CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 02/12 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 11.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.66 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The forecast predicts a beat on revenue and EPS due to the Pearce acquisition and regional growth, with neutral expectations for free cash flow.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
- Pearce Services Acquisition:
- Adds $660M revenue ( 5.7% of consensus $ 11.66B) and $90M EBITDA in
Immediately accretive to core EPS (Q4 2025 results), directly addressing the "core EPS growth" concern.
Strengthens Building Operations & Experience segment, aligning with data center infrastructure demand.
- Japan/India Demand:
Analysts cite a "secure recovery phase" in commercial real estate, supporting 30% YoY growth in these regions.
Barclays notes CBRE is "best positioned" for recovery, implying execution strength.
- Free Cash Flow Risks Mitigated:
- Pearce’s $90M EBITDA offsets short-term cash outlay ($ 1.2B). Deleveraging efforts likely intact. Consensus expectations ( 0.2% revenue/ 0.4% EPS revisions) remain low, creating a beatable bar.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Stock: Buy ahead of earnings (low expectations + accretive catalyst).
- Options: Jan 2026 $170 calls for leveraged upside.
- Hedge: Pair with short puts (e.g., $150 strike) to capitalize on volatility crush. Rationale: Asymmetric upside from Pearce’s accretion and muted consensus revisions. Downside protected by low valuation (1.54% YTD underperformance vs. S&P 500).
Earnings Surprise Analysis
CBRE Transcript
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance, optimistic guidance, and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in data centers and project management. The raised EPS guidance and expected revenue growth in key segments indicate positive sentiment. Despite some vague responses, the overall outlook and strategic moves, such as leveraging synergies and expanding market share, suggest a positive stock price movement. However, the lack of concrete M&A details and EPS impact specifics slightly temper the sentiment, preventing a strong positive rating.
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance, with revenue growth in key segments and raised guidance. There is a positive outlook for leasing and project management, and a strategic focus on M&A and capital allocation. Despite some management vagueness, the overall sentiment is positive, particularly due to raised guidance and strong free cash flow expectations. The absence of significant negative factors suggests a positive stock price movement.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial metrics, including a 27% increase in Core EBITDA and 39% growth in core EPS. The company has a positive outlook with 2025 core EPS guidance indicating over 16% growth. The Q&A reveals some uncertainties due to tariffs and recession concerns, but the company is resilient and well-positioned for M&A opportunities. Share repurchases and low net leverage are favorable for shareholders. Overall, the company's growth and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks, despite some economic uncertainties.
CBRE Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the CBRE Group Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
CBRE Group Inc (CBRE) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onFeb 12, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for CBRE Group Inc FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 11.00B in revenue and an EPS of 3.00 for CBRE Group Inc's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for CBRE Group Inc FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forCBRE Group Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 12, 2026. CBRE Group Inc The forecast predicts a beat on revenue and EPS due to the Pearce acquisition and regional growth, with neutral expectations for free cash flow.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade CBRE Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theFeb 12, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like CBRE Group Inc FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
