Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MPB has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
MPB stock price ended at $26.65 on Friday, after losing-0.89%
The Mid Penn Bancorp Inc stock price decreased by -0.89% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 26.33 to 26.65. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.18% , ranging from a day low of $26.18 to a day high of 26.75. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -5.50% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -5.54K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 59.86K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.59M.
MPB Technical Signals
MPB(Mid Penn Bancorp Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-20. The total price change during this trend is -5.63%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of MPB over the last 5 trading days is 2.02M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
MPB Moving Average Analysis
Mid Penn Bancorp Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, May 26, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $29.70459333333333, and $30.877333333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $25.910073333333333, and $24.737333333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
MPB Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Mid Penn Bancorp Inc(MPB) as of 23 May 2025 is 19.63%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 26.89 to 26.65. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Buy
Sell
3
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-261.483
Bullish
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.387
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0869
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
-0
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-86.115
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-1.55
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 60-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses below 250-day SMA
--
Bearish
MPB Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Mid Penn Bancorp Inc(MPB), our algorithm predicts MPB's 1-month price at $28.51, with an 1.3%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.07%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Mid Penn Bancorp Inc (MPB.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 1.3% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LAUR.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.07%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
MPB
Future prediction
Up: 1.3%
LAUR
Up: 1.3%Similarity: 99.07%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
LAUR.O
99.07%
+1.30%
NICE.O
98.85%
+0.96%
WM.N
98.76%
-2.87%
ALRS.O
98.62%
+1.88%
RBA.N
98.61%
+2.99%
ASGN.N
98.58%
-3.30%
KINS.O
98.57%
+2.01%
PLG.A
98.56%
-19.83%
NVDA.O
98.54%
+0.60%
FNF.N
98.51%
-0.24%
MPB Seasonality Analysis
Based on MPB's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in MPB. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Mid Penn Bancorp Inc (MPB.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while June has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Mid Penn Bancorp Inc. (MPB)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MPB has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Mid Penn Bancorp Inc (MPB.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Mid Penn Bancorp Inc (MPB.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while June has the lowest probability (30.00%).
How has Mid Penn Bancorp Inc. (MPB)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
MPB's stock price fell by -17.09% in 2023,increased by 22.88% in 2024, and went down by 5.5% in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of MPB include: MOM_10 < 0, Price crosses below 60-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses below 250-day SMA.
Is MPB a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
MPB has 5 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for MPB is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of MPB.
What is the trend of Mid Penn Bancorp Inc (MPB)'s moving average?
Mid Penn Bancorp Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of May 26 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for MPB stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Mid Penn Bancorp Inc (MPB.O) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a 1.3% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LAUR stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.07%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for MPB Stock?
The price prediction for MPB stock in 2025 is expected to reach **$31**, driven by merger benefits and positive market conditions. A second target of **$33** is possible with strong execution, while **$35** is ambitious but achievable with significant outperformance and favorable regulations.
What is price prediction 2030 for MPB Stock?
MPB stock is predicted to reach **$45-$55 by 2030**, driven by its merger with William Penn Bancorporation and strong earnings growth. The stock's current stable technical indicators and insider buying activity suggest confidence in its future prospects.