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GERN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Geron Corp(GERN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Geron Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-05Pre-Market-0.03-0.03-53.34M47.23M-11.46-5.22+0.87
FY2025Q22025-08-06Pre-Market-0.03-0.02+33.3347.30M49.04M+3.66+15.83+13.33
FY2025Q12025-05-07Pre-Market-0.04-0.03+25.0048.54M39.60M-18.41-0.76-3.03
FY2024Q42025-02-26Pre-Market-0.02-0.04-100.0045.29M47.54M+4.97-32.07-29.96
FY2024Q22024-08-08Pre-Market-0.11-0.10-9.09287.33K882.00K+206.96+0.88-2.63
FY2024Q12024-05-02--0.10-0.09+10.0024.71K304.00K+1130.27-3.19-6.62
FY2023Q42024-02-28--0.10-0.09+10.0097.80K23.00K-76.48-5.80+0.97
FY2023Q32023-11-02--0.10-0.08+20.0070.80K164.00K+131.64-7.77-4.15
FY2023Q22023-08-03--0.08-0.09-12.5079.20K29.00K-63.38-1.25-5.63
-2023-05-11--0.09-0.07+22.22---+2.48+7.09
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GERN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Geron Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of -0.03, compared to analyst estimates of -0.03 by 0.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 47.23M compared to expectations of 53.34M by -11.46% .
The stock price reacted with a -5.22% one-day change and a 0.87% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Geron Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

GERN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Geron Corp(GERN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 50.88M and an EPS of -0.03.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -9.04%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.83%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -18.11% . These revisions correlate with a -9.29% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Geron Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between GERN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-9.04%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.83%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-18.11%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-9.29%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:186.21M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.12
—
Stock Price1.27
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GERN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Geron Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.03 (Actual) vs.-0.03 (Estimate) (0.00%)
Revenue: 47.23M (Actual) vs. 53.34M (Estimate) (-11.46%)
Price Reaction: -5.22%(1-Day), 0.87%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.02 (Actual) vs.-0.03 (Estimate) (33.33%)
Revenue: 49.04M (Actual) vs. 47.30M (Estimate) (3.66%)
Price Reaction: 15.83%(1-Day), 13.33%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.03 (Actual) vs.-0.04 (Estimate) (25.00%)
Revenue: 39.60M (Actual) vs. 48.54M (Estimate) (-18.41%)
Price Reaction: -0.76%(1-Day), -3.03%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how GERN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GERN sees a +6.29% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.88% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -3.69%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.92% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -0.92% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Geron Corp (GERN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-11-05
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a 3% demand decrease for RYTELO, high operating expenses, and competitive pressures. While there is a significant increase in net product revenue, the timeline for the IMpactMF Phase III trial is lengthy, delaying potential market impact. The Q&A section highlights management's avoidance of specific guidance, which may concern investors. Although there is a 15% growth in prescribing accounts, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial pressures, competitive landscape, and lack of clarity on future growth timelines.
Geron Corp (GERN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-08-06
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal mixed sentiments. While there is positive news about the demand growth for RYTELO and strategic efforts to engage KOLs, the decline in net revenues and lack of specific guidance are concerning. The stable expenses and cash position are neutral factors. The Q&A section shows cautious optimism but also highlights management's reluctance to provide specific data. Given the market cap, the overall impact is likely neutral, with a slight lean towards positive due to the strategic focus and potential demand growth.
Geron Corp (GERN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-08
The earnings call presents mixed signals: while there is a decrease in RYTELO's net revenue and competition risks, the company maintains a strong cash position and expects continued momentum. The EPS beat expectations, but the lack of a shareholder return plan and leadership uncertainties are concerning. The Q&A revealed management's evasiveness on some issues, which may cause investor apprehension. Given these factors and the market cap of $2.63 billion, the stock price is likely to remain stable, resulting in a neutral prediction.
Geron Corp (GERN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance is weak with declining revenues and high expenses, but there's optimism in sales growth and market expansion. The Q&A reveals management's focus on addressing inventory issues and increasing demand. However, risks like market penetration challenges and competitive pressures persist. The lack of shareholder returns and declining cash position add concerns. Given the small-cap nature, the stock is likely to experience a neutral movement (-2% to 2%) as the market weighs these factors.
Geron Corporation (GERN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
The earnings call highlights strong revenue growth due to the successful launch of RYTELO, despite increased expenses. The synthetic royalty agreement and debt financing provide financial stability, and the company's cash position is robust. While management avoided specific guidance, they expressed confidence in growth and breakeven prospects. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction. Overall, the positive financial performance and strategic moves outweigh potential risks, leading to a predicted stock price increase of 2% to 8%.
Geron Corporation (GERN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-08-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong financial metrics with significantly increased revenue compared to last year, but no specific revenue guidance and high operating expenses. While RYTELO's launch shows potential, uncertainties about market adoption and financial stability persist. The Q&A reveals management's reluctance to provide specific future guidance, which could cause investor caution. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable over the next two weeks, resulting in a neutral sentiment rating.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of GERN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

GERN reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 47.23M against an estimate of 53.34M, resulting in a -11.46% surprise. The EPS was -0.03, surpassing the expected -0.03 by 0% . The stock experienced a -5.22% price change on the earnings day and a 0.87% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did GERN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following GERN’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by -5.22% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.87% change. Historically, GERN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +6.29% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.88% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for GERN for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate GERN’s annual revenue to reach 50.88M, while the EPS is projected at -0.03. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -9.04% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -18.11% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does GERN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between GERN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -9.04%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -18.11% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from GERN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, GERN’s stock price typically moves by +6.29% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.88% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.03 and revenue of 50.88M.
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What is the sentiment in Geron Corp (GERN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a 3% demand decrease for RYTELO, high operating expenses, and competitive pressures. While there is a significant increase in net product revenue, the timeline for the IMpactMF Phase III trial is lengthy, delaying potential market impact. The Q&A section highlights management's avoidance of specific guidance, which may concern investors. Although there is a 15% growth in prescribing accounts, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial pressures, competitive landscape, and lack of clarity on future growth timelines.
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