Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA (BUD) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction
Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA (BUD) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/31 05:00:00 ET in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 15.30B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.94 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The forecast predicts a "Beat" based on strong performance in key segments and operational efficiency improvements.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Justification:
Fact data indicates several catalysts that could drive revenue and EPS above muted expectations:
- Michelob Ultra's Strong Performance (+ 3.1% U.S. store sales growth) demonstrates pricing power and brand resilience in a challenging beer market.
- Accelerating Non-Alcohol Beer Growth (34% revenue growth for Corona Cero) addresses health-conscious trends and supports premiumization.
- Operational Investments ($17M Houston brewery upgrade + $300M total U.S. CAPEX) suggest improved production efficiency and long-term margin support.
- Goldman Sachs Upgrade cites expectations for 1.2% volume growth and 4.5% organic sales growth, signaling confidence in execution despite calendar headwinds.
While consensus expectations have been revised downward (- 0.5% revenue, - 1.4% EPS), fundamental improvements in key growth segments and operational upgrades create a clear path to Beat. However, uncertainty around cannabis beverage monetization timing and reliance on U.S. volume recovery prevent a "Strong Beat" designation.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Preferred Play:
- Long Stock with tight stop at $68 (3% downside):
- Underperformance vs S&P 500 creates catch-up potential if earnings confirm turnaround
- Dividend cushion (2.8% yield) reduces downside risk
Optionality:
2. August $72.50 Calls (post-earnings expiry):
- Leverage potential "Beat" reaction with 30-delta upside exposure
- Hedge with puts on weaker brewers (e.g., TAP) for sector dispersion
Risk Note: Monitor U.S. beer volume data pre-earnings – weaker Nielsen stats would invalidate thesis.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
BUD Transcript
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance, strategic investments in brand growth, and positive market strategies, particularly in the U.S. and China. The Q&A section reveals optimism for future growth, especially in developing markets and Beyond Beer categories. While management was vague on some cost specifics, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong brand performance and strategic initiatives. Therefore, a 'Positive' rating is appropriate.
The earnings call summary highlights strong financial performance, product innovation, and strategic growth plans. Despite some concerns in markets like Brazil and China, management's confidence in medium-term growth, margin improvements, and strategic event activations indicates a positive outlook. The Q&A session reinforced this sentiment with plans for leveraging major events and focusing on high-growth brands. Given the overall positive tone, strong financial metrics, and optimistic guidance, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement in the coming weeks.
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with record revenue, improved EBITDA margins, and increased shareholder returns via a $1 billion buyback. Despite challenges in China and competitive pressures, the company is optimistic about future volume growth and market strategies, particularly in the U.S. and Mexico. The Q&A session reinforces confidence in long-term growth and strategic investments, with positive analyst sentiment. The positive financial metrics and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
BUD Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA (BUD) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 31, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 15.30B in revenue and an EPS of 0.94 for Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA's FY2025Q2.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA FY2025Q2 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forAnheuser-Busch Inbev SA's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 31, 2025. Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA The forecast predicts a "Beat" based on strong performance in key segments and operational efficiency improvements.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade BUD Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 31, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA FY2025Q2?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
