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01/09 10:15
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Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) is set to release its FY2025Q4 earnings performance on 11/13 05:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 6.67B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.11 for the FY2025Q4. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
The forecast anticipates a Neutral outcome due to mixed catalysts, with DRAM and cost management offset by export restrictions and competitive pressures.
The stock's 44% surge vs. S&P500's 4% gain signals extremely high market expectations, requiring exceptionally strong fundamentals to justify a "Beat." Fact data presents mixed catalysts:
Positive Drivers:
DRAM/AI Exposure: Multiple analysts highlight AMAT’s leverage to DRAM investments (critical for AI hardware) and upward revisions to 2026 wafer fab equipment (WFE) forecasts. New product launches (e.g., AI-focused semiconductor systems) could drive near-term revenue.
Cost Management: Workforce reduction (4% cut) may improve margins and EPS through lower operating expenses.
Negative Headwinds:
China Export Restrictions: The BIS Affiliates Rule will reduce Q4 revenue by $110M ( 1.6% of consensus) and $600M in FY2026, directly impacting Semiconductor Systems growth.
Market Share Risks: Mizuho and Daiwa downgrades cite competitive pressures in China and technology transitions (e.g., sputtering/PCVD), threatening long-term revenue.
Net Impact: While DRAM momentum and cost controls could support results, the immediate $110M revenue hit, high valuation, and geopolitical risks create a balanced risk/reward.
Rationale: High expectations and geopolitical uncertainty create asymmetric risk, favoring volatility strategies over directional bets.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook with both positive and negative elements. The company anticipates lower revenue and earnings due to uncertainties in China and market concentration. However, there are growth opportunities in AI, advanced packaging, and power electronics. The Q&A section reinforces these mixed signals, with concerns about China revenue and management's unclear responses. Despite strong positions in leading-edge and DRAM, the lack of specific guidance and mixed performance in certain segments contribute to a neutral sentiment.
Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q4 earnings report onNov 13, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
Analysts' consensus predicts 6.67B in revenue and an EPS of 2.11 for Applied Materials Inc's FY2025Q4.
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Neutral forApplied Materials Inc's FY2025Q4 earnings, with a prediction date of Nov 13, 2025. Applied Materials Inc The forecast anticipates a Neutral outcome due to mixed catalysts, with DRAM and cost management offset by export restrictions and competitive pressures.
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theNov 13, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
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