Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

08/14 04:00:00

After Hours

Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 08/14 04:00:00 in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 7.21B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 2.34 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

7.21B

7.30B

+1.23%

EPSBEAT

2.34

2.48

+5.98%

AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Aug 14, 2025

The forecast suggests a likely earnings beat driven by strong semiconductor demand, favorable China dynamics, and share repurchases boosting EPS.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

4 beats1 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

30%

+5-8%

Revenue >$7.3B, EPS >$2.45, robust China WFE growth.

Beat

40%

+2-4%

Revenue $7.2B-$7.3B, EPS $2.35-$2.45.

Neutral

20%

Flat to -2%

Revenue/EPS in line with consensus; muted China data.

Miss

10%

-4-6%

Revenue <$7.1B, EPS <$2.30; China weakness.

Unlock Free Scenario Probability

Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

Semiconductor Systems demand driven by U.S. partnerships and China WFE growth.

EPS

Beat

Share buybacks reduce dilution; stable margins support profitability.

Unlock Free Key Indicators Forecast

Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Key Drivers from Fact Data:

Semiconductor Systems Revenue Growth

Partnerships with Apple and Texas Instruments to supply U.S.-made chipmaking equipment and a $200M Arizona facility investment indicate strong near-term demand for Semiconductor Systems.
Expansion of the CEA-Leti joint lab focuses on AI/industrial automation, aligning with high-growth markets. These initiatives directly address the core metric of Semiconductor Systems revenue.

China Dynamics and Regulatory Relief

Citi notes eased China export restrictions and improved H2 2025 outlook, reducing downside risks. Mizuho and Cantor Fitzgerald highlight better-than-expected China wafer fab equipment (WFE) spending, supporting revenue growth.

Share Repurchases and EPS Support

$10B share repurchase authorization and $ 1.7B executed in buybacks will reduce shares outstanding, mechanically boosting EPS.

Margin Stability

No direct margin pressure signals in Fact Data. Improved product mix (advanced nodes for AI/EVs) and operational efficiency from U.S. infrastructure investments suggest gross margin stability.

Mixed Analyst Sentiment on Long-Term Risks

Barclays and Morgan Stanley caution on 2026 estimates being "structurally too high," but near-term catalysts (H2 China spending, U.S. partnerships) outweigh these concerns for Q

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Bullish Options Play: Buy August $185 calls ahead of earnings to capitalize on upward momentum.
Stock Accumulation: Dip-buy below $180 provides favorable risk/reward given strong H2 catalysts.
Hedge: Pair long stock with November $170 puts to mitigate China/2026 risks highlighted by Barclays and Rothschild.

Rationale: Fact Data supports near-term beats, but high expectations (12.7% stock outperformance) limit upside for a "Strong Beat." Focus on tactical positioning around earnings volatility.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

AMAT Transcript

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Unknown11-13

The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook with both positive and negative elements. The company anticipates lower revenue and earnings due to uncertainties in China and market concentration. However, there are growth opportunities in AI, advanced packaging, and power electronics. The Q&A section reinforces these mixed signals, with concerns about China revenue and management's unclear responses. Despite strong positions in leading-edge and DRAM, the lack of specific guidance and mixed performance in certain segments contribute to a neutral sentiment.

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Presents At Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference (Transcript)

Neutral9-9

Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Presents at Deutsche Bank's 2025 Technology Conference Transcript

Neutral8-28

AMAT Slides

Applied Materials Q3 2025 slides: Record performance overshadowed by China concerns

2025-08-14

Applied Materials Q4 2025 slides: Record annual results despite Q4 slowdown

2025-11-13

AMAT Report

APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE 10-Q

10-Q

2025-02-20

APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE 10-K

10-K

2024-12-13

APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE 10-Q

10-Q

2024-08-22

APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE 10-Q

10-Q

2024-05-23

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Applied Materials Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onAug 14, 2025, After Hours(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Applied Materials Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 7.21B in revenue and an EPS of 2.34 for Applied Materials Inc's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Applied Materials Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forApplied Materials Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Aug 14, 2025. Applied Materials Inc The forecast suggests a likely earnings beat driven by strong semiconductor demand, favorable China dynamics, and share repurchases boosting EPS.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade AMAT Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theAug 14, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Applied Materials Inc FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!