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The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance and business updates are positive, with growth expectations and strategic acquisitions. However, concerns about regulatory volatility and lack of specific guidance on key projects create uncertainties. The Q&A reveals management's confidence but also highlights areas lacking clarity. Given the absence of a market cap, the prediction remains neutral, as positive growth prospects are counterbalanced by uncertainties.
Produced water handling volumes 2.5 million barrels per day, representing quarter-over-quarter growth of 7%. Sequential volume growth was driven by new volumes coming online on our bpx Kraken infrastructure and continued organic growth across our existing contract portfolio.
Pro forma revenue $205.5 million, up 8% compared to last quarter, driven mainly by the previously discussed increase in volumes as well as by increased rates in the period.
Pro forma net loss $18.7 million for the third quarter.
Pro forma adjusted EBITDA $105.7 million, with pro forma adjusted EBITDA margin of 51%.
Liquidity $547 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $347 million and $200 million of undrawn legacy revolving credit facility.
Borrowings outstanding $1.73 billion as of September 30, associated with legacy entities.
bpx Kraken project: Brought online at the beginning of the third quarter, featuring a 10-year minimum volume commitment from bpx. Initial produced water handling capacity of approximately 400,000 barrels per day, expandable to 600,000 barrels per day.
Speedway pipeline project: Final investment decision announced for the first phase. Will connect oil and gas developments in the Northern Delaware Basin to out-of-basin pore space owned by LandBridge in the Central Basin Platform. Construction underway, expected in-service date mid-2026.
IPO and market positioning: WaterBridge completed its IPO in September 2025, listing on the NYSE and NYSE Texas. It was the largest energy sector IPO since 2019, with an upsized offering significantly oversubscribed and priced at the high end of the range.
Produced water handling volumes: Achieved 2.5 million barrels per day in the third quarter, representing 7% quarter-over-quarter growth.
Revenue growth: Pro forma revenue for the third quarter increased to $205.5 million, up 8% compared to last quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA: Pro forma adjusted EBITDA was $105.7 million, with a margin of 51%.
Capital structure optimization: Streamlined balance sheet with a $1.425 billion senior notes offering, reducing annual interest and amortization expenses. Replaced $200 million legacy credit facilities with a new $500 million senior secured revolving credit facility maturing in 2030.
Future growth strategy: Focus on organic growth, accretive acquisitions, and expansion opportunities. Long-term leverage target of less than 3x. Potential for shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases.
Regulatory Considerations: The company operates in the Delaware Basin, which involves evolving regulatory considerations. This could pose challenges in maintaining compliance and adapting to new regulations, potentially impacting operations and costs.
Operational Uptime: The need for continuous operational uptime in the Delaware Basin is critical. Any disruptions in the infrastructure network could adversely affect the company's ability to meet customer needs and maintain revenue streams.
Customer Concentration Risk: Although the customer base is diversified, no single customer represents more than 17% of revenue. However, reliance on a few large customers could still pose risks if any of them reduce activity or terminate contracts.
Debt and Financial Leverage: The company has significant borrowings of approximately $1.73 billion, which could impact financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate changes or economic downturns.
Project Execution Risks: The Speedway pipeline project and other infrastructure expansions involve construction and execution risks, including potential delays, cost overruns, or failure to meet expected capacity and demand.
Economic and Market Conditions: The company's performance is tied to the oil and gas industry, making it susceptible to economic downturns, fluctuating commodity prices, and reduced industry activity.
Future Guidance Announcement: The company plans to provide 2026 guidance during the fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call.
Expansion Projects: The Speedway pipeline project is under construction and expected to be operational by mid-2026. This project will connect oil and gas developments in the Northern Delaware Basin to out-of-basin pore space owned by LandBridge in the Central Basin Platform.
Capacity Expansion: The bpx Kraken project, which came online in Q3 2025, has an initial produced water handling capacity of approximately 400,000 barrels per day, with the ability to increase to approximately 600,000 barrels per day.
Capital Allocation Framework: The company aims to maintain a conservative balance sheet with a long-term leverage target of less than 3x. Future capital returns to shareholders may include dividends and opportunistic share repurchases.
Potential Dividends: The CFO mentioned that the company is considering returning capital to shareholders, which could include dividends in the future. However, no specific dividend program or timeline was announced.
Potential Share Repurchases: The CFO stated that the company might engage in opportunistic share repurchases as part of its capital return strategy. No specific details or plans were provided.
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