Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that PROV stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $15.5, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $15.5. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $17. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $13.26, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $20.40. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
Should I Buy Provident Financial Holdings Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PROV has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
PROV stock price ended at $15.3 on Thursday, after losing-0.58%
The Provident Financial Holdings Inc stock price decreased by -0.58% on the last trading day (04 Dec 2025), dropping from 15.6465 to 15.3. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.24% , ranging from a day low of $15.01 to a day high of 15.6465. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 0.66% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.49K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 11.44K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 176.09K.
PROV Technical Signals
PROV(Provident Financial Holdings Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-11-24. The total price change during this trend is +1.53%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of PROV over the last 5 trading days is 96.01K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
PROV Moving Average Analysis
Provident Financial Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, December 5, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $15.91, and $16.26. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.79, and $14.44. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PROV Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Provident Financial Holdings Inc(PROV) as of 02 Dec 2025 is 12.78%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 15.30 to 15.20. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
1
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
1 Bullish Signals
1 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.1
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
In Jan 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $17.47. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $14.55 and a high of $19.58.
Feb 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 7.24%
In Feb 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.54. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.26 and a high of $18.90.
Mar 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.27%
In Mar 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $17.00. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $14.27 and a high of $17.35.
Apr 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 17.23%
In Apr 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.08. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $15.41 and a high of $20.66.
May 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 0.47%
In May 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.49. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $14.26 and a high of $16.13.
Jun 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -0.07%
In Jun 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $15.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $13.66 and a high of $17.55.
Jul 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.03%
In Jul 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.59 and a high of $16.17.
Aug 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 5.98%
In Aug 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $16.34. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $15.90 and a high of $19.96.
Sep 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -4.65%
In Sep 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $14.70. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.92 and a high of $15.48.
Oct 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.03%
In Oct 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.32 and a high of $15.17.
Nov 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 17.23%
In Nov 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $18.08. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $16.50 and a high of $21.20.
Dec 2026: PROV Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -14.03%
In Dec 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.16 and a high of $14.96.
PROV Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Provident Financial Holdings Inc(PROV), our algorithm predicts PROV's 1-month price at $23.00, with an 50%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.84%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV.O) stock, as of Monday, December 1, 2025 , forecasts a 50% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with RCAT.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.84%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PROV
No Data
RCAT
Up: 50%Similarity: 95.84%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
RCAT.O
95.84%
+50.00%
GNL.N
95.49%
+3.03%
HOG.N
95.00%
-3.22%
APTV.N
94.97%
-0.20%
WKC.N
94.82%
+5.49%
WCC.N
94.81%
-8.81%
MTW.N
94.79%
+5.42%
WSC.O
94.75%
+15.13%
BMY.N
94.65%
+2.23%
PJT.N
94.63%
-1.62%
PROV Seasonality Analysis
Based on PROV's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is42.86%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in PROV. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at66.67%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while March has the lowest probability (30.77%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PROV has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (66.67%), while March has the lowest probability (30.77%).
How has Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
PROV's stock price fell by -14.07% in 2023,increased by 29.32% in 2024, and went down by 3.65%in 2025.
Which bullish technical signals does PROV have?
Bullish technical signals of PROV include: MOM_10 > 0.
Is PROV a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
PROV has 1 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for PROV is Strong sell . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of PROV.
What is the trend of Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV)'s moving average?
Provident Financial Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of December 05 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for PROV stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV.O) stock, as of December 01 2025, forecasts a 50% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with RCAT stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.84%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $13.26. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $12.16 and a high of $14.96.
What is price prediction 2030 for Provident Financial Holdings Inc (PROV) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Provident Financial Holdings Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $20.40. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $18.62 and a high of $22.29.