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01/11 03:18
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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call summary indicates strong revenue growth, geographic expansion, and innovative product development, with promising guidance for Q2 and full-year 2025. Despite a one-time fraud cost, the company shows improved marketing efficiency and positive adjusted EBITDA margins. The Q&A section highlights management's enthusiasm for new product launches and stablecoin potential, although some details remain vague. Overall, the positive financial performance, innovative strategies, and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement, especially given the company's small-cap status.
Revenue Second quarter revenue was $411.9 million, up 34% year-over-year. The increase was driven by a 40% growth in send volume to $18.5 billion, a 12% increase in send volume per active customer, and a 24% increase in quarterly active customers to over 8.5 million. Geographic diversification and growth in high amount senders also contributed to the revenue growth.
Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA was $64 million, representing a 16% margin, and exceeded expectations by $18 million. This was achieved through strong revenue growth, improved efficiency in marketing spend, and disciplined cost management.
Send Volume Send volume grew 40% year-over-year to $18.5 billion. This growth was driven by a 12% increase in send volume per active customer and a 24% increase in quarterly active customers. High amount senders contributed significantly, with a 45% year-over-year growth in send volume from customers sending more than $1,000.
Quarterly Active Customers Quarterly active customers increased 24% year-over-year to over 8.5 million. This growth was attributed to strong retention and new customer acquisition.
Transaction Expenses Transaction expenses were $143.8 million, or 34.9% of revenue. Excluding provision for transaction losses, other transaction expenses were $115.7 million, improving 175 basis points year-over-year. Provision for transaction losses was $28 million, including a one-time fraud incident cost of $3.8 million.
Marketing Spend Marketing spend was $79.8 million, up 10.4% year-over-year. As a percentage of revenue, it declined by 422 basis points to 19.4%, reflecting improved efficiency. Marketing spend per quarterly active customer was $9.38, an 11% year-over-year decline.
Technology and Development Expense Technology and development expense was $53.4 million, improving by 225 basis points year-over-year as a percentage of revenue. This reflects efficiency gains while delivering product innovation.
General and Administrative Expense G&A expense was $46.3 million, modestly higher as a percentage of revenue due to provisions related to collectability of amounts due from certain processing partners.
Stock-Based Compensation Stock-based compensation was $38.1 million, representing 9.2% of revenue, which is approximately 288 basis points lower than the second quarter of 2024.
Remitly Business: Expanded TAM from $2 trillion to $22 trillion, targeting freelancers and small businesses. Launched in the U.S. in Q2 with plans to expand to the U.K., Canada, Australia, and the EU. Features include fast onboarding, automated eKYB, and instant reach to over 100 countries. Early momentum includes thousands of businesses onboarded, with transaction sizes nearly twice as large as core consumers.
Remitly One: A membership program launching in September, offering cross-border payments, financial products, and value-added services. Includes Remitly Wallet (multicurrency store for fiat and stablecoins) and Remitly Flex (short-term liquidity solution). Early feedback shows strong promise.
Stablecoin Initiatives: Beta testing stablecoin storage in Remitly Wallet, cross-border payments via stablecoin-compatible wallets, and internal treasury operations using tokenized U.S. dollar stablecoins. Launch planned for September.
Agentic AI: AI platform for personalized customer experiences. Includes Remitly on WhatsApp for conversational cross-border payments, driving offline-to-online shift. Available in the U.S. and Spanish markets, with plans to expand to Meta's Messenger.
Geographic Diversification: U.S. revenue grew 35%, and rest of the world revenue grew 40%. Revenue from regions outside India, the Philippines, and Mexico grew 41%. Mexican market outpaced overall revenue growth.
High Amount Senders: Send volume growth of over 45% for customers sending more than $1,000. Volume mix from these customers increased by 300 basis points year-over-year.
Revenue and Profitability: Q2 revenue was $411.9 million, up 34% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $64 million, representing a 16% margin. GAAP profitability achieved for the second consecutive quarter.
Marketing Efficiency: Marketing spend per quarterly active customer declined 11% year-over-year. LTV to CAC was about 6x, with a payback period under 12 months.
Fraud Incident Management: Addressed a sophisticated fraud incident in May, leading to a discrete nonrecurring loss of $3.8 million. Enhanced AI-driven risk models to adapt to evolving fraud patterns.
Share Repurchase Program: Authorized a $200 million share repurchase program to manage dilution and strengthen capital position.
Credit Facility: Closed on an upsized $550 million secured revolving credit facility to support rising customer transaction volumes.
Provision for transaction losses: A sophisticated fraud incident in May led to a discrete nonrecurring loss of $3.8 million. This highlights vulnerabilities in fraud detection systems, which could impact financial performance if not addressed.
Regulatory changes: The introduction of a 1% remittance tax on cash and physical instruments starting January 1, 2026, could shift market dynamics. While this is seen as a tailwind for digital providers like Remitly, it may also require adjustments in compliance and operational strategies.
Partner bank fees: Recent developments where partner banks are introducing fees for API access could increase costs for fintechs, potentially impacting profitability.
Fraud detection and risk management: The need to enhance AI-driven risk models to adapt to evolving fraud patterns indicates ongoing challenges in maintaining a secure platform without compromising customer experience.
Customer acquisition costs: Marketing investments are expected to grow in the next 6 to 12 months to support initiatives around high amount senders, micro businesses, and membership. This could pressure margins if returns on these investments do not meet expectations.
Economic uncertainties: The remittance market to Mexico remains soft, which could impact revenue growth if broader economic conditions do not improve.
Operational scalability: The need for increased liquidity to prefund rising customer transaction volumes, especially during peak periods, highlights potential challenges in operational scalability.
Revenue Growth: For Q3 2025, revenue is expected to be between $411 million and $413 million, reflecting a 22% to 23% growth rate. For the full year 2025, revenue is projected to be between $1.61 billion and $1.62 billion, representing a growth rate of 27% to 28%.
Adjusted EBITDA: Q3 2025 adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $53 million and $55 million, translating to 13% margins. For the full year 2025, adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $225 million and $230 million, representing a 14% margin.
Customer Growth and Behavior: Quarterly active customers are expected to grow, with send volume per active customer projected to increase mid-single digits due to higher transaction frequency and strength in high amount senders and micro businesses.
Product Launches and Innovations: Remitly One, a membership program, will launch in September 2025, including products like Remitly Wallet and Remitly Flex. Stablecoin initiatives and Agentic AI innovations are also set to expand capabilities and customer engagement.
Market Trends: The implementation of a 1% remittance tax on cash and physical instruments starting January 1, 2026, is expected to accelerate the shift from offline to online transactions, benefiting Remitly.
Capital Position and Share Repurchase: A $200 million share repurchase program has been authorized, and a $550 million secured revolving credit facility has been established to support rising transaction volumes.
Share Repurchase Program: GAAP profitability, strong free cash flow generation and optimism in our future give us the confidence to authorize a $200 million share repurchase program. While we continue to invest organically in our business, opportunistically investing in a share buyback program to manage dilution is also important to our capital deployment strategy. We do not have a specific timetable for repurchases and will act judiciously, consistent with our disciplined capital allocation approach. The share repurchase program reflects confidence in our ability to deliver for our customers while also building long-term value for our shareholders.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with 35% YoY send volume growth, improved transaction expenses, and a significant increase in GAAP net income. Product development is promising with new initiatives like Remitly One and Flex. Despite some uncertainties in guidance and management's vague responses, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong customer growth, strategic investments, and robust shareholder returns through a $200 million repurchase program. The market cap suggests moderate stock price movement, leading to a positive prediction within the 2% to 8% range.
The earnings call summary indicates strong revenue growth, geographic expansion, and innovative product development, with promising guidance for Q2 and full-year 2025. Despite a one-time fraud cost, the company shows improved marketing efficiency and positive adjusted EBITDA margins. The Q&A section highlights management's enthusiasm for new product launches and stablecoin potential, although some details remain vague. Overall, the positive financial performance, innovative strategies, and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement, especially given the company's small-cap status.
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