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The earnings call highlights significant challenges, including a stop work order from BARDA and workforce reductions, indicating financial and operational strain. Despite a positive EPS surprise, the lack of clear guidance on future product efficacy and management's vague responses during the Q&A add to uncertainties. The increase in revenue is overshadowed by these issues, and future funding strategies are speculative. The overall sentiment leans negative due to regulatory and competitive pressures, potential supply chain issues, and the need for strategic funding to maintain operations.
Revenue $28.7 million (up from $7.4 million in 2023), a year-over-year increase of approximately 287%. The increase was primarily due to government contracts related to BARDA and non-cash royalty revenue from sales of Inavir in Japan.
Cash and Cash Equivalents $51.7 million at the end of 2024. This figure reflects the company's financial position following the revenue increase and is crucial for sustaining operations.
EPS Reported EPS is $-0.05, compared to expectations of $-0.10, indicating a better-than-expected performance.
COVID-19 Vaccine Development: Vaxart received an award of approximately $460 million to conduct a 10,000 participant head-to-head study against an available mRNA comparator. Enrollment of the initial sentinel cohort of 400 participants was completed in November 2024.
Norovirus Vaccine Development: Initiated a Phase 1 trial evaluating second-generation oral norovirus vaccine constructs against first-generation constructs, with potential Phase 2 study beginning in the second half of 2025.
Revenue Growth: Revenue for 2024 was $28.7 million, compared to $7.4 million in 2023, primarily from government contracts and non-cash royalty revenue.
Cash Position: Vaxart ended 2024 with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $51.7 million, anticipating cash runway into Q4 2025.
Expense Management: Implemented measures to reduce expenses, including workforce reduction following the BARDA stop work order.
Strategic Partnerships: Exploring various strategies to extend cash runway through strategic partnerships, non-dilutive funding, and cost reduction initiatives.
Regulatory Issues: Vaxart received a stop work order related to its BARDA funded Project NextGen award from the US Department of Health and Human Services, halting all activities related to a planned 10,000 participant study.
Financial Risks: The company is implementing measures to reduce expenses, including workforce reduction, due to the impact of the stop work order. Vaxart is exploring strategies to extend its cash runway through partnerships and funding.
Clinical Development Risks: Uncertainty inherent in the clinical development and regulatory process could materially affect actual results compared to forward-looking statements.
Supply Chain Challenges: The company is reviewing its preclinical programs and determining if further investment is needed, indicating potential supply chain or resource allocation challenges.
Competitive Pressures: Vaxart's oral vaccine candidates are in competition with established injectable vaccines, which may affect market acceptance and funding opportunities.
Economic Factors: The norovirus program addresses a significant economic burden of $10 billion annually in the US, highlighting the financial implications of public health challenges.
COVID-19 Program Funding: Received an award of approximately $460 million to conduct a 10,000 participant head-to-head study against an available mRNA comparator.
Norovirus Program Progress: Initiated a Phase 1 trial evaluating second-generation oral norovirus vaccine constructs head-to-head against first-generation constructs.
Preclinical Programs Review: Carefully reviewing preclinical programs, including avian influenza and HPV vaccine programs, to determine further investment.
2024 Revenue: Revenue for 2024 was $28.7 million, compared to $7.4 million in 2023.
Cash Position: Ended 2024 with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $51.7 million.
Cash Runway: Anticipates cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2025.
Cost Reduction Initiatives: Implemented measures to reduce expenses, including workforce reduction following the BARDA stop work order.
Future Funding Strategies: Exploring various strategies to extend cash runway through strategic partnerships, non-dilutive funding, and cost reduction initiatives.
Cash Position: Vaxart ended 2024 with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $51.7 million.
Cash Runway: Based on current plans, Vaxart anticipates cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2025.
Expense Reduction Measures: In the first quarter of 2025, the company implemented measures to reduce expenses, including a reduction in its workforce following the BARDA stop work order.
Future Funding Strategies: Vaxart continues to explore various strategies to extend its cash runway through strategic partnerships, non-dilutive funding, and other cost reduction initiatives.
The earnings call highlights a significant revenue increase and extended cash runway, which are positive. However, the dependency on partnerships for advancing the norovirus program and the BARDA stop work order pose risks. The Q&A session revealed uncertainty about independent trial initiation for the norovirus program, reflecting potential challenges. These mixed signals suggest a neutral sentiment, with positive financials balanced by strategic uncertainties.
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. Positive aspects include revenue growth, a strong cash runway, and promising vaccine developments. However, workforce reductions, dependency on external funding for trials, and uncertainties in partnerships and trial progress are concerning. The Q&A highlighted management's lack of clarity on key issues, such as the COVID-19 trial's stop work order, which raises uncertainty. Despite potential catalysts like the avian flu vaccine, uncertainties and financial challenges balance out the positives, leading to a neutral sentiment.
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals: strong revenue growth and positive discussions with BARDA and potential partners are countered by regulatory and operational risks, including NASDAQ compliance concerns and workforce reductions. The Q&A reveals management's cautious optimism but also highlights uncertainties, especially regarding timelines and specifics on the COVID program. These factors, along with a potential reverse stock split, suggest a neutral short-term stock price movement, with no clear catalyst for significant gains or losses.
The earnings call highlights significant challenges, including a stop work order from BARDA and workforce reductions, indicating financial and operational strain. Despite a positive EPS surprise, the lack of clear guidance on future product efficacy and management's vague responses during the Q&A add to uncertainties. The increase in revenue is overshadowed by these issues, and future funding strategies are speculative. The overall sentiment leans negative due to regulatory and competitive pressures, potential supply chain issues, and the need for strategic funding to maintain operations.
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