Boeing Co (BA) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction
Boeing Co (BA) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 10/29 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 22.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of -3.68 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Boeing is predicted to deliver an earnings beat due to strong delivery momentum, robust defense contracts, and operational improvements.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Logic & Justification
Revenue Growth (Beat):
Delivery Momentum: Boeing announced 160 commercial deliveries in Q3 (up from 440 YTD), with a focus on 737 MAX ramp-up post-FAA approval to increase production to 42/month. This directly addresses the market’s concern about delivery volumes driving revenue.
Defense Contracts: $ 2.7B PAC-3 seeker deal, $461M Chinook orders, and MH-139A helicopter contracts provide stable, high-margin defense revenue.
Backlog Growth: Turkish Airlines’ 75 787 Dreamliners and Korean Air’s 103-jet order expand the commercial backlog, signaling future revenue visibility.
EPS (Beat):
Operational Efficiency: Analysts note improving supply chain discipline (e.g., Vertical Research highlights "cultural shifts" and "delivering on projections"). FAA approval for self-certification reduces regulatory friction.
Strike Costs Mitigated: While the IAM 837 strike impacted St. Louis operations, Boeing’s replacement hiring and mediation progress likely limited cost overruns.
Free Cash Flow (Neutral):
- Working Capital Drag: Strike-related disruptions ($700M DOJ settlement in Q3) and 737 MAX production ramp-up costs likely offset delivery-driven cash inflows. Analysts flagged "billions" in 777X delay charges, but these are not yet realized.
BCA Margin (Neutral):
- Mixed signals: Higher 737 MAX deliveries (margin-positive) vs. labor strife and 777X delays (margin-drag).
Debt Reduction (Beat):
- Defense Cash Flows: Steady defense contracts and $ 3.1B in Q3 commercial orders support deleveraging.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Trading Strategy
- Stock: Buy BA ahead of earnings (low expectations priced in after underperforming S&P 500).
- Options: Sell Oct/Nov $210 puts (volatility crush post-earnings) or buy Jan 2026 $230 calls (leverage on delivery ramp).
- Hedges: Pair with long LMT (defense peer) to offset BA-specific strike risks.
Key Risks: Strike resolution delays, 777X charge acceleration, or China export restrictions (Trump’s threat).
Earnings Surprise Analysis
BA Transcript
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong financial performance with 34% revenue growth and improved EPS is positive. However, the delay in 777X delivery and uncertainty in cash flow normalization are concerns. The Q&A reveals management's lack of specificity, which could unsettle investors. Despite operational improvements and strategic investments, the absence of clear guidance and the $1 billion cash impact from Spirit in 2026 temper expectations. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positives are offset by uncertainties and execution risks.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include increased production rates for 737 and 787, a $2.8 billion contract with the U.S. Space Force, and expected positive free cash flow by 2025. However, delays in 737 MAX certification, reliance on a favorable global trade environment, and potential production impacts due to lower-grade stockpiles next year temper enthusiasm. The Q&A section reveals management's lack of clarity on several issues, further contributing to a neutral outlook. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
The earnings call highlights a mix of positive and negative factors. The $4.9 billion charge for the 777X program and delays in certification are significant negatives. The Q&A reveals further concerns about cash flow and certification delays. While there are positive elements like improved operating margins and strategic production increases, the financial burden and uncertainties weigh heavily. The lack of clear guidance on cash flow targets and production challenges further dampen sentiment, leading to a negative outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
BA Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boeing Co FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Boeing Co (BA) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onOct 29, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Boeing Co FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 22.00B in revenue and an EPS of -4.00 for Boeing Co's FY2025Q3.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Boeing Co FY2025Q3 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forBoeing Co's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Oct 29, 2025. Boeing Co Boeing is predicted to deliver an earnings beat due to strong delivery momentum, robust defense contracts, and operational improvements.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade BA Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theOct 29, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Boeing Co FY2025Q3?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
