Boeing Co (BA) FY2025Q2 Earning Prediction
Boeing Co (BA) is set to release its FY2025Q2 earnings performance on 07/29 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 22.00B and an earnings per share (EPS) of -1.54 for the FY2025Q2. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
AI Earnings Prediction
Boeing's delivery momentum and strong order book underpin a forecasted Beat, with potential upside tempered by supply chain and regulatory challenges.
Scenario Analysis
Key Indicators Forecast
No data
Prediction Logic & Rational
Key Fact Data Drivers:
- Commercial Delivery Momentum
150 deliveries in Q2 (including 737/787 models) and 303 new orders in May indicate production ramp-ups aligning with Boeing’s 2025 goals.
Resumed deliveries to China (787-9 to Juneyao Airlines) and Gulf Air/Qatar Airways mega-orders (12+210 widebodies) signal backlog stability and revenue visibility.
- Operational Improvements
737 MAX production near 38/month (vs. FAA cap) and FAA renewal of Boeing’s self-certification authority reflect progress in quality control.
New Defense CEO (Stephen Parker) and $ 2.8B ESS satellite contract suggest stabilization in BDS segment.
- Tariff Risks Mitigated
- Thailand/Saudi Arabia deals (avoiding tariffs via Boeing purchases) and proactive EU negotiations reduce near-term delivery disruptions.
- Legal Overhang Partially Resolved
- DOJ non-prosecution agreement (pending approval) removes uncertainty, though $487M penalty impacts cash flow.
Market Expectations vs. Reality: While consensus EPS estimates worsened (-65% revision), strong delivery data and order momentum likely offset cost headwinds. However, persistent supply chain bottlenecks (GE Aerospace’s tight supply chain commentary) and FAA scrutiny (landing gear inspections) temper upside, making a "Strong Beat" less probable.
Tactical Strategy Recommendations
Options Play:
- Buy July 29 $240 calls (delta ~0.3) to capture upside from a Beat.
- Sell $220 puts to hedge against downside (implied volatility elevated at ~35%).
Stock Pair Trade:
- Long BA / Short SPR (Spirit AeroSystems) – BA’s acquisition of SPR reduces supplier risk, but SPR’s valuation remains stretched.
Post-Earnings Swing:
- If Beat confirmed, sell into rally (30% run-up since last earnings suggests profit-taking).
- If Neutral/Miss, accumulate shares on dip (long-term delivery ramp intact).
Rationale: Boeing’s delivery momentum and orderbook justify a Beat, but high expectations limit asymmetric upside. Focus on volatility decay and tactical exits.
Earnings Surprise Analysis
BA Transcript
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong financial performance with 34% revenue growth and improved EPS is positive. However, the delay in 777X delivery and uncertainty in cash flow normalization are concerns. The Q&A reveals management's lack of specificity, which could unsettle investors. Despite operational improvements and strategic investments, the absence of clear guidance and the $1 billion cash impact from Spirit in 2026 temper expectations. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positives are offset by uncertainties and execution risks.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include increased production rates for 737 and 787, a $2.8 billion contract with the U.S. Space Force, and expected positive free cash flow by 2025. However, delays in 737 MAX certification, reliance on a favorable global trade environment, and potential production impacts due to lower-grade stockpiles next year temper enthusiasm. The Q&A section reveals management's lack of clarity on several issues, further contributing to a neutral outlook. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable in the short term.
The earnings call highlights a mix of positive and negative factors. The $4.9 billion charge for the 777X program and delays in certification are significant negatives. The Q&A reveals further concerns about cash flow and certification delays. While there are positive elements like improved operating margins and strategic production increases, the financial burden and uncertainties weigh heavily. The lack of clear guidance on cash flow targets and production challenges further dampen sentiment, leading to a negative outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
BA Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Boeing Co FY2025Q2 Earnings Release Date and Time?
Boeing Co (BA) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q2 earnings report onJul 29, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Boeing Co FY2025Q2 Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 22.00B in revenue and an EPS of -2.00 for Boeing Co's FY2025Q2.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Boeing Co FY2025Q2 Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forBoeing Co's FY2025Q2 earnings, with a prediction date of Jul 29, 2025. Boeing Co Boeing's delivery momentum and strong order book underpin a forecasted Beat, with potential upside tempered by supply chain and regulatory challenges.
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade BA Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theJul 29, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Boeing Co FY2025Q2?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
