The chart below shows how W performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, W sees a +4.54% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.70% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.83%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Market Share Resilience: Q3 marked another proof-point of resilience for Wayfair with further market share capture in the face of sustained challenges in the category.
Cost Discipline and EBITDA Growth: We navigated a dynamic consumer environment, while driving further discipline on costs to achieve a mid-single digit adjusted EBITDA margin for the second quarter in a row, totaling almost $100 million year-over-year in Q3.
Choppy Macro Trends: The third quarter exhibited a continuation of choppy macro trends we've seen across 2024.
Significant Year-over-Year Improvements: We are pleased to be making noteworthy improvements across each one of these, totaling almost $100 million year-over-year in Q3.
Cash and Liquidity Position: We ended the quarter with $1.3 billion of cash and equivalents and $1.9 billion of total liquidity when factoring in our undrawn revolving credit facility.
Negative
Revenue Decline Analysis: Net revenue was down 2% year-over-year in Q3 or down about 7.5% on a sequential basis, closely in line with the sequential pattern we saw in 2023.
Order Decline and AOV Increase: This is driven by orders down 6.1% versus the year ago period, modestly offset by AOV, which was up 4.4% year-on-year and down 1% sequentially, again, in line with what we would typically expect to see in the seasonal cadence moving from the second to the third quarter of the year.
Choppy Macro Trends: The third quarter exhibited a continuation of choppy macro trends we've seen across 2024.
Consumer Spending Caution: Consumers remain trepidatious in their spending patterns and are demonstrating more price elasticity than we saw in the early months of the year.
Cash and Liquidity Position: We ended the quarter with $1.3 billion of cash and equivalents and $1.9 billion of total liquidity when factoring in our undrawn revolving credit facility.
Wayfair Inc. (W) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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