Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 11/12 16:05:00 ET in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 3.78B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.38 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' driven by U.S. revenue growth and international expansion, counterbalanced by structural challenges.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Key Metrics Analysis
- U.S. Revenue Growth (Beat):
Positive Drivers:
FanDuel’s partnership with Amazon as the NBA/WNBA odds provider enhances engagement and market share.
Expansion into Missouri (25th state with mobile betting) and new loyalty program likely drive user retention and spend.
Citi notes Q3 results are "better than feared," with NFL headwinds already priced in.
Negatives:
Prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi, Robinhood) pose competitive risks, but analysts argue minimal cannibalization (Jefferies, Craig-Hallum).
- EBITDA Margins (Neutral):
Headwinds:
Unfavorable NFL hold in September (Citizens JMP) and upfront marketing spend (Oppenheimer).
Bright Spots:
Cost discipline from operational leverage in U.S. iGaming and reduced international seasonality (Stifel).
- Net Income Impact from Noncash Charges (Neutral):
- No explicit evidence of reduced noncash charges. Prior improvements were noted, but Fact Data lacks specifics.
- Free Cash Flow (Neutral):
- High capex (acquisitions, tech investments) persists, but U.S. growth may offset cash burn.
- International Revenue Growth (Beat):
- Strong demand in markets like India (Junglee closure offset by strategic investments). Bernstein notes "solid volume growth" despite margin pressures.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
- Directional Play:
- Long Stock: Expect short-term rebound on Beat/NFL seasonality. Technical support near $200.
- Bullish Options: Nov $230 calls for leverage on upside surprise.
- Hedging:
- Pair with short DraftKings (DKNG) to mitigate sector-wide prediction market risks.
- Catalysts:
- Polymarket’s U.S. relaunch (late Nov) could renew sector volatility post-earnings.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
FLUT Transcript
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial growth projections, including a 40% YoY increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 23% increase in revenue. The company plans significant shareholder returns and strategic market expansions, particularly in Brazil. Positive analyst sentiment in the Q&A session, combined with strategic initiatives like the Boyd market access savings and cost transformation program, further support an optimistic outlook. These factors suggest a positive stock price movement, potentially in the 2% to 8% range, over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong business development with acquisitions, a new pricing technology, and expansion into new markets. The company's strategic focus on cost-saving and growth in the U.S. and Brazil is promising. Despite some management avoidance on specific questions, the overall sentiment is positive due to optimistic guidance, strategic partnerships, and a focus on shareholder returns. The lack of market cap data limits precise prediction, but the overall outlook suggests a positive stock price movement in the near term.
The earnings call shows mixed signals. While there are strong growth metrics in U.S. revenue and adjusted EBITDA, there are concerns over decreased free cash flow and increased debt. The Q&A reveals some optimism in product innovation and market growth, but also highlights management's avoidance of specifics on strategic questions. The share repurchase program is a positive, but not enough to offset the financial concerns. Thus, the overall sentiment is neutral, suggesting minimal stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant growth in income, adjusted EBITDA, and EPS. U.S. revenue growth is robust, particularly in iGaming. Despite a decrease in free cash flow and net cash from operations, the company is executing a substantial share repurchase program. The Q&A section shows confidence in product innovation and market strategy. While there are concerns about debt and cash flow, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives, suggesting a likely stock price increase in the next two weeks.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Flutter Entertainment PLC FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onNov 12, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Flutter Entertainment PLC FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 3.78B in revenue and an EPS of 0.38 for Flutter Entertainment PLC's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Flutter Entertainment PLC FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forFlutter Entertainment PLC's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 12, 2025. Flutter Entertainment PLC The earnings forecast predicts a 'Beat' driven by U.S. revenue growth and international expansion, counterbalanced by structural challenges.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade FLUT Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 12, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Flutter Entertainment PLC FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
