MELI Stock Price Prediction

MercadoLibre Inc

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2458.807

+48.807(+2.030%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy MercadoLibre Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MELI has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

MELI stock price ended at $2458.8068 on Friday, after rising 2.03%

The MercadoLibre Inc stock price increased by 2.03% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), rising from 2470.07 to 2410. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.07% , ranging from a day low of $2380.405 to a day high of 2501. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 9.31% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 194.22K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 906.10K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.20B.

MELI Technical Signals

MELI(MercadoLibre Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-06. The total price change during this trend is +8.23%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of MELI over the last 5 trading days is 1.26B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

MELI Moving Average Analysis

MercadoLibre Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 9, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $2516.0453333333335, and $2636.3753333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2126.7053333333333, and $2006.3753333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MELI Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of MercadoLibre Inc(MELI) as of 07 May 2025 is 14.30%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 2229.00 to 2262.09. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

200.286

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

207.65

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

78.301

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 5-day SMA

Bullish

2 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

165.966

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-18.862

Bearish

MELI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to MercadoLibre Inc(MELI), our algorithm predicts MELI's 1-month price at $2363.48, with an 3.63%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.05%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for MercadoLibre Inc (MELI.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a 3.63% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ELME.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.05%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MELI

Future prediction

Up: 3.63%

ELME

Up: 3.63%Similarity: 97.05%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ELME.N

97.05%

+3.63%

TRN.N

96.55%

+7.09%

TBRG.O

96.40%

-3.35%

TACT.O

96.24%

-6.41%

SVC.O

96.19%

-14.58%

JANX.O

96.11%

-20.39%

MAIN.N

96.11%

-2.28%

CDE.N

96.09%

-7.13%

KFRC.O

96.05%

+5.55%

LOW.N

95.77%

+4.74%

MELI Seasonality Analysis

Based on MELI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MELI. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying MercadoLibre Inc (MELI.O) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while September has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows MercadoLibre Inc. (MELI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.