TREX

Trex Company Inc

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Advanced Chart

63.420

-0.82(-1.276%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

64.040

Open

63.400

VWAP

63.40

Vol

1.53M

Mkt Cap

6.80B

Low

62.215

Amount

96.70M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

22.61

Total Shares

107.23M

7.33B

EV/OCF(TTM)

44.69

P/S(TTM)

6.20

Trex Company, Inc. is a manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and residential railing and outdoor living products and accessories, marketed under the brand name Trex. The Company’s segment is Trex Residential. Its product categories include decking and accessories, railing, and fencing. Its decking products are made in a proprietary process that combines reclaimed wood fibers and recycled polyethylene film. Its decking and accessories include Trex Signature decking, Trex Transcend Lineage decking, Trex Transcend decking, Trex Select decking, Trex Enhance decking, Trex Hideaway Fastener Collection, and Trex DeckLighting outdoor lighting system. Its Trex Transcend decking product can also be used as cladding. Its railing products include Trex Signature X-Series railing, Trex Signature Aluminum railing, Trex Transcend railing, Trex Select railing, Trex Select T-Rail, and Trex Enhance railing. Its Trex Seclusions composite fencing product is offered through two specialty distributors.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q2

203.25M

+21.25%

0.267

+196.63%

303.46M

+29.84%

0.631

+70.59%

377.60M

+0.3%

0.712

-10.99%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Trex Company, Inc. (TREX) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 1.3% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 9.40%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+1.3%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+2.21%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Up

+9.40%

In Past 3 Month

12 Analyst Rating

7.85% Upside

Wall Street analysts forecast TREX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TREX is 68.40 USD with a low forecast of 54.00 USD and a high forecast of 80.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

5 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

7.85% Upside

Current: 63.420

Low

54.00

Averages

68.40

High

80.00

7.85% Upside

Current: 63.420

Low

54.00

Averages

68.40

High

80.00

Baird

Neutral -> Outperform

upgrade

$65 -> $75

2025-07-10

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$65 -> $75

2025-07-10

upgrade

Neutral -> Outperform

Reason

Baird upgraded Trex Company to Outperform from Neutral with a price target of $75, up from $65. The firm believes the company's "relatively stable" sell-through trends should be a positive for investor sentiment. Trex shares shares have underperformed year-to-date and the stock's relative valuation premium is now at near multi-year lows, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Loop Capital

Jeffrey Stevenson

Hold

maintain

$62 -> $66

2025-07-10

Reason

Loop Capital

Jeffrey Stevenson

Price Target

$62 -> $66

2025-07-10

maintain

Hold

Reason

Loop Capital analyst Jeffrey Stevenson raised the firm's price target on Trex Company (TREX) to $66 from $62 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm's survey indicates that sell through demand trends remain resilient, and there are a number of things to like about Trex right now, including easy second-half comps from last year's channel de-stocking, expected sequential margin step up in Q3 after cost headwinds mitigate, and near-term share gain opportunities due to industry consolidation, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The stock is also trading at a valuation discount to Azek Co's (AZEK) acquisition multiple despite Trex's market leading composite decking positioning, the firm added.

Stephens

Trey Grooms

Equal Weight

downgrade

$73 -> $65

2025-05-12

Reason

Stephens

Trey Grooms

Price Target

$73 -> $65

2025-05-12

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Stephens analyst Trey Grooms lowered the firm's price target on Trex Company to $65 from $73 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Q1 sales were above guidance and estimates, but gross margin missed estimates due to lower volume and temporary cost increases, specially product enhancement and railing manufacturing transition costs, which are expected to remain into Q2, the analyst tells investors. While the outlook for second half margin improvement and free cash flow generation into next year is "encouraging," the heightened level of uncertainty around consumer confidence and resulting demand keeps the firm on the sidelines, the analyst added.

UBS

Neutral

downgrade

$74 -> $72

2025-05-09

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$74 -> $72

2025-05-09

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on Trex Company to $72 from $74 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

Truist

Keith Hughes

Buy

downgrade

$90 -> $75

2025-05-09

Reason

Truist

Keith Hughes

Price Target

$90 -> $75

2025-05-09

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Truist analyst Keith Hughes lowered the firm's price target on Trex Company to $75 from $90 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's results came slightly above the Street views and the management kept the bulk of its views for the year intact, though the continued smoothing out of results will likely make the rest of the year rather lumpy, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Sell through at Trex remains higher than a weak remodel market that the firm expects to continue for the rest of 2025, Truist added.

BMO Capital

Ketan Mamtora

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

$72

2025-04-17

Reason

BMO Capital

Ketan Mamtora

Price Target

$72

2025-04-17

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

BMO Capital analyst Ketan Mamtora upgraded Trex Company to Outperform from Market Perform with an unchanged price target of $72. The recent pullback in the stock offers a "very attractive entry point," the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says Trex has a market leading position in composite decking with a multi-year material conversion opportunity from wood. The company's balance sheet is "pristine" and it is nearing completion of its large capex program, adds BMO. It believes this should provide share repurchase opportunity and finds the stock's valuation as "very attractive."

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Trex Company Inc (TREX.N) is 28.86, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 37.40. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Trex Company Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PE

37.40

Current PE

28.86

Overvalued PE

45.88

Undervalued PE

28.92

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

24.65

Current EV/EBITDA

19.62

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

30.62

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

18.68

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PS

7.23

Current PS

5.77

Overvalued PS

9.19

Undervalued PS

5.28