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NRG Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of NRG Energy Inc(NRG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of NRG Energy Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-06Pre-Market2.262.75+21.687.46B7.64B+2.41-1.78-5.98
FY2025Q22025-08-06Pre-Market1.541.68+9.096.45B6.74B+4.47-13.61-11.59
FY2025Q12025-05-12Pre-Market1.802.62+45.568.28B8.59B+3.71+26.21+29.91
FY2024Q42025-02-26Pre-Market0.951.52+60.007.82B6.82B-12.74+10.63-2.14
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market1.303.37+159.238.32B6.66B-19.96+8.19+14.31
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.920.80-13.047.64B7.43B-2.79-5.76+5.87
FY2023Q42024-02-28-0.941.14+21.288.10B6.81B-15.96+1.22+11.05
FY2023Q32023-11-02-1.531.62+5.8810.95B7.95B-27.44+2.90+4.15
FY2023Q22023-08-08-1.071.10+2.803.31B6.35B+92.04-1.97-1.39
-2023-05-04-0.900.86-4.44----6.16-3.86
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NRG Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, NRG Energy Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of 2.75, compared to analyst estimates of 2.26 by 21.68% . Revenue for the quarter reached 7.64B compared to expectations of 7.46B by 2.41% .
The stock price reacted with a -1.78% one-day change and a -5.98% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in NRG Energy Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

NRG Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, NRG Energy Inc(NRG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 7.15B and an EPS of 1.30.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.54%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.21%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.52% . These revisions correlate with a 14.70% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in NRG Energy Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between NRG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.54%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.21%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.52%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+14.70%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:29.21B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:8.05
—
Stock Price169.36
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NRG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

NRG Energy Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.75 (Actual) vs.2.26 (Estimate) (21.68%)
Revenue: 7.64B (Actual) vs. 7.46B (Estimate) (2.41%)
Price Reaction: -1.78%(1-Day), -5.98%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.68 (Actual) vs.1.54 (Estimate) (9.09%)
Revenue: 6.74B (Actual) vs. 6.45B (Estimate) (4.47%)
Price Reaction: -13.61%(1-Day), -11.59%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-12,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.62 (Actual) vs.1.80 (Estimate) (45.56%)
Revenue: 8.59B (Actual) vs. 8.28B (Estimate) (3.71%)
Price Reaction: 26.21%(1-Day), 29.91%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NRG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NRG sees a -3.94% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.46% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.99%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.41% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -5.67% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-06
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook with reaffirmed high-end financial guidance, strategic acquisitions, and robust project progress. The Texas Residential VPP and data center agreements demonstrate strong growth potential. While some uncertainties remain, such as PJM price impacts and gross margin sensitivity, the overall sentiment is positive due to the potential tax shield, increased pricing power, and strategic focus on growth areas. The lack of market cap information suggests a moderate reaction, but the positive elements outweigh the negatives, indicating a likely stock price increase.
NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-06
The earnings call highlights several positive aspects: a strong adjusted EBITDA growth, increased free cash flow, and strategic acquisitions. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, such as non-specific timelines and partnership details, the overall sentiment is positive due to strong financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and strategic plans, including shareholder returns. The market is likely to react positively, with a stock price increase expected in the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.
NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-12
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with significant EPS and EBITDA growth. Strategic partnerships and projects, such as the virtual power plant and data center strategy, are promising. The reaffirmation of 2025 guidance, substantial capital return plans, and an impressive share repurchase program further strengthen the outlook. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, the overall sentiment remains positive, driven by robust growth metrics and strategic initiatives.
NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-12
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 30% increase in adjusted EBITDA and significant free cash flow. The acquisition is expected to be highly accretive to EPS and cash flow, and the company plans substantial debt reduction and share repurchases. The Q&A section shows management's confidence in the acquisition's benefits and growth opportunities, although some details were vague. The reaffirmed and increased guidance, combined with a robust shareholder return plan, supports a positive outlook for the stock price.
NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-26
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with increased EPS, EBITDA, and cash flow, alongside a raised 2024 guidance. Shareholder returns are bolstered by an 8% dividend increase and significant share repurchases. Despite some regulatory and economic uncertainties, the strategic partnership with Google Cloud and the VPP initiative signal growth potential. The Q&A session highlighted management's confidence in project funding and demand growth, albeit with some ambiguity in timelines. Overall, these factors suggest a positive outlook for NRG's stock price over the next two weeks.
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-08
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with increased EBITDA and EPS, optimistic guidance, and significant shareholder returns through dividends and share repurchases. The Q&A section reveals positive sentiment from analysts, despite some uncertainties about future projects. The increase in share repurchase authorization and dividend hike are strong positive signals. Economic factors pose risks, but the company's strategic initiatives and financial outlook suggest a positive stock price movement in the short term.
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
NRG's earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 14% YoY increase in adjusted EBITDA, optimistic guidance, and a robust shareholder return plan. Despite regulatory and supply chain challenges, NRG's strategic initiatives, such as smart home ecosystem expansion and brownfield projects, show promise. The Q&A section indicates management's confidence in addressing market volatility and leveraging opportunities in data centers. The completion of significant share repurchases and positive free cash flow further contribute to a positive sentiment, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of NRG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

NRG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 7.64B against an estimate of 7.46B, resulting in a 2.41% surprise. The EPS was 2.75, surpassing the expected 2.26 by 21.68% . The stock experienced a -1.78% price change on the earnings day and a -5.98% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did NRG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following NRG’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by -1.78% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -5.98% change. Historically, NRG’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -3.94% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.46% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for NRG for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate NRG’s annual revenue to reach 7.15B, while the EPS is projected at 1.30. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -3.54% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.52% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does NRG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between NRG’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -3.54%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.52% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from NRG’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, NRG’s stock price typically moves by -3.94% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.46% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.30 and revenue of 7.15B.
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What is the sentiment in NRG Energy Inc (NRG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate a positive outlook with reaffirmed high-end financial guidance, strategic acquisitions, and robust project progress. The Texas Residential VPP and data center agreements demonstrate strong growth potential. While some uncertainties remain, such as PJM price impacts and gross margin sensitivity, the overall sentiment is positive due to the potential tax shield, increased pricing power, and strategic focus on growth areas. The lack of market cap information suggests a moderate reaction, but the positive elements outweigh the negatives, indicating a likely stock price increase.
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