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ONB Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Old National Bancorp(ONB) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Old National Bancorp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-22Pre-Market0.560.59+5.36696.19M713.05M+2.42+0.63+0.53
FY2025Q22025-07-22Pre-Market0.510.53+3.92624.28M654.37M+4.82-1.50-4.42
FY2024Q42025-01-21Pre-Market0.460.49+6.52485.57M495.72M+2.09+3.18+2.31
FY2024Q32024-10-22Pre-Market0.460.46-482.20M492.01M+2.03-+2.33
FY2024Q22024-07-23-0.440.46+4.55473.02M482.03M+1.91+2.18+1.01
FY2024Q12024-04-23-0.430.45+4.65440.00M440.23M+0.05+0.06+1.46
FY2023Q42024-01-23-0.480.46-4.17448.82M470.60M+4.85-1.42+2.59
FY2023Q32023-10-24-0.490.51+4.08454.23M461.86M+1.68-2.74-1.95
-2023-07-25-0.500.54+8.00---+2.22+7.99
-2023-04-25-0.520.54+3.85----2.30-2.44
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ONB Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Old National Bancorp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-22. The company achieved an EPS of 0.59, compared to analyst estimates of 0.56 by 5.36% . Revenue for the quarter reached 713.05M compared to expectations of 696.19M by 2.42% .
The stock price reacted with a 0.63% one-day change and a 0.53% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Old National Bancorp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ONB Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Old National Bancorp(ONB) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 706.00M and an EPS of 0.59.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.47%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 0.9%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.38% . These revisions correlate with a -1.80% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Old National Bancorp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ONB's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.47%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.9%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.38%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-1.80%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.54B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.16
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Stock Price22.41
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ONB Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Old National Bancorp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-22,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.59 (Actual) vs.0.56 (Estimate) (5.36%)
Revenue: 713.05M (Actual) vs. 696.19M (Estimate) (2.42%)
Price Reaction: 0.63%(1-Day), 0.53%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-22,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.53 (Actual) vs.0.51 (Estimate) (3.92%)
Revenue: 654.37M (Actual) vs. 624.28M (Estimate) (4.82%)
Price Reaction: -1.50%(1-Day), -4.42%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-01-21,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.49 (Actual) vs.0.46 (Estimate) (6.52%)
Revenue: 495.72M (Actual) vs. 485.57M (Estimate) (2.09%)
Price Reaction: 3.18%(1-Day), 2.31%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ONB performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ONB sees a -1.52% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.15% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.03%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.91% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.62% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Old National Bancorp (ONB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-22
The earnings call summary presents a mixed sentiment. The financial performance and product updates are positive, with strong loan growth and successful systems conversion. However, uncertainties in fee income sustainability and lack of specific guidance details temper the positivity. The Q&A section reveals stable credit quality and capital strategies, but also highlights management's vagueness on share repurchase plans. Without clear guidance or strong positive catalysts, the overall sentiment remains neutral, suggesting a limited stock price movement in the near term.
Old National Bancorp (ONB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-23
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with EPS growth, increased tangible book value, and a solid CET1 ratio. Despite a decrease in net interest income, the company exceeded noninterest income guidance and maintained controlled expenses. The Q&A session highlighted strong loan growth potential and balance sheet flexibility post-Bremer partnership. While management avoided specifics on buybacks and NII impact, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by robust loan pipelines and strategic growth plans. The absence of a market cap suggests a mid-to-large cap, moderating the stock price reaction.
Old National Bancorp (ONB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-22
The earnings call presented mixed signals. While there were positive elements such as tangible book value growth, strong capital position, and potential share buybacks, there are also concerns about the impact of loan sales on NII, competitive pressures, and macroeconomic uncertainties. The Q&A section revealed unclear responses from management, particularly regarding the Bremer partnership's impact. The overall sentiment appears balanced, with neither strong negative nor strong positive indicators, thus justifying a neutral rating.
Earnings call transcript: Old National Bancorp Q3 2024 exceeds expectations
Positive
2025-01-21
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with EPS, ROATCE, and ROA showing robust growth. Core deposit and loan growth are impressive, while cost management is effective. Despite some concerns about credit costs and non-accrual loans, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by stable NII and potential for future capital actions like buybacks. The Q&A highlights optimism in talent acquisition and managing non-accruals. The strategic focus on organic growth and disciplined client selection further supports a positive outlook for the stock price.
Old National Bancorp (ONB) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-22
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture. Basic financial performance shows strong growth in tangible book value and core deposits, but the lower NII expectations and higher credit costs are concerning. The Q&A reveals uncertainties, particularly regarding NII and credit costs. The absence of a concrete shareholder return plan and vague management responses further temper optimism. While there are positive elements like the CapStar integration and potential buybacks, competitive pressures and uncertainties in the financial outlook suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Old National Bancorp (ONB) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-23
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with EPS exceeding estimates, robust loan and deposit growth, and a strategic partnership with CapStar Bank. The company maintains good credit quality and expects modest NII growth. Despite some concerns about commercial real estate exposure, management's optimism about organic growth, particularly in Nashville, and accretive margins support a positive outlook. Shareholder returns and the dividend payout ratio also contribute positively. Overall, the sentiment leans towards a positive stock price movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ONB’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ONB reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-22, showcasing a revenue of 713.05M against an estimate of 696.19M, resulting in a 2.42% surprise. The EPS was 0.59, surpassing the expected 0.56 by 5.36% . The stock experienced a 0.63% price change on the earnings day and a 0.53% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ONB’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ONB’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-22, the stock price moved by 0.63% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.53% change. Historically, ONB’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.52% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.15% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ONB for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ONB’s annual revenue to reach 706.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.59. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.47% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.38% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ONB’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ONB’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.47%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.38% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ONB’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ONB’s stock price typically moves by -1.52% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.15% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.59 and revenue of 706.00M.
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What is the sentiment in Old National Bancorp (ONB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary presents a mixed sentiment. The financial performance and product updates are positive, with strong loan growth and successful systems conversion. However, uncertainties in fee income sustainability and lack of specific guidance details temper the positivity. The Q&A section reveals stable credit quality and capital strategies, but also highlights management's vagueness on share repurchase plans. Without clear guidance or strong positive catalysts, the overall sentiment remains neutral, suggesting a limited stock price movement in the near term.
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