JMIA Earnings

JMIA reported its FY2024Q4 earnings on 2025-02-20, showcasing a revenue of 46.00M against an estimate of 50.00M, resulting in a -7.2% surprise. The EPS was -999, surpassing the expected 0 by 0% . The stock experienced a -27.32% price change on the earnings day and a -34.79% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following JMIA's FY2024Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-02-20, the stock price moved by -27.32% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -34.79% change. Historically, JMIA's stock price tends to shift by an average of +65.40% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -6.76% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate JMIA’s annual revenue to reach 61.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -6.81% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -16.06% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between JMIA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -6.81%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -16.06% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, JMIA's stock price typically moves by +65.40% in the 10 days before its earnings and -6.76% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 61.00M.

The earnings call indicates strong growth prospects with revised upward guidance for 2025 and a strategic focus on market expansion and efficiency improvements. Despite some cautious management commentary, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by reduced costs, promising advertising potential, and a strong position in key markets. The Q&A section reinforced these positives with insights into sustainable customer growth and supply chain improvements. While there are some uncertainties, the overall outlook suggests a positive stock price movement.