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GO Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Grocery Outlet Holding Corp(GO) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Grocery Outlet Holding Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-04After Hours0.190.21+10.531.18B1.17B-0.94-8.05-18.21
FY2025Q22025-08-05After Hours0.170.23+35.291.19B1.18B-0.66+42.70+39.94
FY2025Q12025-05-06After Hours0.070.13+85.711.12B1.13B+0.11-6.12-13.17
FY2024Q42025-02-25After Hours0.170.15-11.761.09B1.10B+1.01-30.18-28.08
FY2024Q32024-11-05After Hours0.280.28-1.11B1.11B+0.29+10.65+30.98
FY2024Q22024-08-06-0.140.20+42.861.10B1.13B+2.40+1.42+4.38
FY2024Q12024-05-07-0.130.03-76.921.02B1.04B+1.42+0.35-23.40
FY2023Q42024-02-27-0.110.13+18.18980.58M989.82M+0.94+1.81+0.62
FY2023Q32023-11-07-0.220.25+13.641.01B1.00B-0.37+0.67-0.99
FY2023Q22023-08-08-0.210.23+9.52976.38M1.01B+3.47-0.21+2.02
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GO Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.21, compared to analyst estimates of 0.19 by 10.53% . Revenue for the quarter reached 1.17B compared to expectations of 1.18B by -0.94% .
The stock price reacted with a -8.05% one-day change and a -18.21% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Grocery Outlet Holding Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

GO Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp(GO) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 1.23B and an EPS of 0.22.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.47%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -0.13%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.12% . These revisions correlate with a -37.88% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Grocery Outlet Holding Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between GO's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.47%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.13%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.12%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-37.88%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:4.70B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.79
—
Stock Price11.38
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Financial AI Agent

GO Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.21 (Actual) vs.0.19 (Estimate) (10.53%)
Revenue: 1.17B (Actual) vs. 1.18B (Estimate) (-0.94%)
Price Reaction: -8.05%(1-Day), -18.21%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,After Hours):
EPS: 0.23 (Actual) vs.0.17 (Estimate) (35.29%)
Revenue: 1.18B (Actual) vs. 1.19B (Estimate) (-0.66%)
Price Reaction: 42.70%(1-Day), 39.94%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.13 (Actual) vs.0.07 (Estimate) (85.71%)
Revenue: 1.13B (Actual) vs. 1.12B (Estimate) (0.11%)
Price Reaction: -6.12%(1-Day), -13.17%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how GO performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GO sees a +4.46% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.03% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.14%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -8.05% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -22.79% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-04
The earnings call summary and Q&A highlight positive developments: increased EPS guidance, strong market strategy with clustered store openings, and effective operational changes. The refresh program and localization efforts promise growth, while the Q&A reveals confidence in overcoming comp weaknesses. Despite some uncertainty regarding SNAP impacts, the positive elements outweigh concerns. The company's market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-05
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: while there are positives like improved inventory management and new initiatives leading to double-digit sales increases, there are also concerns such as decreased net income and restructuring charges. The Q&A revealed confidence in comp guidance and strategic improvements, but also highlighted execution challenges and unclear responses on certain issues. Given the market cap and these mixed factors, a neutral sentiment is appropriate, expecting a stock price movement within -2% to 2%.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook: positive financial performance with increased EPS and net sales, but offset by restructuring costs and a net loss. Q&A insights reveal execution improvements and strong supply chain management, yet uncertainties in consumer behavior and unclear management responses on specifics remain. The market strategy and shareholder returns are moderately positive, but economic factors and restructuring costs weigh negatively. Given the market cap, a neutral stock price movement is predicted.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-06
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook. Financial performance shows growth in net sales and gross profit, but the company faces a net loss and restructuring costs. The guidance is cautious, reflecting macroeconomic challenges. The Q&A section reveals some uncertainties, particularly around short-term results and consumer behavior. While there are positive aspects like improved inventory management and opportunistic sourcing, the lack of clear guidance and leadership changes tempers the sentiment. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a neutral prediction for stock price movement.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-25
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows growth in net sales and adjusted EBITDA, but gross margins declined and interest expenses increased significantly. The Q&A reveals system issues and a soft start to Q1, but management remains optimistic about the business model and value proposition. The share repurchase plan is a positive factor, but uncertainties around margins and restructuring charges weigh negatively. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to remain neutral in the short term.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-11-06
The earnings call summary highlights several concerns: execution challenges, competitive pressures, and higher expenses impacting EBITDA guidance negatively. Although there are positives like increased net sales and share repurchase plans, the Q&A reveals ongoing system integration issues and unclear management responses, which create uncertainty. The downward revision of EBITDA guidance and higher expenses overshadow the positives. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to experience a negative movement in the range of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of GO’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

GO reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 1.17B against an estimate of 1.18B, resulting in a -0.94% surprise. The EPS was 0.21, surpassing the expected 0.19 by 10.53% . The stock experienced a -8.05% price change on the earnings day and a -18.21% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did GO’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following GO’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by -8.05% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -18.21% change. Historically, GO’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +4.46% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.03% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for GO for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate GO’s annual revenue to reach 1.23B, while the EPS is projected at 0.22. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.47% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.12% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does GO’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between GO’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.47%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.12% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from GO’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, GO’s stock price typically moves by +4.46% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.03% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.22 and revenue of 1.23B.
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What is the sentiment in Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A highlight positive developments: increased EPS guidance, strong market strategy with clustered store openings, and effective operational changes. The refresh program and localization efforts promise growth, while the Q&A reveals confidence in overcoming comp weaknesses. Despite some uncertainty regarding SNAP impacts, the positive elements outweigh concerns. The company's market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price prediction.
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