Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call reveals significant financial instability with a large net loss, despite revenue growth. While the Tether investment provides liquidity, it introduces dependency risks. Competitive pressures and regulatory issues add to uncertainties. The Q&A section highlights unclear management responses, especially on strategic matters. Considering a $1.6 billion market cap, the stock is likely to see a negative reaction, driven by financial losses, competitive challenges, and strategic uncertainties.
Revenue (Q4 2024) $30.2 million, an increase of 48% from $20.4 million in Q4 2023, driven by a $7.9 million increase in audience monetization revenues and $1.9 million from other initiatives.
Revenue (Full Year 2024) $95.5 million, an increase of 18% from $81 million in 2023.
ARPU (Q4 2024) $0.39, an increase from $0.33 in Q3 2024, attributed to higher advertising and subscription revenue.
Cost of Services (Q4 2024) $34.5 million, a decrease from $39.5 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to a $5.3 million reduction in programming and content costs.
Net Loss (Q4 2024) $236.8 million, compared to a net loss of $29.3 million in Q4 2023, including $184.7 million related to the change in fair value of derivative expense from the Tether investment.
Adjusted EBITDA (Q4 2024) $13.4 million, a 55% improvement compared to a loss of $30 million in Q4 2023.
Adjusted EBITDA (Full Year 2024) Loss of $92.1 million, improved from a loss of $115.3 million in 2023.
Cash Position (End of 2024) Approximately $114 million, down from $132 million as of September 30, 2024.
Cash Usage (Q4 2024) $18 million, representing a 19% decrease compared to the third quarter.
Rumble Wallet: Rumble Inc. is developing a crypto wallet in collaboration with Tether to facilitate transactions in USDT, Tether Gold, and Bitcoin for the creator community.
International Expansion: Rumble Inc. plans to leverage Tether's global presence to accelerate international expansion, starting with a partnership with the government of El Salvador.
Audience Growth: Rumble Inc. reported a 21% increase in MAUs in the US and Canada, growing from 43 million to 52 million.
Revenue Growth: Rumble Inc. achieved a record revenue of over $30 million in Q4 2024, marking consecutive quarters of revenue growth.
Cost Reduction: Cost of services decreased to $34.5 million in Q4 2024, down from $39.5 million in Q4 2023, primarily due to reduced programming and content costs.
Strategic Investment: Rumble Inc. secured a $775 million strategic investment from Tether, aimed at strengthening its balance sheet and enhancing competitive positioning against Google.
Sales Focus Shift: Rumble Inc. will aggressively expand its sales focus to target brands more effectively, anticipating a shift from advertising headwinds to tailwinds.
Earnings Expectations: Rumble Inc. reported an EPS of $-0.44, missing expectations of $-0.13, indicating potential financial instability.
Regulatory Issues: The company anticipates changes in advertising dynamics due to the political environment, which may affect brand advertising.
Competitive Pressures: Rumble Inc. aims to compete aggressively with Google’s product suite, indicating a significant competitive challenge ahead.
Investment Risks: The $775 million investment from Tether introduces risks related to dependency on a single investor and the volatility of the cryptocurrency market.
Operational Challenges: While Rumble Cloud infrastructure performed well, the company still needs to prove its international expansion strategy, particularly in new markets like El Salvador.
Financial Losses: Rumble reported a net loss of $236.8 million in Q4 2024, significantly higher than the previous year, raising concerns about financial sustainability.
Market Positioning: The company is repositioning to target brands more aggressively, which may involve risks associated with market acceptance and execution.
Strategic Investment from Tether: Rumble Inc. announced a $775 million strategic investment from Tether, aimed at strengthening the company's balance sheet and enhancing liquidity for stockholders.
International Expansion: Rumble plans to leverage Tether’s international presence to expand Rumble Video and Rumble Cloud, with initial efforts in El Salvador.
Rumble Cloud Customer Base Expansion: The company aims to onboard Tether's portfolio companies onto Rumble Cloud to increase its customer base.
Crypto Community Engagement: Rumble is developing a crypto wallet in collaboration with Tether to serve the creator community, facilitating transactions in USDT, Tether Gold, and Bitcoin.
Competitive Positioning: With Tether's backing, Rumble aims to compete aggressively with Google across various product suites, including video and cloud services.
Revenue Growth Expectations: For Q1 2025, Rumble expects revenue growth of at least 25% compared to Q1 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Breakeven: Rumble aims to move materially towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven in 2025, supported by the Tether investment.
Cash Position: Rumble ended 2024 with approximately $114 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, not including the $250 million from Tether.
Strategic Investment from Tether: Rumble Inc. announced a $775 million strategic investment from Tether, aimed at fortifying the company's balance sheet and providing liquidity opportunities for stockholders.
Cash Position: Rumble ended the year with approximately $114 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, not including the $250 million in gross proceeds from the Tether transaction.
Despite positive revenue growth and liquidity improvements, challenges such as competitive pressures in AI and cloud, regulatory risks, and reliance on partnerships temper the outlook. The Q&A highlighted management's focus on growth over short-term profitability, with no specific guidance on gross profit margins. Given the market cap, these mixed signals suggest a neutral impact on stock price.
Rumble's earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 34% revenue increase and improved EBITDA. The Tether investment enhances liquidity, supporting international expansion and new partnerships with Netflix and others. Despite regulatory and competitive risks, optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives in crypto and advertising sectors are promising. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock movement of 2% to 8%.
Rumble's earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 34% revenue growth and a significant cash position increase. While there are operational cost concerns and user retention risks, the strategic partnership with Tether and international expansion plans are promising. The Q&A section revealed cautious optimism about Bitcoin and crypto integration, with positive brand partnership feedback. Despite challenges, the overall sentiment leans positive due to strong growth metrics and strategic initiatives, likely resulting in a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals significant financial instability with a large net loss, despite revenue growth. While the Tether investment provides liquidity, it introduces dependency risks. Competitive pressures and regulatory issues add to uncertainties. The Q&A section highlights unclear management responses, especially on strategic matters. Considering a $1.6 billion market cap, the stock is likely to see a negative reaction, driven by financial losses, competitive challenges, and strategic uncertainties.
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