The chart below shows how LUNR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LUNR sees a -3.85% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -7.84% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.47%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Record Fiscal Year Revenue: Revenue of $54.7 million in Q4 2024, contributing to a record fiscal year revenue of $228 million, exceeding previous guidance.
Strong Liquidity Position: Record cash balance of $207.6 million at the end of 2024, with a further increase to $385 million as of March 10, 2025, indicating strong liquidity.
Lunar Mission Advancements: Successful execution of lunar missions, demonstrating advancements in space communications, navigation, and AI capabilities, which are essential for future operations.
Market Expansion Strategy: Expansion into new markets and customer bases, particularly in National Security Space, leveraging the company's existing technologies and expertise.
Near Space Network Awards: Secured additional awards under the Near Space Network contract, positioning the company to capitalize on the full $4.8 billion potential value.
Leadership Appointment in Data Services: Appointment of James Frelk as Senior Vice President of Data Services to enhance data transmission services and expand customer reach.
2025 Revenue Guidance Outlook: Positive revenue guidance for 2025, projecting a range of $250 million to $300 million, indicating expected growth in key programs.
Margin Improvement Strategy: Focus on improving margins and achieving positive adjusted EBITDA by Q4 2025, with a positive adjusted EBITDA expected by 2026.
Negative
Earnings Miss Report: Intuitive Machines, Inc. missed earnings expectations with a reported EPS of $-1.75717, significantly lower than the expected $-0.08.
Q4 Operating Loss Increase: Operating loss for Q4 was $13.4 million, an increase from a loss of $7.5 million in the same quarter of the previous year, primarily due to higher SG&A costs.
SG&A Expense Increase: SG&A expenses rose to $13.5 million in Q4, up from $6.4 million in the prior year, driven by increased public company costs, employee compensation, and rent.
Free Cash Outflow Analysis: Operating cash used was $2 million in the quarter, with capital expenditures of $4.9 million, leading to a free cash outflow of $6.9 million.
OMES Revenue Decline: The company faced a decline in OMES revenue, which was $30 million in Q4, down about $4 million from Q3 as expected, indicating potential revenue instability.
Operating Loss Concerns: Despite a record cash balance of $207.6 million, the company still reported a significant operating loss, raising concerns about future profitability.
Business Model Transition: The company is undergoing a shift in its business model, which may lead to uncertainty as it transitions from traditional contracts to a more commercial service model.
Intuitive Machines, Inc. (NASDAQ:LUNR) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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