Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc(FWRG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
FWRG Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, First Watch Restaurant Group Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-04. The company achieved an EPS of 0.05, compared to analyst estimates of 0.08 by -37.50% . Revenue for the quarter reached 316.02M compared to expectations of 309.57M by 2.09% .
The stock price reacted with a 11.04% one-day change and a 8.45% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in First Watch Restaurant Group Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
FWRG Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, First Watch Restaurant Group Inc(FWRG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 321.07M and an EPS of 0.08.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.69%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.33%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.66% . These revisions correlate with a 1.45% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in First Watch Restaurant Group Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between FWRG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+0.69%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-2.33%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+0.66%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+1.45%
In Past 3 Month
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
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Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.23B
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EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.19
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Stock Price16.07
FWRG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
First Watch Restaurant Group Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-04,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.05 (Actual) vs.0.08 (Estimate) (-37.50%)
Revenue: 316.02M (Actual) vs. 309.57M (Estimate) (2.09%)
Price Reaction: 11.04%(1-Day), 8.45%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.03 (Actual) vs.0.07 (Estimate) (-57.14%)
Revenue: 307.89M (Actual) vs. 306.55M (Estimate) (0.44%)
Price Reaction: 3.54%(1-Day), 2.44%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.01 (Actual) vs.0.04 (Estimate) (-125.00%)
Revenue: 282.24M (Actual) vs. 283.28M (Estimate) (-0.37%)
Price Reaction: -17.62%(1-Day), -15.26%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how FWRG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FWRG sees a +3.61% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.33% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.32%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.93% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -7.33% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of FWRG's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
FWRG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 316.02M against an estimate of 309.57M, resulting in a 2.09% surprise. The EPS was 0.05, surpassing the expected 0.08 by -37.5% . The stock experienced a 11.04% price change on the earnings day and a 8.45% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did FWRG's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following FWRG's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 11.04% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 8.45% change. Historically, FWRG's stock price tends to shift by an average of +3.61% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.33% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for FWRG for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate FWRG’s annual revenue to reach 321.07M, while the EPS is projected at 0.08. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.69% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.66% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does FWRG's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between FWRG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.69%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.66% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from FWRG's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, FWRG's stock price typically moves by +3.61% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.33% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.08 and revenue of 321.07M.
What is the sentiment in First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call highlights a strong revenue growth forecast, increased EBITDA guidance, and effective marketing strategies. Despite some inflationary pressures, the company is managing costs well and expects continued growth with new restaurant openings. The Q&A section reveals confidence in marketing efforts and competitive advantages in securing locations. Overall, the sentiment is positive, with a focus on expansion and customer engagement, suggesting a likely positive stock price movement.