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Rumble's earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 34% revenue growth and a significant cash position increase. While there are operational cost concerns and user retention risks, the strategic partnership with Tether and international expansion plans are promising. The Q&A section revealed cautious optimism about Bitcoin and crypto integration, with positive brand partnership feedback. Despite challenges, the overall sentiment leans positive due to strong growth metrics and strategic initiatives, likely resulting in a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Revenue $23.7 million, an increase of $6 million or 34% compared to $17.7 million in Q1 2024. The increase is attributed to $4.6 million from higher audience monetization and $1.4 million from higher other initiatives.
ARPU $0.34 for Q1 2025, down from $0.39 in Q4 2024. The decrease is due to lower advertising revenue offset by higher subscription revenue.
Cost of Services $30 million for Q1 2025, a decrease from $31.8 million in Q1 2024. The reduction is primarily due to a $3 million decrease in programming and content costs.
General and Administrative Expenses $16.6 million in Q1 2025, an increase of $7.3 million compared to Q1 2024. The increase is primarily due to a one-time $4.8 million increase in compensation costs related to an executive's departure and a $2.3 million increase in payroll taxes associated with stock options.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss $22.7 million for Q1 2025, a 14% improvement compared to a loss of $26.5 million in Q1 2024.
Cash Position $301.3 million in cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q1 2025, a significant increase from $114 million at the end of 2024 due to the Tether investment.
Bitcoin Holdings Approximately $211 Bitcoin worth about $21.3 million as of May 8, 2025, all purchased during the quarter.
Rumble Wallet: Rumble Wallet is in development and aims to launch in Q3 2025, serving as a gateway to monetize international markets.
Rumble Video: MAUs reached 59 million with an 87% retention rate, a significant improvement from previous quarters.
Rumble Ads: Successful brand campaigns executed with Netflix, Crypto.com, and Chevron, indicating traction in advertising.
Rumble Cloud: Partnership with the Government of El Salvador announced, expanding into government verticals.
Revenue Growth: Revenue increased by 34% year-over-year, reaching $23.7 million.
Cost Management: Cost of services decreased to $30 million, primarily due to reduced programming costs.
M&A Strategy: Management is focused on evaluating strategic M&A opportunities.
User Retention Risks: While Rumble has seen improved user retention rates, there is still a significant amount of work needed to maintain and further improve retention across its portfolio of applications.
Advertising Business Challenges: The company anticipates that the penetration of programmatic and AI-based tools in the advertising segment will take time before it contributes meaningfully to the business.
Regulatory and Competitive Risks: The Rumble Wallet, which aims to compete with Coinbase, poses risks related to regulatory compliance and competitive pressures in the cryptocurrency market.
Operational Costs: General and administrative expenses have increased significantly due to one-time payroll events, which could impact financial stability in the short term.
Market Dependency: Rumble's growth is heavily dependent on the success of its advertising business and partnerships, which may be influenced by broader economic factors and corporate spending trends.
M&A Strategy Risks: While Rumble is focused on M&A opportunities, there are inherent risks associated with acquisitions, including integration challenges and potential financial strain.
Rumble Wallet Development: Rumble Wallet is in development, aiming for a Q3 2025 launch, targeting international markets and competing with Coinbase.
Cloud Partnership with El Salvador: Announced a cloud partnership with the Government of El Salvador, aiming to refine product offerings for government verticals.
M&A Strategy: Management is focused on evaluating strategic M&A opportunities alongside core product investments.
Revenue Growth: Reported revenues of $23.7 million for Q1 2025, a 34% increase from Q1 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA: Expect to move materially towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven in 2025.
Cash Position: Ended Q1 2025 with $301.3 million in cash and cash equivalents, significantly up from $114 million at the end of 2024.
Bitcoin Holdings: Held approximately $211 Bitcoin worth about $21.3 million at quarter end.
Share Repurchase Program: None
Despite positive revenue growth and liquidity improvements, challenges such as competitive pressures in AI and cloud, regulatory risks, and reliance on partnerships temper the outlook. The Q&A highlighted management's focus on growth over short-term profitability, with no specific guidance on gross profit margins. Given the market cap, these mixed signals suggest a neutral impact on stock price.
Rumble's earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 34% revenue increase and improved EBITDA. The Tether investment enhances liquidity, supporting international expansion and new partnerships with Netflix and others. Despite regulatory and competitive risks, optimistic guidance and strategic initiatives in crypto and advertising sectors are promising. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock movement of 2% to 8%.
Rumble's earnings call shows strong financial performance with a 34% revenue growth and a significant cash position increase. While there are operational cost concerns and user retention risks, the strategic partnership with Tether and international expansion plans are promising. The Q&A section revealed cautious optimism about Bitcoin and crypto integration, with positive brand partnership feedback. Despite challenges, the overall sentiment leans positive due to strong growth metrics and strategic initiatives, likely resulting in a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals significant financial instability with a large net loss, despite revenue growth. While the Tether investment provides liquidity, it introduces dependency risks. Competitive pressures and regulatory issues add to uncertainties. The Q&A section highlights unclear management responses, especially on strategic matters. Considering a $1.6 billion market cap, the stock is likely to see a negative reaction, driven by financial losses, competitive challenges, and strategic uncertainties.
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