TRV Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis: Based on the recent price movement of TRV, the stock has shown strong momentum after its Q4 earnings release. The stock closed at $241.56 on January 24, 2025. The Fibonacci levels indicate key resistance at $250.58 and support at $232.10, with the pivot point at $241.34. The RSI reading of 49.01 suggests neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold.
Fundamental Catalysts: TRV reported exceptional Q4 2024 results with adjusted EPS of $9.15, significantly beating analyst expectations of $6.65. The company demonstrated:
- Strong premium growth of 7% year-over-year
- Improved profitability in both commercial and personal lines
- Record core income of $2.1 billion
- Excellent underwriting performance with better combined ratio
Analyst Sentiment: Piper Sandler recently upgraded TRV from Neutral to Overweight with a price target increase from $259 to $310, citing:
- Sustainable margins in commercial lines
- Faster recovery in personal lines profitability
- Stabilization in reserve development
- Increased earnings estimates for 2025 ($24.85) and 2026 ($26.30)
Price Prediction for Next Week: Based on technical indicators and recent fundamental strength:
- Base case (60% probability): $245-250 range
- Bullish case (25% probability): Break above $250 towards $256
- Bearish case (15% probability): Pull back to $232-235 support level
Trading Recommendation: BUY Rationale:
- Strong earnings momentum and analyst upgrades
- Technical support at current levels
- Improving business fundamentals across segments
- Reasonable valuation with forward earnings growth potential
Entry point: Current market price ($241.56) Initial target: $250 Stop loss: $232 (key Fibonacci support)
TRV Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of TRV is predicted to go up 1.27%, based on the high correlation periods with PRU. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 96.64%.
TRV
PRU
Up: 1.27%Similarity: 96.64%
TRV Revenue Forecast
TRV EPS Forecast
TRV FAQs
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TRV VS S&P500
We think Travelers is relatively conservative in its investing choices, which lowers its risk profile.
The diversification of Travelers' business insulates it from issues in any specific lines.
Pricing is improving in both personal and commercial lines.
TRV Analyst's Forecast
Paul Newsome
Piper Sandler
Hold → Buy
Price Target
$259 → $310
Upside
+28.17%
Piper Sandler analyst Paul Newsome upgraded Travelers to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $310, up from $259. The firm increased earnings estimates following the Q4 report and now thinks the stock is inexpensive. Travelers' results suggest the the company's "excellent" margins in commercial lines are probably more sustainable than once thought. At the same time, the recovery of personal lines profitability is happening faster than expected, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Michael Zaremski
BMO Capital
Buy
Price Target
$275 → $297
Upside
+22.8%
Alex Scott
Barclays
Buy
Price Target
$278 → $287
Upside
+18.66%