NEXA Earnings

NEXA reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-30, showcasing a revenue of 764.00M against an estimate of 750.00M, resulting in a 1.74% surprise. The EPS was -0.03, surpassing the expected 0.11 by -127.27% . The stock experienced a 6.61% price change on the earnings day and a -1.1% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following NEXA's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-30, the stock price moved by 6.61% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -1.10% change. Historically, NEXA's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.20% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.34% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate NEXA’s annual revenue to reach 760.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 2.55% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 3.87% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between NEXA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 2.55%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 3.87% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, NEXA's stock price typically moves by +2.20% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.34% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 760.00M.

The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. While operational improvements and a positive liquidity position are noted, challenges such as high workforce turnover, unclear guidance on CapEx adjustments, and operational challenges at Aripuana persist. The Q&A reveals some management vagueness, particularly concerning CapEx flexibility and workforce turnover. Despite positive long-term market outlooks and improved leverage, these uncertainties and operational issues balance out the positive elements, leading to a neutral sentiment.