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The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall. Financial performance shows growth in EPS and net income, with improving efficiency and strong NIM expansion. The dividend increase and active stock repurchase program further boost shareholder returns. Despite some concerns about credit losses and economic uncertainties, optimistic guidance on loan growth and margin expansion mitigate these risks. The market strategy and product updates, such as technology advancements, also contribute positively. Considering the mid-cap size, the stock is likely to experience a positive price movement of 2% to 8%.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $0.47, up from $0.46 year-over-year.
Net Income $77 million, compared to $76 million last quarter.
Return on Assets (ROA) 1.64%, stable year-over-year.
Pre-Provision Income $125 million, up 7% year-over-year.
Net Interest Income $212 million, up $3 million from the prior quarter.
Net Interest Margin (NIM) 4.52%, expanded by 19 basis points from the previous quarter.
Efficiency Ratio 49.6%, improved from 51.6% in the fourth quarter.
Non-Performing Assets (NPA) Increased by $11 million due to one nonaccrual commercial real estate loan.
Allowance for Credit Losses Increased by $3.4 million to $247.3 million.
Tangible Book Value per Share $10.64, a 7% increase year-over-year.
Dividends Declared $29.6 million during the quarter.
Common Stock Repurchased $21.8 million during the quarter.
Core Deposits Growth: Core deposits in Puerto Rico grew by $75 million, excluding government deposits.
Stock Purchase Program: Resumed stock purchase program, repurchased $22 million in Q1 2025, with an additional $28 million expected in April.
Net Interest Margin: Net interest margin expanded by 19 basis points to 4.52%.
Efficiency Ratio: Efficiency ratio improved to 49.6% from 51.6% in the previous quarter.
Capital Deployment: Redeemed $50 million in subordinated debentures and declared $30 million in dividends.
Investment in Data Infrastructure: Continued investment in data infrastructure with a successful transition to centralized FIS cloud.
Economic Environment: Uncertainty regarding the impact of new fiscal policies and tariffs on consumer confidence, which could affect business activity.
Credit Losses: Increase in provision for credit losses by $4 million due to projected deterioration in consumer real estate and adjustments for economic uncertainty.
Commercial Real Estate Risks: Increased nonperforming assets (NPA) by $11 million, primarily due to one nonaccrual commercial real estate loan in Florida.
Regulatory Capital: Need to maintain higher regulatory capital ratios amidst ongoing economic uncertainties.
Supply Chain Challenges: Potential implications of tariffs on supply chain and operational costs.
Consumer Credit Trends: Normalization trends in consumer credit, with early delinquency rates showing fluctuations.
Stock Purchase Program: Resumed stock purchase program during the quarter, repurchased $22 million in Q1 2025, with an additional $28 million expected to be completed in April.
Investment in Data Infrastructure: Continued investment in data infrastructure, achieving a significant step in converting to the centralized FIS cloud.
Affordable Housing Projects: Participation in affordable housing projects and infrastructure improvements.
Full-Year Guidance: Full-year guidance remains unchanged, with mid-single-digit growth expected for the year.
Net Interest Margin (NIM) Outlook: Expect NIM to continue expanding over the next few quarters, estimating an improvement of approximately 5 to 7 basis points per quarter for the remaining months of the year.
Expense Projections: Expect expenses for the next couple of quarters to be in the range of $125 to $126 million, with an efficiency ratio around 50% to 52%.
Credit Quality Outlook: Credit metrics are holding up well, with expectations of continued normalization in consumer credit.
Dividends Declared: $30 million in common stock dividends for the quarter.
Total Dividends: $29.6 million in dividends declared during the quarter.
Stock Repurchase Program: Resumed stock purchase program, repurchased $22 million in common stock in Q1 2025.
Future Stock Repurchase: Expect to complete another $28 million in stock repurchases during April, reaching a total of $50 million for Q2 2025.
Remaining Stock Repurchase Authorization: $100 million remaining from prior year approval for stock repurchases.
The earnings call summary shows strong financial metrics, with expected increases in net interest margin, stable asset quality, and favorable economic conditions. Shareholder returns are prioritized with a planned buyback. The Q&A reveals stable consumer credit and strong commercial and residential loan growth. The management's optimistic guidance and strategic capital deployment further support a positive outlook. Given the small-cap nature of the company, these factors suggest a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The company reported a 10% sequential revenue growth and record free cash flow, signaling strong financial health. The share repurchase program and record high RPOs further support a positive outlook. Although concerns were raised about AI adoption and customer capacity constraints, management's optimistic guidance and strategic investments in AI and digital infrastructure are likely to drive future growth. The market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these positive developments, leading to a predicted stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary suggests positive sentiment with strong financial performance, improved credit metrics, and strategic investments. The Q&A section highlighted non-recurring deposit declines and sustainable charge-offs, which are not alarming. The stock repurchase and dividend plans further support a positive outlook. However, management's unclear responses on some metrics and the deposit outflows are minor concerns. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to see a moderate positive reaction, potentially in the 2% to 8% range, as the positives outweigh the negatives.
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall. Financial performance shows growth in EPS and net income, with improving efficiency and strong NIM expansion. The dividend increase and active stock repurchase program further boost shareholder returns. Despite some concerns about credit losses and economic uncertainties, optimistic guidance on loan growth and margin expansion mitigate these risks. The market strategy and product updates, such as technology advancements, also contribute positively. Considering the mid-cap size, the stock is likely to experience a positive price movement of 2% to 8%.
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