Analog Devices Inc (ADI) FY2025Q3 Earning Prediction

08/20 04:00:00

Pre-Market

Analog Devices Inc (ADI) is set to release its FY2025Q3 earnings performance on 08/20 04:00:00 in Pre-Market trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 2.76B and an earnings per share (EPS) of 1.93 for the FY2025Q3. With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!

Estimate

Actual

Surprise

RevenueBEAT

2.76B

2.88B

+4.40%

EPSBEAT

1.93

2.05

+6.22%

AI Summary

Report

Attend Webcast

AI Earnings Prediction

Prediction for FY2025Q3

Earnings Date: Aug 20, 2025

The earnings forecast indicates a potential Beat driven by cyclical recovery and operational discipline.

Beat

Last 0 quarters:

5 beats0 misses

Scenario Analysis

The AI analyzes the probability of each scenario occurring and identifies the triggering conditions.

Scenario

Prob.

Stock Reaction

Trigger Condition

Strong Beat

30%

+5-7%

Revenue growth >3% above consensus + margin expansion >100bps

Beat

50%

+2-4%

Revenue/EPS in line with upward revisions; guidance maintained

Neutral

15%

Flat

Mixed demand signals (e.g., auto weakness offsets industrial strength)

Miss

-3-5%

China competition hits margins; inventory restocking stalls

Strong Miss

N/A

Unlikely given cyclical recovery momentum

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Key Indicators Forecast

The AI provides itemized forecasts for key indicators, potentially including revenue, EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow.

Revenue

EPS

Currency:

No data

Actual

Estimate

Metric

Prediction

Justification

Revenue

Beat

Industrial/auto demand recovery & inventory restocking (KeyBanc, Citi) drive upside vs. flat consensus.

EPS

Beat

Margin expansion from utilization gains (Stifel, BofA) and disciplined OpEx (Goldman, Cantor) support EPS growth.

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Prediction Logic & Rational

Logic & Justification

Key Fact Data Insights:

Cyclical Recovery in Analog Semiconductors:

Analysts (Stifel, Goldman Sachs, Citi) highlight that the semiconductor inventory correction has bottomed, and cyclical recovery is underway. ADI’s "outsized industrial exposure" positions it for early-cycle recovery benefits (Cantor Fitzgerald).
Industrial and auto demand are critical to ADI’s revenue, and improving macro trends (e.g., inventory restocking, tariff-related pull-ins) suggest upside to consensus.

Margin Expansion Drivers:

Analysts (KeyBanc, BofA) note resilient utilization rates and disciplined supply-chain management, supporting gross margins. Goldman Sachs specifically praises ADI’s "best-in-class" supply chain execution.
Variable compensation (a prior OpEx concern) is not cited as a rising risk in recent updates, implying cost control.

China Risks Mitigated:

While Wells Fargo raises competitive risks in China, most analysts (Citi, Cantor Fitzgerald) argue ADI’s "higher asset quality" and diversified exposure offset these threats.
Consensus Context:
Revenue/EPS estimate revisions are modest (+ 0.089%/+ 0.733%), signaling low expectations priced in.
Stock price underperformance vs. S&P 500 (– 0.27% delta) suggests muted optimism despite upgrades.

Prediction Logic & Rational

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Trading Strategy

Directional Play: Buy shares ahead of earnings, targeting $250–260 (15–20% upside) on a Beat.
Options: August $240 calls for leverage on Beat/Strong Beat scenarios.
Hedge: Pair with TXN (peer with weaker industrial exposure) to mitigate sector-wide risks.
Rationale: The cyclical rebound in industrial/auto markets and ADI’s operational discipline create asymmetric upside vs. low consensus revisions. Analysts’ focus on "early-cycle recovery" and "best-in-class" execution aligns with a Beat scenario.

Tactical Strategy Recommendations

Earnings Surprise Analysis

The chart displays the extent of earnings surprises and corresponding stock price movements for each earnings event.

Revenue

EPS

ADI Transcript

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Presents at UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 Transcript

Neutral12-2

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Positive11-25

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance with a 35% YoY EPS increase, margin expansion, and double-digit growth in key segments like communications and consumer. Despite some uncertainties in the macro environment and limited visibility, the overall guidance remains optimistic with expectations of broad-based growth in fiscal '26. Positive factors like strong content gains and design wins in auto, alongside promising AI and defense sectors, contribute to a positive outlook. The lack of specific guidance for Q2 is a minor concern but doesn't overshadow the overall positive sentiment.

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Presents at JPMorgan U.S. All Stars Conference Transcript

Neutral9-16

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Presents At Citi's 2025 Global Technology, Media And Telecommunications Conference Transcript

Neutral9-4

ADI Report

ANALOG DEVICES INC 10-Q

10-Q

2025-08-20

ANALOG DEVICES INC 10-Q

10-Q

2025-02-19

ANALOG DEVICES INC 10-K

10-K

2024-11-26

ANALOG DEVICES INC 10-Q

10-Q

2024-08-21

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Analog Devices Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings Release Date and Time?

Analog Devices Inc (ADI) is scheduled to release its FY2025Q3 earnings report onAug 20, 2025, Pre-Market(approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.

What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Analog Devices Inc FY2025Q3 Revenue and EPS?

Analysts' consensus predicts 2.76B in revenue and an EPS of 1.93 for Analog Devices Inc's FY2025Q3.

What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Analog Devices Inc FY2025Q3 Earnings?

Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a Beat forAnalog Devices Inc's FY2025Q3 earnings, with a prediction date of Aug 20, 2025. Analog Devices Inc The earnings forecast indicates a potential Beat driven by cyclical recovery and operational discipline.

How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade ADI Stock?

Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of theAug 20, 2025 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.

How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Analog Devices Inc FY2025Q3?

Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.

How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?

AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!

When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?

Predictions are generated two days before a company’s earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They’re updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.

Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?

Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2024-2025 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!