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XGN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Exagen Inc(XGN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Exagen Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04Pre-Market-0.13-0.19-46.1516.90M17.24M+2.04-8.96-19.19
FY2025Q22025-07-29Pre-Market-0.18-0.18-16.31M17.20M+5.50+14.34+16.78
FY2025Q12025-05-05Pre-Market-0.20-0.20-14.55M15.50M+6.49+3.82+2.33
FY2024Q42025-03-11Pre-Market-0.27-0.20+25.9313.85M13.66M-1.41+18.25+27.02
FY2024Q22024-08-05--0.36-0.16+55.5613.13M15.06M+14.70+17.65+65.69
FY2024Q12024-05-13--0.40-0.19+52.5013.08M14.42M+10.18+4.46+19.75
FY2023Q42024-03-18--0.41-0.31+24.3911.56M13.77M+19.07+9.26-0.62
FY2023Q32023-11-13--0.50-0.31+38.0010.33M13.42M+29.83+0.69+8.41
FY2023Q22023-08-07--0.48-0.28+41.6710.93M14.14M+29.36+8.76+1.99
-2023-05-15--0.52-0.44+15.38----0.61+6.48
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XGN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Exagen Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of -0.19, compared to analyst estimates of -0.13 by -46.15% . Revenue for the quarter reached 17.24M compared to expectations of 16.90M by 2.04% .
The stock price reacted with a -8.96% one-day change and a -19.19% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Exagen Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

XGN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Exagen Inc(XGN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 17.51M and an EPS of -0.18.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.09%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 29%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.48% . These revisions correlate with a -22.54% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Exagen Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between XGN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.09%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+29%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
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-1.48%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-22.54%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:67.29M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.86
—
Stock Price7.49
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Financial AI Agent

XGN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Exagen Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.19 (Actual) vs.-0.13 (Estimate) (-46.15%)
Revenue: 17.24M (Actual) vs. 16.90M (Estimate) (2.04%)
Price Reaction: -8.96%(1-Day), -19.19%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-29,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.18 (Actual) vs.-0.18 (Estimate) (0.00%)
Revenue: 17.20M (Actual) vs. 16.31M (Estimate) (5.50%)
Price Reaction: 14.34%(1-Day), 16.78%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.20 (Actual) vs.-0.20 (Estimate) (0.00%)
Revenue: 15.50M (Actual) vs. 14.55M (Estimate) (6.49%)
Price Reaction: 3.82%(1-Day), 2.33%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how XGN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, XGN sees a -7.11% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.68% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +6.77%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -4.09% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -23.77% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Exagen Inc (XGN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-04
The earnings call summary suggests mixed signals: positive revenue growth and ASP expansion are countered by challenges in achieving ASP targets and addressing payment denials. The Q&A section reveals management's unclear responses on key metrics, raising concerns. However, the strategic plan for 2025 shows optimism with new biomarker launches and potential pharma partnerships. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-29
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with improved gross margins and sustainable volume growth. Management is confident in achieving the ASP increase, and the strategic expansion of territories and pipeline developments are promising. Despite some increase in operating expenses and net loss, the company is on track for positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow. The Q&A section supports the positive outlook, highlighting market potential and strategic initiatives. While management avoided specific guidance on volume, the overall sentiment remains positive with expectations of continued growth.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-11
The earnings call presents mixed signals. While revenue increased by 8% and there's a positive outlook for new biomarker launches, gross margin slightly declined and net loss widened. The new credit facility and debt refinancing are positive, enhancing financial flexibility. However, management's vague guidance, especially regarding volume and margins, introduces uncertainty. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism but lacks clarity on future growth. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable, leading to a neutral prediction.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: revenue increased by 8%, but gross margin slightly decreased, and net loss widened. The company's strategic initiatives, such as new biomarker launches and debt refinancing, are positive. However, the Q&A reveals uncertainties in volume growth and payer acceptance. The lack of specific guidance on volume expectations and payer practices raises concerns. Overall, the positive aspects are offset by these uncertainties, leading to a neutral sentiment prediction for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-05
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. While there is revenue growth and a positive outlook on gross margins, the increase in net loss and adjusted EBITDA loss, along with unclear management responses, create uncertainty. The Q&A section reveals a lack of detailed guidance, which may concern investors. Despite positive strategic initiatives like new biomarkers and refinancing, the overall sentiment remains cautious, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-12
The earnings call summary presented mixed signals. Financial performance shows improvement in revenue and gross margin, but challenges like regulatory hurdles, sales territory reduction, and physician attrition offset these gains. The Q&A section revealed management's reluctance to provide clear guidance on ASP trends and gross margins, indicating uncertainty. Despite a promising product pipeline and potential partnerships, the lack of a share repurchase program and unclear guidance temper optimism. Given these factors, a neutral stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-11
The earnings call highlights positive developments such as a 6% revenue increase, improved ASP, and reduced operating expenses, but also reveals challenges like volume growth decline and increased cash requirements. The Q&A session suggests cautious optimism, with potential revenue growth from new markers and partnerships. However, unclear management responses and the absence of a shareholder return plan temper enthusiasm. Given the mixed signals, a neutral stock price movement is expected, with potential adjustments based on market cap information.
Exagen Inc (XGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-11
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: a modest revenue increase, improved EBITDA, and cost reductions are positive. However, declining test volumes, regulatory challenges, and vague management responses raise concerns. The market's reaction is likely neutral due to these offsetting factors.
Exagen, Inc. (XGN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-12
The earnings call revealed strong financial metrics, including record revenue, improved EBITDA loss, and cash flow expectations. Despite operational challenges and regulatory delays, the company's strategic initiatives, like the new product launch and biopharma contracts, indicate growth potential. The Q&A section highlighted optimism around future product launches and capacity expansion, with analysts showing interest in the company's strategies. The increased revenue guidance and cash flow positivity expectation further support a positive sentiment, likely leading to a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Exagen, Inc. (XGN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-05
The earnings call highlights positive financial performance with increased revenue and improved margins, along with reduced operating expenses and net loss. Despite some uncertainties in guidance, the company raised its revenue forecast and demonstrated strong ASP growth. The Q&A session provided clarity on strategic plans and potential for future product enhancements. The absence of a share repurchase program and some unclear management responses slightly temper the outlook, but overall, the company's performance and future prospects suggest a positive sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of XGN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

XGN reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 17.24M against an estimate of 16.90M, resulting in a 2.04% surprise. The EPS was -0.19, surpassing the expected -0.13 by -46.15% . The stock experienced a -8.96% price change on the earnings day and a -19.19% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did XGN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following XGN’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by -8.96% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -19.19% change. Historically, XGN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -7.11% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +4.68% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for XGN for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate XGN’s annual revenue to reach 17.51M, while the EPS is projected at -0.18. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.09% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.48% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does XGN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between XGN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.09%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.48% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from XGN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, XGN’s stock price typically moves by -7.11% in the 10 days before its earnings and +4.68% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.18 and revenue of 17.51M.
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What is the sentiment in Exagen Inc (XGN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary suggests mixed signals: positive revenue growth and ASP expansion are countered by challenges in achieving ASP targets and addressing payment denials. The Q&A section reveals management's unclear responses on key metrics, raising concerns. However, the strategic plan for 2025 shows optimism with new biomarker launches and potential pharma partnerships. Overall, the sentiment is balanced, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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