Boeing Co (BA) FY2025Q4 Earning Prediction
Boeing Co (BA) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 01/27 05:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 22.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of -0.40 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
The earnings forecast suggests a likely Beat scenario driven by strong commercial aerospace deliveries, defense contract execution, and operational improvements.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Fact Data Analysis:
- Revenue Growth Drivers:
Commercial Aerospace: Multiple large orders (Delta’s 60 787s, Alaska Airlines’ 105 737-10s, Ethiopian Airlines’ 9 787s, Aviation Capital Group’s 50 737 MAX jets) signal strong demand and delivery momentum.
Defense Contracts: A $ 25.36B indefinite-delivery defense contract, $ 118.85M modification, and $ 2.73B Apache support deal bolster revenue visibility.
Backlog Strength: CEO memo highlighted a record $600B backlog, with 737 MAX production ramping to 42/month (FAA-approved).
- Free Cash Flow Improvement:
Tentative labor agreement with Spirit AeroSystems reduces supply chain friction.
Operational progress (Q4 deliveries of 160 commercial jets) and defense contract advances likely improved working capital efficiency.
- BCA Margin Recovery:
- Higher 737 MAX deliveries and reduced charges (777X $ 4.9B loss already recognized) suggest margin expansion. No new 777X delays reported in Fact Data.
- Defense Segment Stability:
Defense awards and improved operational execution (per Bernstein) support margin resilience.
Risks:High expectations (24% stock rally) mean even a beat may not trigger large upside unless guidance is raised.
BNP Paribas’ Underperform rating cites consensus over-optimism, but majority of analysts remain bullish.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Bullish Play:
- Stock: Accumulate shares ahead of earnings, targeting $270–$280 (Citi/JPMorgan price targets).
- Options: Buy Feb 2026 $260 calls for leverage on a beat.
Hedge: - Pair long positions with out-of-the-money puts (e.g., Jan 2026 $240 puts) to mitigate downside from high expectations.
Rationale: Fact Data supports delivery/commercial momentum and defense stability, with upside potential from backlog execution.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
BA Transcript
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong financial performance with 34% revenue growth and improved EPS is positive. However, the delay in 777X delivery and uncertainty in cash flow normalization are concerns. The Q&A reveals management's lack of specificity, which could unsettle investors. Despite operational improvements and strategic investments, the absence of clear guidance and the $1 billion cash impact from Spirit in 2026 temper expectations. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positives are offset by uncertainties and execution risks.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include increased production rates for 737 and 787, a $2.8 billion contract with the U.S. Space Force, and expected positive free cash flow by 2025. However, delays in 737 MAX certification, reliance on a favorable global trade environment, and potential production impacts due to lower-grade stockpiles next year temper enthusiasm. The Q&A section reveals management's lack of clarity on several issues, further contributing to a neutral outlook. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
The earnings call highlights a mix of positive and negative factors. The $4.9 billion charge for the 777X program and delays in certification are significant negatives. The Q&A reveals further concerns about cash flow and certification delays. While there are positive elements like improved operating margins and strategic production increases, the financial burden and uncertainties weigh heavily. The lack of clear guidance on cash flow targets and production challenges further dampen sentiment, leading to a negative outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
BA Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boeing Co FY2025Q4 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Boeing Co (BA) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onJan 27, 2026, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Boeing Co FY2025Q4 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 22.00B in revenue and an EPS of 0.00 for Boeing Co's FY2025Q4.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Boeing Co FY2025Q4 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forBoeing Co's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Jan 27, 2026. Boeing Co The earnings forecast suggests a likely Beat scenario driven by strong commercial aerospace deliveries, defense contract execution, and operational improvements.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade BA Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJan 27, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Boeing Co FY2025Q4?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
