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OBK Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Origin Bancorp Inc(OBK) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Origin Bancorp Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-22After Hours0.890.27-69.66100.58M109.83M+9.20-3.70+1.28
FY2025Q22025-07-23After Hours0.780.47-39.7497.58M97.95M+0.38-0.50+0.08
FY2025Q12025-04-23After Hours0.680.71+4.4193.61M94.06M+0.48+0.28+0.60
FY2024Q42025-01-22After Hours0.500.46-8.0087.82M78.02M-11.16+4.81+8.57
FY2024Q32024-10-23After Hours0.660.60-9.0993.50M90.79M-2.89-2.43+0.28
FY2024Q22024-07-24-0.620.67+8.0691.08M96.36M+5.79-2.13-6.44
FY2024Q12024-04-24-0.610.73+19.6789.44M90.58M+1.28+0.98+0.07
FY2023Q42024-01-24-0.640.60-6.2588.77M81.19M-8.54+0.94-4.05
FY2023Q32023-10-25-0.640.71+10.9488.93M92.25M+3.73-0.33+8.91
-2023-07-26-0.640.69+7.81---+3.01+0.71
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OBK Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Origin Bancorp Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-22. The company achieved an EPS of 0.27, compared to analyst estimates of 0.89 by -69.66% . Revenue for the quarter reached 109.83M compared to expectations of 100.58M by 9.20% .
The stock price reacted with a -3.70% one-day change and a 1.28% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Origin Bancorp Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

OBK Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Origin Bancorp Inc(OBK) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 99.98M and an EPS of 0.86.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.57%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -18.12%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.97% . These revisions correlate with a -3.29% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Origin Bancorp Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between OBK's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.57%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-18.12%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.97%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-3.29%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:392.83M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.71
—
Stock Price37.38
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OBK Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Origin Bancorp Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-22,After Hours):
EPS: 0.27 (Actual) vs.0.89 (Estimate) (-69.66%)
Revenue: 109.83M (Actual) vs. 100.58M (Estimate) (9.20%)
Price Reaction: -3.70%(1-Day), 1.28%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-23,After Hours):
EPS: 0.47 (Actual) vs.0.78 (Estimate) (-39.74%)
Revenue: 97.95M (Actual) vs. 97.58M (Estimate) (0.38%)
Price Reaction: -0.50%(1-Day), 0.08%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-23,After Hours):
EPS: 0.71 (Actual) vs.0.68 (Estimate) (4.41%)
Revenue: 94.06M (Actual) vs. 93.61M (Estimate) (0.48%)
Price Reaction: 0.28%(1-Day), 0.60%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how OBK performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, OBK sees a -3.39% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.01% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.41%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -3.70% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 3.20% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Origin Bancorp Inc (OBK) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-23
The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance with increased net interest margin, deposit growth, and tangible book value. The Q&A reveals optimism for future loan growth and strategic initiatives like Optimize Origin, which enhance profitability. The $50 million share repurchase plan supports shareholder returns. Despite uncertainties around Tricolor fraud recovery, credit trends remain stable. The raised margin guidance and positive outlook for 2026 loan repricing further bolster the sentiment. Overall, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Origin Bancorp Inc (OBK) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-24
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong financial performance with an expanding net interest margin, consistent growth in tangible book value, and positive guidance for future loan growth. Despite some deposit decline and unclear management responses, the company's strategic initiatives, such as the 'optimize Origin' and securities restructure, are well-received. The stock buyback program and expected growth in Argent's assets further support a positive outlook. Overall, the market is likely to react positively, with a potential stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Origin Bancorp Inc (OBK) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-24
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: financial performance shows some positives like increased deposits and tangible book value growth. However, concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty, potential credit quality risks, and restructuring impacts on income are significant. The Q&A further highlights management's uncertainty and lack of clarity on critical issues like loan growth and fee outlook, despite some optimism in specific areas like share buybacks. Overall, the sentiment is negative, with macro risks outweighing the positives, suggesting a likely stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-10-24
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positive elements such as a commitment to shareholder returns and a slight increase in tangible book value, challenges like profitability pressure, credit risk, and NIM compression temper optimism. The Q&A reveals management's confidence but also highlights uncertainties, particularly in achieving peer profitability and managing deposits. These factors, combined with the lack of a significant catalyst like a new partnership, suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-07-25
The earnings call highlights several concerns: the impact of questionable activities on EPS, increased past due and classified loans, elevated expenses, and competitive pressures. Despite regulatory approval for new locations, potential regulatory implications pose risks. The Q&A section reveals management's reluctance to disclose specific figures, adding uncertainty. While there is a share repurchase program, the negative financial metrics and economic pressures outweigh this positive aspect, leading to a negative sentiment.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of OBK’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

OBK reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-22, showcasing a revenue of 109.83M against an estimate of 100.58M, resulting in a 9.2% surprise. The EPS was 0.27, surpassing the expected 0.89 by -69.66% . The stock experienced a -3.7% price change on the earnings day and a 1.28% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did OBK’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following OBK’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-22, the stock price moved by -3.70% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 1.28% change. Historically, OBK’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -3.39% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.01% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for OBK for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate OBK’s annual revenue to reach 99.98M, while the EPS is projected at 0.86. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.57% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.97% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does OBK’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between OBK’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.57%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.97% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from OBK’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, OBK’s stock price typically moves by -3.39% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.01% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.86 and revenue of 99.98M.
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What is the sentiment in Origin Bancorp Inc (OBK) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary indicates positive financial performance with increased net interest margin, deposit growth, and tangible book value. The Q&A reveals optimism for future loan growth and strategic initiatives like Optimize Origin, which enhance profitability. The $50 million share repurchase plan supports shareholder returns. Despite uncertainties around Tricolor fraud recovery, credit trends remain stable. The raised margin guidance and positive outlook for 2026 loan repricing further bolster the sentiment. Overall, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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