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The earnings call had mixed signals. While there is positive growth in revenue, gross margin, and free cash flow, the marketplace revenue miss and leadership transition introduce uncertainty. The stock offering and cash balance provide financial stability, but the lack of clear guidance on AI and licensing opportunities, as well as the impact of external factors like the travel advisory, temper expectations. The Q&A section revealed some concerns about management's clarity on future initiatives. Overall, the sentiment is neutral with a slight positive bias due to strong financial metrics.
Revenue $23,800,000, up $2,500,000 or 12% year over year.
Gross Profit $20,900,000, up 15% from $18,200,000 in Q1 of 2024.
Gross Margin 87.8%, up from 85.4% year over year.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Net loss of negative $0.04 per share, improved by $0.01 from Q1 last year.
Operating Cash Flow $1,300,000.
Free Cash Flow $700,000.
Cash Balance $13,100,000 at quarter end.
Credit Line $10,000,000 credit line remains fully available.
Annualized Gross Profit per Employee Over $800,000, up from $680,000 a year ago.
Marketplace Revenue Lower than expectations, leading to a 1% revenue miss, primarily due to a U.S. Level 3 travel advisory for Egypt.
Discontinued Business Revenue $1,200,000 from last year has been removed from revenue.
Generative AI Product Development: Gaia is on track to launch Gaia’s Conscious AI Companion on or before the next scheduled price increase in early 2026, with early internal testing showing exceptional results.
Member Growth: Member count grew to 867,000, focusing on high lifetime value members.
International Expansion: Launched a Peru-based tour that is already sold out, with additional inventory coming online later this year.
Gross Margin Improvement: Gross margin improved to 87.8%, up from 85.4% in the year-ago quarter.
Operational Efficiency through AI: Integrating AI into content management, localization, and member engagement workflows to increase speed to market and reduce manual overhead.
CEO Transition: James Calhoun will transition to Chief Business Development Officer, with Kirsten Medvedic stepping into the CEO role at the end of Q2.
Focus on Licensing Opportunities: Exploring deeper content and technology licensing opportunities to expand revenue and market perception.
Marketplace Revenue: Marketplace revenue was lower than expected, leading to a 1% revenue miss. This was primarily due to a U.S. Level 3 travel advisory for Egypt, resulting in a 30% decline in bookings and overall tourist travel at 45% of pre-conflict levels.
Q2 Performance: Q2 is anticipated to be softer than originally hoped, primarily due to the continued impact of the travel advisory affecting marketplace revenue.
Economic Factors: The company is heavily weighted on Egypt trips in the first half of the year, which has negatively impacted performance in that business line.
Transition of Leadership: The transition of CEO roles may introduce uncertainty during the leadership change, although the new CEO has a strong background.
Licensing Opportunities: There are ongoing discussions about content and technology licensing, which could present risks if not executed effectively.
Discontinued Business: A discontinued business line contributed $1,200,000 in revenue last year, which has been removed from current financials, potentially affecting year-over-year comparisons.
AI Development: Gaia is accelerating the development of its generative AI product, with plans to launch the Conscious AI Companion on or before the next scheduled price increase in early 2026.
Community Building: Gaia is focusing on building out infrastructure for international meetups and chapter-based engagement, which is seen as a key differentiator for the brand.
Leadership Transition: James Calhoun will transition to Chief Business Development Officer at the end of Q2, allowing him to focus on high-impact growth opportunities.
Marketplace Strategy: Gaia has pivoted to launch a Peru-based tour to offset lower revenue expectations from Egypt-related trips.
Revenue Growth: Gaia expects to maintain double-digit revenue growth and has reported a 12% increase in Q1 2025.
Gross Margin Outlook: The company anticipates gross margin to be in the range of 86% to 87% for the remainder of the year.
Marketplace Revenue: Despite a softer Q2, Gaia expects to perform in line with expectations for Marketplace revenue in the latter half of the year.
Cash Flow: Gaia reported a free cash flow of $700,000 for Q1 2025 and maintains a cash balance of $13.1 million.
Common Stock Offering: In February, Gaia closed an underwritten offering of $8,000,000 of common stock, raising approximately $7,000,000 in net proceeds.
Free Cash Flow: For Q1 2025, Gaia reported free cash flow of $700,000.
Cash Balance: At quarter end, Gaia's cash balance was $13,100,000.
Credit Line: Gaia has a $10,000,000 credit line that remains fully available.
Despite positive growth in revenue and ARPU, the net loss and concerns about profitability are significant. The Q&A section reveals potential risks with AI integration and price hikes affecting churn. However, the optimistic guidance on Igniton's growth and AI's potential to enhance engagement balances these concerns. The increased cash balance and free cash flow are positives, but the lack of specific guidance on churn and content spending introduces uncertainties. Overall, the mixed signals and potential risks balance the positives, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant growth in revenue, gross profit, and cash flow, alongside a reduced net loss. The Igniton valuation increase and positive market reception indicate strong future potential. The Q&A highlights strategic investments in AI and community building, although some uncertainty remains regarding Igniton's revenue impact. Overall, the financial health and strategic direction suggest a positive sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is positive growth in revenue and gross margin, the marketplace revenue miss and CEO transition pose risks. The Q&A reveals concerns about leadership stability and lack of clarity on licensing opportunities. Despite positive aspects like AI initiatives and community engagement, the recent common stock offering and missed marketplace expectations suggest a cautious outlook. Given these factors, and without a clear market cap, a neutral sentiment is justified, anticipating a stock price movement between -2% and 2%.
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: strong revenue growth and improved margins, but challenges in marketplace revenue and leadership transition risks. The AI-first strategy and community engagement initiatives are positive, but lack concrete partnerships or deals with large hyperscalers. The Q&A section highlighted uncertainty around Q2 performance and vague management responses on key initiatives. With no share repurchase program and a small net loss, the stock's movement is likely to be neutral, with potential positive momentum from AI developments balanced by marketplace and leadership uncertainties.
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