Quarterly Results
JMIA Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, JMIA remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 60.96M and an EPS of -0.08.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -6.48%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 20.34%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -14.58% . These revisions correlate with a 22.93% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in JMIA long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how JMIA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, JMIA sees a +65.40% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.76% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -21.07%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in DEC/2024, the stock changed -2.13% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -15.60% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of JMIA's latest earnings report for FY2024Q4?
JMIA reported its FY2024Q4 earnings on 2025-02-20, showcasing a revenue of 46.10M against an estimate of 49.68M, resulting in a -7.2% surprise. The EPS was -999, surpassing the expected 0 by 0% . The stock experienced a -27.32% price change on the earnings day and a -34.79% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did JMIA's stock price react after the FY2024Q4 earnings release?
Following JMIA's FY2024Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-02-20, the stock price moved by -27.32% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -34.79% change. Historically, JMIA's stock price tends to shift by an average of +65.40% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -6.76% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for JMIA for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate JMIA’s annual revenue to reach 60.96M, while the EPS is projected at -0.08. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -6.48% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -14.58% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does JMIA's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between JMIA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -6.48%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -14.58% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from JMIA's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, JMIA's stock price typically moves by +65.40% in the 10 days before its earnings and -6.76% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.08 and revenue of 60.96M.
What is the sentiment in Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call indicates strong growth prospects with revised upward guidance for 2025 and a strategic focus on market expansion and efficiency improvements. Despite some cautious management commentary, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by reduced costs, promising advertising potential, and a strong position in key markets. The Q&A section reinforced these positives with insights into sustainable customer growth and supply chain improvements. While there are some uncertainties, the overall outlook suggests a positive stock price movement.

