Should You Buy LandBridge Co LLC (LB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
59.710
1 Day change
1.96%
52 Week Range
87.600
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
LB is not a good buy right now. The technical setup is only mildly bullish and losing momentum (MACD still positive but contracting), while pattern-based odds point to a meaningful drawdown over the next month (-10.41%). With no Intellectia buy signals today and no near-term news catalysts, risk/reward favors standing aside rather than buying immediately at ~$59.8.
Technical Analysis
Price is sitting near the pivot (59.138) after a modest up day (+1.96%), but the trend signals are mixed-to-cautious. MACD histogram is positive (0.605), indicating upside bias, yet it is positively contracting, which often signals fading momentum after a run-up. RSI(6) at ~62.7 is neutral-to-slightly warm (not overbought), consistent with a market that can still move up but lacks a strong breakout trigger. Moving averages are converging, which typically precedes a larger move but does not confirm direction. Key levels: near-term resistance at R1 ~62.729 (then R2 ~64.947); support at S1 ~55.547 (then S2 ~53.329). Pattern-similarity stats show 80% odds of -0.62% next day, +2.88% next week, and -10.41% next month—suggesting near-term chop with elevated medium-term downside risk.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options positioning is mixed. Open interest put/call at 0.67 suggests a more bullish longer-horizon positioning (more calls outstanding than puts). However, the option volume put/call at 1.22 indicates that today’s flow skewed more defensive/put-heavy, which can reflect short-term hedging or bearish positioning. Implied volatility (30D) ~59.25 with IV percentile ~31.6 and IV rank ~11.4 implies IV is relatively subdued versus its own history—options are not pricing an extreme move. Overall: sentiment looks constructive in positioning (OI) but cautious in near-term flow (volume).
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
8
Positive Catalysts
Analyst outlook still contains meaningful upside targets (e.g., Wells Fargo Overweight with $90 PT; Piper Neutral with $65; Janney fair value $74), which can support dips.
Operational narrative from prior analyst notes: improving longer-term visibility and robust surface-use royalty growth outlook; regional data center momentum cited as a long-term tailwind.
Next earnings is a defined event catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-25 (after hours).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Momentum is weakening: MACD remains positive but is contracting, and MAs are converging (setup can resolve lower if buyers don’t follow through).
Short-term options flow is defensive (put volume > call volume; put/call volume ratio 1.22).
Quant/pattern read-through flags notable 1-month downside risk (-10.41% with 80% probability in the provided model).
No supportive news flow in the past week—no fresh catalyst to force an immediate re-rating higher.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue grew strongly to ~$50.83M (+78.44% YoY) and net income rose to ~$7.94M (+210.07% YoY), indicating strong operational/royalty-driven growth. Gross margin was very high at ~94.05% (up ~2.94% YoY), consistent with a high-margin royalty/land economics profile. The outlier is EPS: 0.26, down sharply YoY (-750%), which suggests EPS was impacted by share count changes, one-time items, or accounting effects despite higher net income—this divergence is a key item to reconcile in future reports.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent LandBridge-related analyst actions are mixed but generally constructive on fundamentals with valuation caution. Wells Fargo maintained an Overweight rating while trimming PT slightly to $90 (still implying substantial upside vs ~$59.8). Piper Sandler kept Neutral but raised PT to $65 after Q3 results and corporate actions (1918 Ranch acquisition and debt refinancing), implying moderate upside. Janney downgraded to Neutral from Buy with a higher fair value estimate of $74, explicitly citing valuation after the rally—this frames the main ‘pro’ vs ‘con’ split: pros see durable multi-year growth drivers (royalties, data-center momentum, improving visibility), while cons see the stock as less compelling after the run and more vulnerable to pullbacks.
Politicians / influential figures: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days, and no notable politician activity was provided.
Institutional/insider trend snapshot: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral—no strong accumulation signal from these cohorts in the provided data.
Wall Street analysts forecast LB stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LB is 71 USD with a low forecast of 57 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LB stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LB is 71 USD with a low forecast of 57 USD and a high forecast of 90 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 58.560
Low
57
Averages
71
High
90
Current: 58.560
Low
57
Averages
71
High
90
BMO Capital
Market Perform
maintain
$31
AI Analysis
2025-12-08
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$31
AI Analysis
2025-12-08
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Laurentian Bank to C$40.50 from C$31 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.
Raymond James
Market Perform -> Underperform
downgrade
$40.50
2025-12-05
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$40.50
2025-12-05
downgrade
Market Perform -> Underperform
Reason
Raymond James downgraded Laurentian Bank to Underperform from Market Perform with a C$40.50 price target. Laurentian reported Q4 results, but quarterly results "will become less relevant" as the bank moves closer to be sold to Fairstone Bank in the transaction announced earlier this week, the analyst tells investors. The firm does not believe there is sufficient return to maintain a position in the stock and recommends shareholders "attain price certainty at this time."
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