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MDGL Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc(MDGL) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04Pre-Market-1.99-5.08-155.28247.70M287.27M+15.97+7.83+18.65
FY2025Q22025-08-05Pre-Market-3.48-1.90+45.40162.17M212.80M+31.22+8.59+10.77
FY2025Q12025-05-01Pre-Market-3.62-3.32+8.29114.19M137.25M+20.20-1.86-11.61
FY2024Q42025-02-26Pre-Market-4.12-2.71+34.2297.81M103.32M+5.64+14.99+3.82
FY2024Q32024-10-31Pre-Market-6.94-4.92+29.1134.41M62.18M+80.67+20.10+56.63
FY2024Q22024-08-07Pre-Market-7.55-7.10+5.964.38M14.64M+233.98-12.18-8.60
FY2024Q12024-05-07--6.06-7.38-21.78----7.48-10.29
FY2023Q42024-02-28--5.32-5.68-6.77---+6.02+3.62
FY2023Q32023-11-06--4.78-5.34-11.72---+0.33-5.48
FY2023Q22023-08-08--4.47-4.69-4.92----5.81-3.37
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MDGL Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of -5.08, compared to analyst estimates of -1.99 by -155.28% . Revenue for the quarter reached 287.27M compared to expectations of 247.70M by 15.97% .
The stock price reacted with a 7.83% one-day change and a 18.65% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MDGL Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc(MDGL) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 311.44M and an EPS of 0.05.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 8.58%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 22.1%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 11.24% . These revisions correlate with a 35.42% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MDGL's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+8.58%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+22.1%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+11.24%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+35.42%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:949.39M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-10.90
—
Stock Price586.21
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MDGL Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,Pre-Market):
EPS: -5.08 (Actual) vs.-1.99 (Estimate) (-155.28%)
Revenue: 287.27M (Actual) vs. 247.70M (Estimate) (15.97%)
Price Reaction: 7.83%(1-Day), 18.65%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -1.90 (Actual) vs.-3.48 (Estimate) (45.40%)
Revenue: 212.80M (Actual) vs. 162.17M (Estimate) (31.22%)
Price Reaction: 8.59%(1-Day), 10.77%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: -3.32 (Actual) vs.-3.62 (Estimate) (8.29%)
Revenue: 137.25M (Actual) vs. 114.19M (Estimate) (20.20%)
Price Reaction: -1.86%(1-Day), -11.61%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MDGL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MDGL sees a -3.12% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +9.95% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +3.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 7.02% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 25.72% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc (MDGL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-20
The earnings call presents mixed signals: the acquisition by Valsoft Corporation and reduced debt are positive, but the reduction in committed revenue from AutoCanada and increased R&D expenses pose risks. The stable profitability outlook and minor revenue growth offset some concerns. Lack of clear management responses in the Q&A adds uncertainty. Overall, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc (MDGL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-04
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 35% increase in net sales and a solid cash position. The new patent protection and pipeline development, including the combination therapy for MASH, suggest long-term growth potential. Despite increased expenses, the strategic focus on market expansion and the optimistic guidance on MAESTRO outcomes provide a positive outlook. The Q&A reveals confidence in competitive positioning and access, though some ambiguity remains. Overall, the sentiment leans positive, likely leading to a stock price increase.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc (MDGL) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-05
The earnings call highlights a strong financial performance with a 55% increase in net sales and a strong cash position. The decrease in R&D expenses and strategic SG&A spending indicate efficient resource management. The management's optimistic outlook on market growth and strategic positioning against competitors like semaglutide, despite some uncertainties, suggests a positive sentiment. The Q&A section reassures investors about maintaining growth and managing gross-to-net effectively. Overall, the positive financial metrics and strategic positioning outweigh the uncertainties, leading to a positive stock price outlook.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
Basic Financial Performance: 4, Product Development and Business Update: 5, Market Strategy: 4, Expenses and Financial Health: 3, Shareholder Return Plan: 3. The earnings call indicates strong sales growth and market expansion potential for Rezdiffra, with stable R&D expenses and a solid cash position. However, increased SG&A expenses pose a risk if sales underperform. The Q&A reveals optimism about future growth but some uncertainty in gross to net figures. Overall, the positive outlook for Rezdiffra and market expansion outweighs the risks, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (MDGL) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-07
Despite increased SG&A expenses, the FDA approval and strong cash position indicate a solid launch for Rezdiffra. The Q&A highlights strong demand and a positive gross-to-net ratio, suggesting favorable financial outcomes. The company's commitment to European commercialization and the absence of inventory issues further support a positive outlook. Risks exist, but the foundational therapy status and patient growth are promising. Thus, a positive stock price movement is expected over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MDGL’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

MDGL reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 287.27M against an estimate of 247.70M, resulting in a 15.97% surprise. The EPS was -5.08, surpassing the expected -1.99 by -155.28% . The stock experienced a 7.83% price change on the earnings day and a 18.65% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MDGL’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following MDGL’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 7.83% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 18.65% change. Historically, MDGL’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -3.12% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +9.95% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MDGL for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MDGL’s annual revenue to reach 311.44M, while the EPS is projected at 0.05. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 8.58% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 11.24% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MDGL’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MDGL’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 8.58%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 11.24% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MDGL’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MDGL’s stock price typically moves by -3.12% in the 10 days before its earnings and +9.95% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.05 and revenue of 311.44M.
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What is the sentiment in Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc (MDGL) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call presents mixed signals: the acquisition by Valsoft Corporation and reduced debt are positive, but the reduction in committed revenue from AutoCanada and increased R&D expenses pose risks. The stable profitability outlook and minor revenue growth offset some concerns. Lack of clear management responses in the Q&A adds uncertainty. Overall, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement.
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