NVA Stock Price Prediction
Nova Minerals Ltd
$
11.530
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
- Earnings
1-Day-Price-Prediction
-2.21%
1-Week Prediction
-2.2%
Based on our advanced algorithm, we predict that NVA stock price will experience significant movement in the coming periods. Our 1-day prediction estimates a price of $11.9, while the 1-week outlook suggests a value of $11.9. For the 1-month forecast, we project a price of $12.88. Looking further ahead, our 2026 projection estimates a value of $11.31, with a long-term 2030 forecast reaching $13.14. Stay informed and make strategic decisions with our data-driven insights!
12.880
Should I Buy Nova Minerals Ltd Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NVA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
NVA stock price ended at $11.53 on Wednesday, after losing -5.26%
The Nova Minerals Ltd stock price decreased by -5.26% on the last trading day (13 Aug 2025), dropping from 11.99 to 11.53. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 7.39% , ranging from a day low of $11.36 to a day high of 12.2. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -5.80% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -43.70K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 48.63K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 566.24K.
NVA Technical Signals
NVA(Nova Minerals Ltd Corp) has 2 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-07-30. The total price change during this trend is -5.80%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of NVA over the last 5 trading days is 969.58K. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
NVA Moving Average Analysis
Nova Minerals Ltd's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Thursday, August 14, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $13.68, and $14.63. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $10.59, and $9.63. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
NVA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Nova Minerals Ltd(NVA) as of 11 Aug 2025 is 15.41%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 12.96 to 12.50. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Neutral
Sell
3
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
NegativeStock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
1.178
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.281
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-0.71
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 60-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 200-day SMA
--
Bearish
NVA Stock Forecast
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
In 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $6.98 and $12.03.
Nova Minerals Ltd Stock Forecast 2026
Jan 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 14.43%
In Jan 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.76. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.79 and a high of $12.03.
Feb 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 12.49%
In Feb 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.57. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.07 and a high of $11.87.
Mar 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 1.72%
In Mar 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.56. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.96 and a high of $11.10.
Apr 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 10.24%
In Apr 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.36. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $9.21 and a high of $10.44.
May 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 20.75%
In May 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.35. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $11.04 and a high of $11.73.
Jun 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -8.64%
In Jun 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.59. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.03 and a high of $9.84.
Jul 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.48%
In Jul 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $6.98 and a high of $8.94.
Aug 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 20.30%
In Aug 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $11.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $10.16 and a high of $11.48.
Sep 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Sep 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.26 and a high of $9.73.
Oct 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 0.07%
In Oct 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $9.41. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.34 and a high of $11.39.
Nov 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: 9.02%
In Nov 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $10.25. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $8.18 and a high of $11.09.
Dec 2026: NVA Stock Forecast
Potential ROI: -10.75%
In Dec 2026, Nova Minerals Ltd's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $8.39. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $7.40 and a high of $9.97.
NVA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Nova Minerals Ltd(NVA), our algorithm predicts NVA's 1-month price at $14.10, with an 8.81%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.89%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock, as of Sunday, August 10, 2025 , forecasts a 8.81% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with KLAC.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.89%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
NVA
Future prediction
Up: 8.81%
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KLAC
Up: 8.81%Similarity: 95.89%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
KLAC.O
95.89%
+8.81%
GNTX.O
95.82%
+0.23%
BFIN.O
95.61%
-6.39%
MNRO.O
95.48%
+4.71%
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95.47%
+4.54%
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95.35%
+36.27%
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95.30%
+2.32%
SNDX.O
95.30%
-8.52%
SKE.N
95.27%
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EXEL.O
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NVA Seasonality Analysis
Based on NVA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in August is100.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in NVA. In contrast,Apriloffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock in April has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while January has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Nova Minerals Ltd. (NVA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NVA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA.O) stock in a year?
How has Nova Minerals Ltd. (NVA)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
Which bull technical signals does NVA have?
Which bearish technical signals does NVA have?
Is NVA a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Nova Minerals Ltd (NVA)'s moving average?
What is price prediction for NVA stock next month?
What is price prediction 2025 for NVA Stock?