively stable over the next two weeks, resulting in a neutral prediction.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: solid credit performance and a stable debt-to-equity ratio are positives, but concerns about unrealized losses, increased nonaccrual investments, and tariff risks are negatives. The Q&A highlights management's cautious approach and uncertainty regarding tariffs, which tempers optimism. The stable dividend and share repurchase are positive, but the macro environment and market volatility present challenges. Given the company's market cap of approximately $2.7 billion, the stock is likely to see moderate movement, resulting in a neutral sentiment prediction.
GBDC Slides
GBDC Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Golub Capital BDC Inc {quarter} Earnings Release Date and Time?
Golub Capital BDC Inc (GBDC) is scheduled to release its {quarter} earnings report on Feb 4, 2026, After Hours (approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Golub Capital BDC Inc {quarter} Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 208.96M in revenue and an EPS of 0.38 for Golub Capital BDC Inc's {quarter}.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Golub Capital BDC Inc {quarter} Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a {conclusion} for Golub Capital BDC Inc's {quarter} earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 4, 2026. Golub Capital BDC Inc {summary}
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade GBDC Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of the Feb 4, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Golub Capital BDC Inc {quarter}?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company's earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They're updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
