NVA Forecast — Price Prediction for 2025. Should I Buy NVA?
Should I Buy Nova Minerals Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NVA has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
NVA stock price ended at $8.02 on Tuesday, after rising0.37%
The Nova Minerals Ltd stock price increased by 0.37% on the last trading day (16 Dec 2025), rising from 8.2 to 8.14. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 8.18% , ranging from a day low of $7.7 to a day high of 8.33. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -1.57% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -114.86K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 795.31K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.34M.
NVA Technical Signals
NVA(Nova Minerals Ltd Corp) has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is a downtrend starting from 2025-12-05. The total price change during this trend is -11.62%. Recently, the price has increased significantly while volume increased, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of NVA over the last 5 trading days is 14.16M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
NVA Moving Average Analysis
Nova Minerals Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, December 16, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $11.58, and $12.98. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $7.07, and $5.68. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
NVA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Nova Minerals Ltd(NVA) as of 10 Dec 2025 is 29.64%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 8.11 to 8.14. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
16.233
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.513
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.214
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
0.733
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-83.163
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.13
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
NVA Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
Month
Min. Price
Avg. Price
Max. Price
Potential ROI
Jan 2026
$8.79
$10.76
$12.03
+14.43%
Feb 2026
$9.07
$10.57
$11.87
+12.49%
Mar 2026
$7.96
$9.56
$11.10
+1.72%
Apr 2026
$9.21
$10.36
$10.44
+10.24%
May 2026
$11.04
$11.35
$11.73
+20.75%
Jun 2026
$8.03
$8.59
$9.84
-8.64%
Jul 2026
$6.98
$8.41
$8.94
-10.48%
Aug 2026
$10.16
$11.31
$11.48
+20.30%
Sep 2026
$7.26
$8.39
$9.73
-10.75%
Oct 2026
$8.34
$9.41
$11.39
+0.07%
Nov 2026
$8.18
$10.25
$11.09
+9.02%
Dec 2026
$7.40
$8.39
$9.97
-10.75%
In 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $6.98 and $12.03.
Nova Minerals Ltd Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.43%
In Jan 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.79 and a high of $12.03.
Feb 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.49%
In Feb 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.57. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.07 and a high of $11.87.
Mar 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 1.72%
In Mar 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.56. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.96 and a high of $11.10.
Apr 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.24%
In Apr 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.21 and a high of $10.44.
May 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 20.75%
In May 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $11.04 and a high of $11.73.
Jun 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -8.64%
In Jun 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.03 and a high of $9.84.
Jul 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.48%
In Jul 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.98 and a high of $8.94.
Aug 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 20.30%
In Aug 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.16 and a high of $11.48.
Sep 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Sep 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.26 and a high of $9.73.
Oct 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 0.07%
In Oct 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.34 and a high of $11.39.
Nov 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.02%
In Nov 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.25. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.18 and a high of $11.09.
Dec 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Dec 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.40 and a high of $9.97.
NVA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Nova Minerals Ltd(NVA), our algorithm predicts NVA's 1-month price at $7.71, with an -16.29%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.30%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock, as of Sunday, December 7, 2025 , forecasts a -16.29% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NCLH.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.3%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
NVA
No data
NCLH
Down: -16.29%Similarity: 92.3%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
NCLH.N
92.30%
-16.29%
BG.N
92.29%
+0.50%
WOR.N
92.25%
-17.23%
COP.N
92.18%
-0.66%
IMMR.O
91.91%
-10.85%
AUB.N
91.70%
+2.81%
KE.O
91.58%
-6.84%
VERA.O
91.56%
-14.65%
AXGN.O
91.54%
-16.75%
CCL.N
91.47%
-15.18%
NVA Seasonality Analysis
Based on NVA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in December is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in NVA. In contrast,Apriloffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock in April has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Nova Minerals Ltd. (NVA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NVA has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock in April has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Nova Minerals Ltd. (NVA)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
NVA's stock price rose by 188.12% in 2024,increased by 176.87% in 2025, and went by in
Bearish technical signals of NVA include: MOM_10 < 0, 5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA.
Is NVA a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
NVA has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for NVA is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of NVA.
What is the trend of Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA)'s moving average?
Nova Minerals Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of December 16 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for NVA stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock, as of December 07 2025, forecasts a -16.29% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with NCLH stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.3%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2026 for Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA) Stock?
In Dec 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.40 and a high of $9.97.
What is price prediction 2030 for Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA) Stock?
In Dec 2030, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.20. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.99 and a high of $11.64.
Negative
Positive
